Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
Full Time
4 - 0
AI predicted 3 - 0
Al-Hazm
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Al-Nassr Win
Match Result
7.8/10Ruthless Al-Nassr Crush Al-Hazm 4-0 in Riyadh Rout
Al-Nassr delivered a commanding performance at Al-Awwal Park, sweeping aside Al-Hazm 4-0 in a one-sided Pro League encounter. The hosts asserted their dominance early, with Cristiano Ronaldo opening the scoring in the 13th minute, setting the tone for a relentless attacking display. João Félix doubled the advantage before the half-hour, and late goals from Sadio Mané and Kingsley Coman capped a clinical evening for the Riyadh giants. Al-Nassr's superiority was evident in every department: they enjoyed 56% possession, fired 16 shots (12 on target), and rarely looked troubled defensively. Al-Hazm, meanwhile, struggled to create meaningful chances, managing just two shots on target and five attempts overall. The gulf in quality and intent was clear, with Al-Nassr's attacking stars shining and their midfield dictating play throughout.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
3 - 0
Actual
4 - 0
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
13' — Goal
Cristiano Ronaldo breaks the deadlock with a composed finish.
30' — Goal
João Félix doubles Al-Nassr's lead, capitalizing on sustained pressure.
77' — Goal
Sadio Mané adds a third, effectively sealing the result.
80' — Goal
Kingsley Coman completes the rout with a fourth goal.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Both teams pick up two yellow cards in a competitive midfield battle.
Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr were in imperious form, controlling the tempo from the outset and overwhelming Al-Hazm with wave after wave of attack. The 4-4-1-1 formation allowed Cristiano Ronaldo to lead the line with João Félix playing just behind, and both were instrumental in breaking down the visitors' resistance. The midfield quartet provided balance and creativity, while the defense remained largely untroubled thanks to effective pressing and possession control. The hosts' efficiency in front of goal was matched by their discipline at the back, conceding few opportunities and maintaining focus even as the scoreline grew. With 12 shots on target from 16 attempts, Al-Nassr's attacking play was both dynamic and ruthless.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Hazm
Al-Hazm endured a torrid evening in Riyadh, unable to match Al-Nassr's intensity or quality. Set up in a 4-1-4-1 formation, they struggled to gain a foothold in midfield and were pinned back for long spells. Their attacking forays were rare and largely ineffective, with only two shots on target and five overall as Al-Nassr's defense kept them at arm's length. Despite earning five corners and showing some fight in midfield, Al-Hazm's lack of cutting edge and defensive lapses proved costly. The team also picked up two yellow cards, reflecting their frustration and inability to stem the hosts' relentless attacks.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al-Nassr's 4-4-1-1 formation gave them both width and central presence, with João Félix operating in the hole behind Ronaldo and linking midfield to attack. The wide players, notably Coman and Mané, stretched Al-Hazm's back line, while Brozović anchored the midfield and dictated tempo. The home side pressed high, forcing turnovers and keeping Al-Hazm penned in their own half for much of the match. Al-Hazm's 4-1-4-1 setup was designed to provide midfield solidity, but they failed to match Al-Nassr's movement and incisiveness. Their lone striker, Omar Al-Somah, was isolated, and the midfield was unable to break the hosts' pressing traps. Set pieces offered brief respite, but Al-Nassr's defensive organization nullified any threat.
Turning Point
João Félix's goal in the 30th minute gave Al-Nassr a commanding 2-0 lead, effectively ending Al-Hazm's hopes of a comeback.
Man of the Match
João Félix
Instrumental in attack, scored the crucial second goal and linked play superbly.
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Expected goals · model says 2.85
Expected goals · model says 0.75
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
BTTS: Yes
50%
Likely Scores
2-0 · 3-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Al-Nassr Win
Al-Nassr have won 9 of 10 home matches this season, are on a 5-match winning streak, and have not conceded in their last 5 matches. Al-Hazm have a negative goal difference, poor away record, and have failed to score in 2 of their last 5.
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BTTS: No
Al-Nassr have kept 5 consecutive clean sheets and Al-Hazm have failed to score in 2 of their last 5. Al-Nassr's defense is among the league's best, while Al-Hazm struggle offensively.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Al-Nassr average 2.52 goals per game and 67% of their matches go over 2.5 goals. Al-Hazm's defense concedes 1.81 per game and both teams have a high over 2.5 rate.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm Prediction
Al-Nassr enter this fixture in dominant form, having won their last five matches without conceding a single goal. Their home record is outstanding, with 9 wins from 10 and an average of 2.8 goals scored per home game. Al-Hazm, by contrast, are mid-table, have a negative goal difference, and are inconsistent away from home. The head-to-head history is overwhelmingly in Al-Nassr's favor, and the data points to another comfortable win for the hosts, likely with a clean sheet.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Al-Nassr: 5 consecutive wins, 5 clean sheets, 9/10 home wins.
- →Al-Nassr average 2.52 goals/game, Al-Hazm concede 1.81 goals/game.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either side.
Match Context
- →Al-Hazm: Only 3 away wins, negative goal difference, 2 failed to score in last 5.
- →Head-to-head: Al-Nassr 8 wins in last 10 meetings.
🚩 Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.4 corners for Al-Nassr and 6 for Al-Hazm, for an expected total of 12.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (79%). Over 8.5: 87% · Over 10.5: 69%.
How Al-Nassr and Al-Hazm Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Nassrlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Al-Hazmlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.8 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
What History Says: Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm
Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
8
Al-Nassr wins
1
Draws
1
Al-Hazm wins
Things to Watch: Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some match stats missing for recent games (shots, possession, etc.), minor impact on confidence.
- ⚠️Cup rotation or unexpected lineup changes could affect outcome but no injury data suggests full strength squads.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazm: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 16 February 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.