West Ham vs Bournemouth Prediction
Premier League · England
West Ham
Bournemouth
📍 London Stadium, London
🗓️ Saturday, 21 Feb 2026 at 17:30
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
2 - 2
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 32.0%
Draw: 34.0%
Away: 34.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(2)
btts — yes@ 3.35
EV: 128.0%
Both teams have scored in 4 of their last 5, and H2H is draw/BTS heavy. Defensive records are weak, and model probability is much higher than market.
over_under_2_5 — over@ 3
EV: 86.0%
Both sides average over 2.5 goals per game, recent games and H2H suggest open play, and market underprices the likelihood.
Match Analysis
This is a high-stakes clash for West Ham, who are fighting relegation, against a mid-table Bournemouth side in good form. Both teams have shown attacking intent and defensive frailty in recent matches, with a strong trend towards high-scoring draws in their head-to-head history. Expect an open, competitive game with both teams likely to score.
Key Factors
- →Both teams have scored in 4 of last 5 for each side.
- →West Ham's home record is poor (3W 2D 8L, 17:27), Bournemouth's away record is inconsistent but more attacking (23:31 in 13).
- →H2H: 6/10 last meetings were draws, many with both teams scoring.
- →West Ham's season over 2.5 goal rate: 65%, Bournemouth's: 62%.
- →Neither side has significant injuries.
- →West Ham are in the relegation zone and need points, Bournemouth are mid-table with less pressure.
- →Bournemouth average 10.4 shots, 4.4 on target per last 5 matches.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Lack of granular shots, xG, and lineup data for West Ham reduces model confidence.
- ⚠️Recent form is strong for both, but West Ham's home defensive record adds volatility.
- ⚠️Market odds on 1x2 are very close, indicating high uncertainty.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.