Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Faisaly FC
Full Time
1 - 3
AI predicted 0 - 2
Al-Ittihad FC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Al-Ittihad FC Win
Match Result
7.3/10Al-Ittihad Outclass Al-Faisaly with Clinical 3-1 Away Win
Al-Ittihad FC delivered a commanding performance on the road, defeating Al-Faisaly FC 3-1 at Al Majma’a Sport City. The visitors seized control early, with goals in the 28th and 43rd minutes setting the tone for a dominant display. Al-Faisaly struggled to match Al-Ittihad's intensity and precision, falling further behind just before the hour mark. A late consolation goal in the 87th minute provided little solace for the home side, as Al-Ittihad's superior attacking quality and midfield control proved decisive. Statistically, Al-Ittihad were the sharper side, edging possession with 53% and registering 12 shots, four of which were on target. Al-Faisaly, despite a spirited late push, managed only two shots on target from ten attempts, underlining their struggles in the final third. The result reflects Al-Ittihad's clinical edge and ability to manage the game's tempo, while Al-Faisaly were left to rue a lack of cutting edge and defensive lapses.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
0 - 2
Actual
1 - 3
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
28' — Goal
Al-Ittihad open the scoring, capitalizing on early pressure to take a deserved lead.
43' — Goal
Al-Ittihad double their advantage just before halftime, putting Al-Faisaly on the back foot.
59' — Goal
Al-Ittihad score their third, effectively sealing the result.
87' — Goal
Al-Faisaly pull one back late, but it proves little more than a consolation.
69' — Yellow Card
Al-Ittihad pick up the only booking of the match, reflecting their aggressive pressing.
Al-Faisaly FC
Al-Faisaly FC found themselves chasing the game for long periods, unable to assert themselves against a well-organized Al-Ittihad side. The home team’s 4-1-3-2 formation aimed to provide width and attacking impetus, but they struggled to break down the visitors’ disciplined defense. Their midfield, anchored by Eid Al Muwallad, was often overrun, and the front two of C. Bassogog and Alexandre Mendy were largely isolated. A late goal in the 87th minute offered a glimmer of hope but came too late to spark a comeback. The team’s inability to convert possession into meaningful chances and a lack of defensive solidity at key moments ultimately cost them.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Ittihad FC executed their game plan with precision, controlling possession (53%) and demonstrating clinical finishing. Their 4-4-2 formation provided balance, with the midfield quartet dictating play and supporting both defense and attack. The visitors struck first in the 28th minute and doubled their lead before halftime, effectively silencing the home crowd. A third goal shortly after the break put the result beyond doubt, allowing Al-Ittihad to manage the game and absorb pressure. Their defense, marshaled by Danilo Pereira, was largely untroubled, and the midfield duo of D. Lopy and R. Rios provided both steel and creativity.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al-Faisaly’s 4-1-3-2 sought to provide numbers in midfield and attack, but the lack of width and support for the strikers left them isolated against Al-Ittihad’s compact defense. The single holding midfielder struggled to contain Al-Ittihad’s fluid midfield movement, with R. Rios and D. Lopy frequently finding pockets of space. Al-Ittihad’s 4-4-2 was both disciplined and flexible, allowing them to press high and transition quickly. Their wingers tracked back diligently, and the full-backs supported attacks without leaving gaps. Set pieces were well-defended, and their pressing forced Al-Faisaly into errors, particularly in the buildup to the first two goals. Substitutions were used to maintain intensity and manage the game after establishing a comfortable lead.
Turning Point
Al-Ittihad’s second goal in the 43rd minute, just before halftime, shifted momentum decisively and left Al-Faisaly with a mountain to climb.
Man of the Match
Y. En-Nesyri
Led the line superbly, scored a crucial goal, and was a constant threat to the Al-Faisaly defense.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC: Match Preview
Al-Faisaly FC enter this match mired in a deep slump, sitting bottom of the Pro League with just one point from four matches and a five-game winless run across all competitions. Their confidence looks fragile after conceding three or more goals in three of their last five, and the home crowd at Al Majma’a Sport City have yet to see a victory this season. In contrast, Al-Ittihad FC have started the campaign with real purpose, unbeaten in their opening four league fixtures (W2 D2) and riding a five-match unbeaten streak in all competitions that has included three clean sheets and a notable uptick in defensive solidity.
Tactically, this match-up pits Al-Faisaly's leaky back line—averaging 2.6 goals conceded per game in their last five—against an Al-Ittihad attack that, while not prolific away from home, has shown efficiency and control. Al-Ittihad's shot volume (11.8 per game last five) and ability to dominate possession (63% in their last away outing) suggest they will dictate the tempo, while Al-Faisaly's struggles to create (just 2.8 shots on target per game) leave them reliant on rare counter-attacks. Discipline could play a role as well: both sides average over two yellow cards per match, and Al-Faisaly have already seen red once in this young season.
Given the current trajectories, the model expects Al-Ittihad to impose themselves early, likely scoring before the half-hour mark, and to keep Al-Faisaly at arm's length throughout. The visitors' defensive organisation and recent clean sheet run make a home breakthrough unlikely, while the lack of attacking spark from Al-Faisaly points to a controlled away win with limited goalmouth action.
How Al-Faisaly FC and Al-Ittihad FC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Faisaly FClast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Ittihad FClast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Al-Faisaly FC are in the midst of a brutal run, losing four of their last five and conceding heavily, with only a single point to show from four league matches. Al-Ittihad FC, meanwhile, have built momentum with a five-match unbeaten streak, three clean sheets, and a defence that has looked increasingly assured. The two sides are trending in opposite directions, with Al-Ittihad's form and organisation far outstripping the hosts' current level.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC — Last 7 Matches
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 17 shots/game
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC that most previews miss.
- 1Al-Ittihad FC have conceded only two second-half goals in their last five matches, highlighting their ability to see out leads.
- 2Al-Faisaly FC have failed to score in the first half in three of their last five matches.
- 3Al-Ittihad's last two away league matches have averaged just 0.5 goals per game combined.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.65
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS: Yes
38%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-2 · 1-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
The Case For This Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Prediction
Al-Faisaly FC limp into this fixture bottom of the table, winless in five and leaking goals at an alarming rate, while Al-Ittihad FC ride a wave of early-season momentum with a robust defensive record and an unbeaten streak. The contrast in form is stark: Al-Faisaly have lost four of their last five in all competitions, conceding 13 in that span, whereas Al-Ittihad have tightened up at the back, conceding just three in their last five and posting three clean sheets. Expect Al-Ittihad's pressing and attacking width to cause persistent problems for a home defence that has not kept a clean sheet all season.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Al-Faisaly FC have lost four of their last five, conceding 2.6 goals per game in that run.
- →Al-Ittihad FC are unbeaten in their last five, with three clean sheets and only 0.6 goals conceded per game.
- →Al-Faisaly have failed to win or keep a clean sheet at home this season.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Al-Ittihad FC Win
Al-Ittihad FC are unbeaten in their last five (W3 D2), have conceded just 0.6 goals per game in that stretch, and face a bottom-placed Al-Faisaly FC side on a five-match winless run with 13 goals conceded.
Read more ↓
BTTS: No
Al-Ittihad FC have kept three clean sheets in their last five and Al-Faisaly have failed to score in one of their last two home matches, averaging just 1.0 goal per game this season.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Al-Ittihad FC matches have gone under 2.5 goals in three of their last four league games, while Al-Faisaly have managed just four goals in four league outings.
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More Pro League Predictions
🚩 Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Al-Faisaly FC and 5.6 for Al-Ittihad FC, for an expected total of 9.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 62% · Over 10.5: 37%.
What History Says: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC
The head-to-head record is even over the last ten meetings, but Al-Ittihad have had the upper hand recently, including a 4-0 away win in their most recent encounter. Notably, three of the last five matchups have seen Al-Ittihad score at least twice, suggesting they know how to unlock this opponent. However, the fixture has produced its share of draws, with two 1-1 results in the last six years.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Al-Faisaly FC wins
2
Draws
4
Al-Ittihad FC wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC
With no bookmaker odds available, it's not possible to formally identify value edges. However, the model's strong lean towards an Al-Ittihad win and a low-scoring game is driven by the extreme recent form divergence. Should odds become available, markets underestimating Al-Ittihad's defensive strength or Al-Faisaly's attacking struggles would likely offer the best value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value assessment not possible.
- ⚠️Small sample size early in the season increases variance.
- ⚠️Al-Ittihad's away attack has only produced one goal in two league away matches, suggesting some risk if they struggle to break down Al-Faisaly.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Al-Faisaly FC 0–2 Al-Ittihad FCThe model projects a 2-0 win for Al-Ittihad FC, driven by their five-match unbeaten streak and three clean sheets in that span. The strongest data point is Al-Faisaly's defensive collapse—conceding 2.6 per game over their last five—against a visiting side that has been ruthlessly efficient. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Al-Ittihad's away attack continues to underwhelm and Al-Faisaly manage to frustrate them into a low-scoring draw.
Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC: Common Questions
Who will win Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC?
The model gives Al-Ittihad FC a 59% chance of victory, with Al-Faisaly FC at just 13% and the draw at 28%. This is based on Al-Ittihad's unbeaten start and Al-Faisaly's five-match winless run.
Will Al-Faisaly FC's poor form continue?
With four losses in their last five and 2.6 goals conceded per game, the data suggests Al-Faisaly's struggles are likely to persist, especially against an Al-Ittihad side conceding just 0.6 per game recently.
Will both teams score in this match?
Both teams to score is rated at just 29% probability, as Al-Ittihad have kept three clean sheets in their last five and Al-Faisaly have failed to score in one of their last two home games.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.