Waldhof Mannheim vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Predictions
3. Liga · Germany
Waldhof Mannheim
Full Time
1 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
@ 4.5(+19% edge)
Match Result
6.8/10Waldhof Mannheim Edge Regensburg in Tight 3. Liga Contest
Waldhof Mannheim secured a hard-fought 1-0 victory over SSV Jahn Regensburg at the Carl-Benz Stadion, with the decisive moment arriving early in the second half. In a match where both sides were evenly matched and defensive discipline was paramount, it was Mannheim’s resilience and a clinical finish that ultimately separated the teams. The hosts broke the deadlock in the 53rd minute and managed to hold off a late push from Regensburg, who struggled to convert their possession into meaningful chances. Both teams saw three players booked, reflecting the competitive and physical nature of the encounter, but neither side saw red in a match that was fiercely contested until the final whistle.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
1 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
53' — Goal
T. Boyd scores for Waldhof Mannheim, finishing off a well-worked move to give the hosts the lead.
67' — Yellow Card
Waldhof Mannheim player booked for a tactical foul as Regensburg looked to counter.
74' — Yellow Card
Regensburg player shown a yellow for dissent as frustration mounts.
81' — Substitution
Regensburg introduce an attacking substitute in search of an equalizer.
89' — Yellow Card
Waldhof Mannheim receive another booking for time-wasting late on.
Waldhof Mannheim
Waldhof Mannheim executed a disciplined display, making the most of their opportunities and maintaining composure at the back. The 4-2-3-1 formation provided stability in midfield and allowed them to transition quickly into attack, culminating in the crucial goal early in the second half. Despite facing pressure from Regensburg, Mannheim’s back line held firm, with goalkeeper T. Nijhuis commanding his area and the defensive unit showing strong organization. Their ability to manage the game after taking the lead was notable, with timely interventions and tactical fouls when necessary, as evidenced by the three yellow cards. The midfield pairing of Thalhammer and Sietan provided the necessary cover to stifle Regensburg’s creative threats.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Regensburg set up in a 4-1-4-1 formation, looking to control the midfield and dictate the tempo. While they matched Mannheim in intensity and defensive effort, their attacking play lacked penetration, and they were unable to break down a resolute home defense. The midfield trio worked hard to create openings, but clear-cut chances were at a premium. Despite pushing forward in the latter stages and introducing fresh legs from the bench, Regensburg could not find an equalizer. Their frustration was evident, picking up three yellow cards as they chased the game, but ultimately their efforts fell short against a well-drilled Mannheim side.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Waldhof Mannheim’s 4-2-3-1 provided a solid platform, with two holding midfielders shielding the defense and allowing the attacking trio to support T. Boyd up front. Their compact shape made it difficult for Regensburg to play through the middle, forcing the visitors to look for opportunities out wide. After taking the lead, Mannheim dropped deeper, focusing on protecting their advantage and relying on quick transitions. Regensburg’s 4-1-4-1 aimed to establish control in midfield, but their lone striker, E. Hottmann, was often isolated. The visitors tried to inject more attacking impetus with substitutions in the second half, but Mannheim’s disciplined lines and well-timed challenges blunted their efforts. Set pieces offered a potential route back for Regensburg, but the home side defended them with authority.
Turning Point
T. Boyd’s goal in the 53rd minute gave Mannheim the lead and allowed them to dictate the tempo for the remainder of the match.
Man of the Match
T. Boyd
Scored the match-winning goal and led the line with determination and quality.
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Expected goals · model says 1.00
Expected goals · model says 1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS: Yes
45%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Waldhof Mannheim vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: Waldhof Mannheim vs SSV Jahn Regensburg(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5@ 4.5
Model probability for over 2.5 goals (41%) is much higher than the odds-implied probability (22%), and both teams have high season over 2.5 rates (Waldhof 69%, Regensburg 58%). Recent H2H also produced goals.
Read more ↓
Match Result: SSV Jahn Regensburg Win@ 2.55
Regensburg are in better form (WWLDW), have a positive H2H record, and Waldhof's recent form is poor. Small value on away win.
More 3. Liga Predictions
The Case For This Waldhof Mannheim vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Prediction
This is a mid-table clash between two sides level on points but trending in opposite directions. Waldhof Mannheim are winless in five (LDDLD), struggling defensively (2.4 conceded per game last five), and have not kept a clean sheet in that span. Regensburg, meanwhile, come in with confidence after two straight wins and a five-game unbeaten run, scoring freely (2.2 per game last five). H2H history slightly favors Regensburg, who won the reverse fixture 3-0. Expect a competitive match with both teams likely to score, but Regensburg's superior form and attacking output give them the edge.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Regensburg are unbeaten in four of their last five and have scored in every match.
- →H2H: Regensburg won 2 of last 3, including a 3-0 win this season.
Defence
- →Waldhof Mannheim have not won in five and conceded 12 in that span.
Injuries & Team News
- →No key injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Both teams have high season over 2.5 goal percentages.
- →Waldhof's home record is decent, but Regensburg's away record is not far behind.
How Waldhof Mannheim and SSV Jahn Regensburg Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Waldhof Mannheim vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Waldhof Mannheimlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
SSV Jahn Regensburglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Waldhof Mannheim vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — Last 5 Matches
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Waldhof Mannheim vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
Waldhof Mannheim vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
2
Waldhof Mannheim wins
0
Draws
2
SSV Jahn Regensburg wins
Things to Watch: Waldhof Mannheim vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession) missing for Waldhof's recent games, lowering confidence in attack/defense estimates.
- ⚠️Small H2H sample size (3 games).
- ⚠️Late-season motivation for both teams is unclear as both are mid-table.
- ⚠️Odds for BTTS and under/over 1.5 not provided by bookmaker, so value checks limited.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Waldhof Mannheim vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Waldhof Mannheim vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Resources
Waldhof Mannheim Predictions
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SSV Jahn Regensburg Predictions
All SSV Jahn Regensburg fixtures & tips
Waldhof Mannheim vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
3. Liga Predictions
All fixtures for this competition
Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results