Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Al-Fayha
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha: Match Preview
Al-Qadisiyah FC approach this fixture sitting third in the Pro League, with 25 points from 11 matches and a strong record of eight wins. Their recent form is steady, with just one defeat in the last five and a 1-1 draw in the AFC Champions League Elite most recently. Al-Fayha, by contrast, are mired in 15th place with only one league win all season and have yet to taste victory away from home, collecting just three points from six road games.
The statistical contrast is stark: Al-Qadisiyah FC average 2.36 goals scored per match and generate 14.4 shots per game over their last five, while Al-Fayha concede 1.73 per match and have managed only four goals in six away fixtures. Both teams' matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 63.6% of cases, and Al-Qadisiyah FC's home games are particularly open, with 24 total goals in six matches. Set-piece data also favours the hosts, who average 8.2 corners per game in their last five, compared to just 3.8 for Al-Fayha.
Given these rates, the model expects Al-Qadisiyah FC to control territory and chance creation, with a high likelihood of multiple goals. Al-Fayha's away attack is blunt, but their tendency to concede and the hosts' open style suggest both teams can find the net. The most probable outcome is a high-scoring home win, with 2-1 and 2-0 the likeliest correct scores.
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Expected goals · model says 2.05
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
2-1 · 1-1 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha that most previews miss.
- 1Al-Qadisiyah FC have scored in every home league match this season (13 goals in 6 games), but have kept just one home clean sheet.
- 2Al-Fayha have failed to win any of their last 10 away league matches, averaging 0.67 goals per away game in 2026.
- 3Both teams' matches have cleared 8.5 corners in 80% of their last five league fixtures.
Who do you think wins: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 63.6% of league matches this season, and Al-Qadisiyah FC average 2.36 goals scored per game, while Al-Fayha concede 1.73 per game.
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Match Result: Al-Qadisiyah FC Win
Al-Qadisiyah FC have won 8 of 11 league matches and boast a 2.36 goals per game attack, while Al-Fayha have failed to win away all season and average just 0.67 goals per away game.
Read more ↓
More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha Prediction
Statistically, this fixture is shaped by Al-Qadisiyah FC's high-scoring home matches (2.17 scored, 1.83 conceded per home game) and Al-Fayha's leaky away defence (1.33 conceded per away match). Both teams' over 2.5 goal rates (63.6%) point to an above-average goal expectation. The home side's shot and corner volumes (14.4 shots, 8.2 corners per last 5) reinforce their attacking intent, while Al-Fayha's limited attacking output and low clean sheet rate (18.2%) suggest they are likely to concede at least twice.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Al-Fayha have not won away this season and average 0.67 goals scored per away game.
Defence
- →Al-Qadisiyah FC average 2.36 goals scored per game and 1.09 conceded.
Match Context
- →Both teams' matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 63.6% of league fixtures.
🚩 Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.7 corners for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 4.5 for Al-Fayha, for an expected total of 10.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (56%). Over 8.5: 69% · Over 10.5: 44%.
How Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Fayha Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Qadisiyah FClast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Al-Fayhalast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Qadisiyah FC's recent form shows resilience, with three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five across league and continental competition. They have scored in every match during this run. Al-Fayha, on the other hand, are winless in five (DLLDD), with just four goals scored and a defence conceding at a rate of 1.6 per game over that span.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +High-volume attack — 14 shots/game
- +Dominant in possession — 62% avg
What History Says: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha
Al-Qadisiyah FC have dominated recent home head-to-heads, winning four of the last five at their ground, including a 5-0 rout in January 2026. The fixture has generally produced goals, with only one of the last eight meetings ending goalless and an average of 2.75 goals per game.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
4
Al-Qadisiyah FC wins
1
Draws
3
Al-Fayha wins
Things to Watch: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value calculations are not possible.
- ⚠️Lineups are not confirmed; late changes could affect attacking or defensive strength.
- ⚠️Recent home defensive record for Al-Qadisiyah FC is weaker (11 conceded in 6 home games), raising variance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–1 Al-FayhaAl-Qadisiyah FC are projected to win 2-1, driven by their 2.36 goals per game attack and Al-Fayha's winless away record. The single strongest data point is the hosts' consistent scoring output coupled with Al-Fayha's 1.73 goals conceded per game. The main risk is Al-Qadisiyah FC's tendency to concede at home, which could allow Al-Fayha to nick a draw if finishing variance swings their way.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha: Common Questions
Who will win Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha?
Al-Qadisiyah FC are favoured by the model with a 58% probability of victory, compared to 16% for Al-Fayha and 26% for the draw. The hosts have won 8 of 11 league matches, while Al-Fayha are winless away.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha?
The probability of over 2.5 goals is 62%, based on both teams' 63.6% over 2.5 rate in league play and Al-Qadisiyah FC's average of 2.36 goals scored per game.
Are both teams likely to score in this match?
Both teams to score is rated at 55% probability. Al-Qadisiyah FC have kept just one home clean sheet, and Al-Fayha have scored in three of their last five away games.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Fayha: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.