VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Ulm 1846 Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
VfL Osnabrück
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 0
SSV Ulm 1846
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: VfL Osnabrück Win
Match Result
6.7/10Osnabrück and Ulm Share Spoils in Stalemate at Bremer Brücke
VfL Osnabrück and SSV Ulm 1846 played out a 1-1 draw at the Bremer Brücke, with both sides showing flashes of quality but ultimately unable to find a decisive breakthrough. Ulm struck first in the 26th minute, capitalizing on a period of sustained pressure, before Osnabrück responded just before halftime to restore parity. The second half saw both teams probing for a winner but lacking the clinical edge to tilt the contest in their favor. The match was marked by tactical discipline from both managers, with Osnabrück deploying a 3-4-2-1 formation and Ulm opting for a 3-5-2 setup. Despite the attacking intent suggested by their lineups, clear-cut chances were at a premium, and defensive organization prevailed. Ulm picked up the only yellow card of the contest, underscoring the hard-fought but fair nature of the encounter.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
2 - 0
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
26' — Goal
L. Roser gives SSV Ulm 1846 the lead, finishing off a well-worked move.
44' — Goal
R. Meissner levels for Osnabrück just before halftime, shifting the momentum.
53' — Yellow Card
Ulm's discipline tested as they pick up the game's only booking.
VfL Osnabrück
Osnabrück showed resilience after falling behind, responding well to Ulm's opener and finding an equalizer just before the interval. Their 3-4-2-1 formation allowed for width and midfield control, but they struggled to translate possession into genuine scoring opportunities in the second half. The defensive trio of Karademir, Muller, and Wiemann provided a solid foundation, while the midfield worked tirelessly to regain control after Ulm's early dominance.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
SSV Ulm 1846
SSV Ulm 1846 started brightly, taking the lead in the 26th minute and controlling much of the first half through their 3-5-2 formation. Their midfield packed the central areas, making it difficult for Osnabrück to build attacks. However, they were pegged back before halftime and, despite remaining compact and organized, could not find a second goal. Ulm's discipline was evident, though they picked up the game's only yellow card.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Osnabrück's 3-4-2-1 formation prioritized width and midfield numbers, with wing-backs Ajdini and Wiethaup providing outlets on the flanks. After conceding, they pushed higher up the pitch, seeking to overload Ulm's defensive line. Ulm, meanwhile, used their 3-5-2 to crowd the midfield and press early, which paid dividends with the opening goal. However, after Osnabrück's equalizer, both sides became more cautious, focusing on defensive solidity rather than risk-taking. Substitutions and tactical tweaks in the second half aimed to inject fresh energy, but neither side could break the deadlock. Set pieces offered few clear chances, and both teams relied on structured build-up play rather than direct attacks. The match ultimately reflected a tactical chess match, with both managers prioritizing organization over expansive football.
Turning Point
R. Meissner's equalizer in the 44th minute shifted the momentum and ensured Osnabrück went into halftime level, deflating Ulm's early advantage.
Man of the Match
R. Meissner
Scored the vital equalizer and was Osnabrück's most threatening presence in attack.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 2.05
Expected goals · model says 0.70
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
44%
Likely Scores
2-0 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Ulm 1846 Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Ulm 1846?
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Where the Model Sees Value: VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Ulm 1846(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: VfL Osnabrück Win
Osnabrück are top of the league, have won 4 of their last 5, boast a strong home record, and face an Ulm side with the league's second-worst away record, poor recent form, and a leaky defense.
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BTTS: No
Osnabrück have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 and have the league's best defense, while Ulm have failed to score in 1 of their last 5 and average only 1.28 goals per game.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Osnabrück games go over 2.5 goals only 42.86% of the time; their defense is strong and Ulm's attack is inconsistent, so a lower-scoring match is likely.
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More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Ulm 1846 Prediction
VfL Osnabrück, leading the 3. Liga, welcome relegation-threatened SSV Ulm 1846. The hosts are in excellent form, with 4 wins in their last 5 and a formidable defensive record, especially at home. Ulm, by contrast, have lost 4 of their last 6 and are among the league's weakest away teams, conceding over 2 goals per away match. With Osnabrück motivated to secure the title and Ulm struggling at both ends of the pitch, the hosts are clear favorites, and a controlled, low-scoring victory is expected.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Osnabrück average 1.66 goals per game and have won 11 of 18 at home.
Defence
- →Osnabrück have 3 clean sheets in last 5 and concede just 0.8 goals per game this season.
- →Ulm have lost 11 of 18 away, conceding 40 goals (2.22 per away game).
- →Ulm's form is poor (LLWLD), with 2.4 goals conceded per match in last 5.
Match Context
- →H2H: Osnabrück won the only recent meeting 5-3 away.
- →Motivation: Osnabrück are 1st and can secure promotion/title; Ulm are 18th, fighting relegation.
How VfL Osnabrück and SSV Ulm 1846 Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Ulm 1846 Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
VfL Osnabrücklast 5 matchesOccasional threat
SSV Ulm 1846last 5 matchesOccasional threat
VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Ulm 1846 — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 65.79% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Ulm 1846
VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Ulm 1846 Head-to-Head History
Last 2 meetings between these sides
1
VfL Osnabrück wins
1
Draws
0
SSV Ulm 1846 wins
Things to Watch: VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Ulm 1846
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some match stat fields are missing (shots, lineups, etc.), slightly reducing model confidence.
- ⚠️Ulm have shown occasional attacking threat (4 BTTS in last 5), so a goal for the away side is not impossible.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for VfL Osnabrück vs SSV Ulm 1846: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.