Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice Predictions
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Piast Gliwice
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.1(+6% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 0.90
Expected goals · model says 0.65
Over 2.5 Goals
20%
BTTS: Yes
28%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.1
Both teams have similar form and defensive solidity, with a high draw probability from model and historical H2H; the draw odds offer a slight value edge.
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The Case For This Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice Prediction
Widzew Łódź and Piast Gliwice meet in a low-stakes, closely matched fixture with both teams safe from relegation and little to play for in the table. Widzew have shown strong home form but are inconsistent overall, while Piast are hard to beat away and have drawn frequently. Both sides struggle for attacking output, and recent H2H matches have been tight, suggesting a low-scoring, cagey affair is likely.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Recent form: Widzew (LWLWL), Piast (LDDWD) – both inconsistent, Piast slightly steadier
Attack
- →H2H: 6 of last 8 meetings won by the home side, but most games are low-scoring (5 of last 8 under 2.5 goals)
Defence
- →Both teams average around 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game; defenses slightly stronger than attacks
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported
Match Context
- →Widzew's strong home record (8W, 4D, 4L) vs Piast's decent away record (5W, 4D, 7L)
🚩 Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.3 corners for Widzew Łódź and 5.7 for Piast Gliwice, for an expected total of 9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 54% · Over 10.5: 29%.
How Widzew Łódź and Piast Gliwice Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Widzew Łódźlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Piast Gliwicelast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Widzew Łódź have alternated wins and losses in their last five, struggling for consistency but remaining solid at home. Piast Gliwice have drawn three of their last five and lost only once, showing more resilience but limited attacking threat. Both teams have kept only one clean sheet in their last five, but also failed to score in multiple games.
Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice
The head-to-head record strongly favors Widzew, especially at home, where they have won three straight competitive meetings without conceding. However, most matches between these sides are tight and low-scoring, with neither team regularly running away with victory.
Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
6
Widzew Łódź wins
0
Draws
2
Piast Gliwice wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice
Bookmaker odds are extremely short on under 2.5 goals and BTTS 'no', reflecting the defensive trend, so there's little value there. The draw, however, is slightly undervalued by the market given the high probability of a stalemate based on both teams' recent results and H2H history. Backing the draw offers the best value in a match where goals are likely to be scarce.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice
- ⚠️Low motivation for both teams may lead to unpredictable lineups or intensity
- ⚠️Some missing match stats (shots, corners) for a few recent games reduces confidence in set piece projections
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds on under 2.5 and BTTS 'no' are very short, limiting value
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Widzew Łódź vs Piast Gliwice: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 23 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.