Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hazm
AI Predicted Score
1 - 3
Al-Nassr
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Al-Nassr Win
Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr: Match Preview
Al-Hazm enter this clash desperate for a spark, mired in a five-match winless run (DLLDL) and sitting 13th in the table, just two points above the drop zone. Their recent home form offers little comfort, with only one win from six and a defence that has shipped eight goals at home this season. In contrast, Al-Nassr arrive in Ar Rass as the league’s form side, riding a four-match winning streak and boasting the division’s second-best attack. With the title race heating up and every point vital, Al-Nassr’s momentum is impossible to ignore.
The tactical battle tilts heavily towards the visitors: Al-Nassr’s last five league outings have seen them average 15 shots and 2.0 goals per match, while Al-Hazm’s defence has been breached at least twice in four of their last five. The visitors’ ability to control possession (56.4% average) and generate high-quality chances contrasts sharply with Al-Hazm’s struggles to keep opponents at bay. Set pieces could also play a role, with Al-Nassr averaging nearly 7 corners per game recently, while Al-Hazm’s discipline has wavered (1.6 yellows per match in the last five).
Given the gulf in form and firepower, the model expects Al-Nassr to dictate proceedings from the outset. Al-Hazm’s habit of conceding early (four first-half goals allowed in their last five) points to a likely early breakthrough for the visitors. While Al-Hazm have shown flashes of attacking intent, their defensive frailties are likely to be ruthlessly exposed, making a 3-1 away win the most probable outcome.
How Al-Hazm and Al-Nassr Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Hazmlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Nassrlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Hazm are in a rut, winless in five (DLLDL) and conceding two or more in four of those matches, with their only recent bright spot a 2-2 home draw. Al-Nassr, by contrast, have surged to four straight wins, including a 3-1 away victory last time out, and are averaging 2.0 goals and 15 shots per game over that stretch. The momentum is firmly with the visitors, whose trajectory is upward as Al-Hazm struggle to stem the tide.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 80% of games this season
- +High-volume attack — 15 shots/game
Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr that most previews miss.
- 1Al-Nassr have scored first in four of their last five matches, while Al-Hazm have conceded first in four of five.
- 2BTTS has landed in four of Al-Hazm’s last five games, despite their poor results.
- 3Al-Nassr average 6.8 corners per game across their last five, highlighting sustained attacking pressure.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.90
Expected goals · model says 2.55
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
BTTS: Yes
55%
Likely Scores
0-2 · 1-2 · 0-3
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr?
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The Case For This Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr Prediction
Al-Nassr come into this fixture riding a wave of momentum, having strung together four consecutive wins across league and continental competition. Their attacking output has been relentless, with 8 goals scored in their last four league matches and a season average of 2.3 goals per game. In stark contrast, Al-Hazm are struggling to halt their slide, winless in five (DLLDL) and leaking an average of 2.0 goals per game in that stretch, their defensive frailty evident in a run of five matches without a clean sheet. The tactical contrast could hardly be sharper: Al-Nassr’s high-possession, high-shot attack (56.4% possession, 15 shots per game over the last five) faces an Al-Hazm side that has allowed two or more goals in four of their last five and mustered just 44.8% possession and 4.2 shots on target per match in that period. Al-Nassr’s away form is robust (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 12 scored, 6 conceded), while Al-Hazm’s home record is modest (1 win in 6, 7 scored, 8 conceded), and the head-to-head history is lopsided: Al-Nassr have won eight of the last ten meetings, including a 4-0 rout last time out. The model expects Al-Nassr’s momentum to carry them through, projecting another multi-goal performance from the visitors. Al-Hazm’s recent ability to find the net—scoring in four of their last five—suggests they may trouble the scoresheet, but their defensive vulnerabilities make them unlikely to contain Al-Nassr’s firepower for long. Expect the visitors to seize control early and maintain their grip, with the likeliest path being a 3-1 away win.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Al-Nassr are on a four-match winning streak in all competitions, scoring at least once in every game.
Defence
- →Al-Hazm have failed to win any of their last five, conceding 2+ goals in four of those matches.
Match Context
- →Head-to-head history is overwhelmingly in Al-Nassr’s favour: 8 wins in the last 10 meetings.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Al-Nassr Win
Al-Nassr arrive on a four-match winning streak, averaging 2.0 goals and 15 shots per game in that run, while Al-Hazm have failed to win any of their last five and have not kept a clean sheet in that period. The gulf in momentum and attacking output is pronounced.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Al-Nassr's last five league matches have seen a 68% over 2.5 goals rate, and Al-Hazm have conceded 2+ in four of their last five. Both sides show a clear tendency for open games, especially with Al-Hazm's defensive frailty.
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BTTS: Yes
Al-Hazm have scored in four of their last five despite poor results, and BTTS has landed in four of those matches. Al-Nassr’s away defence is solid but not impenetrable, conceding in three of five away league games.
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More Pro League Predictions
🚩 Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.5 corners for Al-Hazm and 6.2 for Al-Nassr, for an expected total of 10.7. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (63%). Over 8.5: 74% · Over 10.5: 50%.
What History Says: Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr have dominated the head-to-head, winning eight of the last ten meetings and scoring at least twice in seven of those. The last encounter finished 4-0 to Al-Nassr, and Al-Hazm have not beaten them at home since 2019. The fixture has a history of goals, with only one of the last six finishing under 2.5.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Al-Hazm wins
1
Draws
8
Al-Nassr wins
Things to Watch: Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value assessment and EV calculations are limited.
- ⚠️Al-Hazm have shown some attacking resilience at home, scoring in four of their last five.
- ⚠️If Al-Nassr rotate heavily or underestimate the opponent, the door is open for a closer contest.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Al-Hazm 1–3 Al-NassrAl-Nassr’s four-match winning streak, coupled with their 2.0 goals-per-game average over that run, makes them overwhelming favourites to extend their dominance over Al-Hazm. The likeliest scenario is a 3-1 away win, driven by Al-Nassr’s relentless attacking momentum and Al-Hazm’s inability to keep clean sheets. The biggest threat to this forecast is Al-Nassr’s potential for complacency or squad rotation, which could narrow the margin or open the door for a surprise.
Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr: Common Questions
Who will win Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr?
The model gives Al-Nassr a 72% probability of victory, reflecting their four-match winning streak and dominant head-to-head record. Al-Hazm are rated at just 8% to win, with a 20% chance of a draw.
Will both teams score in Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr?
There’s a 54% probability for both teams to score, as Al-Hazm have found the net in four of their last five and BTTS has landed in 80% of those games. Al-Nassr’s away defence is solid but has conceded in three of five away matches.
Can Al-Nassr’s winning streak continue?
Al-Nassr’s current momentum is strong, with four straight wins and an average of 2.0 goals per game in that period. Their attacking form and the gulf in quality make them strong favourites to extend the streak against an out-of-form Al-Hazm.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.