Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat Predictions

Pro LeaguePro League ยท Saudi-Arabia
medium confidence
Al-Fateh

Al-Fateh

Full Time

1 - 0

AI predicted 1 - 2

Al Khaleej Saihat

Al Khaleej Saihat

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Friday, 24 Apr 2026 at 18:45 GMT+3 (venue time) ยท 15:45 UTC (your time)๐Ÿ“ Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf

Win Probability (1X2)

Al-Fateh 30%Draw 32%Al Khaleej Saihat 38%

Best Value Pick

BTTS: Yes

Match Result

6.8/10

Batna Strike Lifts Al-Fateh Past Al Khaleej in Tight Pro League Clash

Al-Fateh edged past Al Khaleej Saihat with a narrow 1-0 victory at the Al Fateh Club Stadium, thanks to a decisive second-half goal from Mourad Batna. In a match where both sides registered identical attacking numbersโ€”eight shots and two on target eachโ€”it was Batna's clinical finish in the 61st minute that proved the difference. Despite Al Khaleej enjoying the lion's share of possession (55%), they struggled to break down a disciplined Al-Fateh defense marshaled by Jorge Fernandes and Ziyad Aljari. The visitors' attacking duo of Kostas Fortounis and Joshua King were kept quiet, while Al-Fateh's compact midfield and timely interventions ensured the hosts held on for a valuable three points in front of their home fans.

๐Ÿ’€ AI Prediction Report

DOWN BAD

Predicted

1 - 2

โšก

Actual

1 - 0

โŒResult
โŒBTTS
โŒO/U 2.5
โŒScore

๐Ÿ’ฐ Bet Results0/3 hit

BTTS โ€” Yes
โŒ
Over/Under 2.5 Goals โ€” Over
โŒ
1X2 โ€” Away
โŒ

Key Moments

61' โ€” Goal

Mourad Batna finishes a flowing move to give Al-Fateh the lead.

68' โ€” Yellow card

Al-Fateh's Marwane Saadane shown a yellow for a tactical foul.

75' โ€” Yellow card

Al Khaleej's Dimitris Kourbelis booked for dissent as frustration grows.

82' โ€” Yellow card

Al-Fateh's Sofiane Bendebka cautioned for time-wasting.

Al-Fateh

Al-Fateh

7.3/10

Al-Fateh delivered a disciplined and resilient display, making the most of their limited chances in a contest where possession was not in their favor. The hosts were compact and organized in their 4-2-3-1 setup, with the midfield duo of Marwane Saadane and Zaydou Youssouf providing a solid shield in front of the back line. Mourad Batna's goal midway through the second half was the highlight, and the team managed to withstand late pressure from Al Khaleej to secure the win.

Key Players

Mourad Batna: Scored the decisive goal in the 61st minute.
Jorge Fernandes: Led the defense with composure, helping to keep a clean sheet.
Marwane Saadane: Anchored the midfield and disrupted Al Khaleej's rhythm.

Strengths

Defensive organizationClinical finishingMidfield discipline

Weaknesses

Limited attacking threat (only 2 shots on target)Low possession (45%)Few corners won (1)
Al Khaleej Saihat

Al Khaleej Saihat

6.4/10

Al Khaleej Saihat controlled possession for much of the match and looked to dictate play with their 4-4-2 formation. However, despite having more of the ball and slightly more corners, they were unable to convert their territorial advantage into clear-cut chances. The midfield quartet worked hard, but the attacking pair of Fortounis and King found little space against a resolute Al-Fateh defense. Ultimately, their lack of cutting edge in the final third cost them dearly.

Key Players

Giorgos Masouras: Provided energy and width from midfield, driving forward in search of an equalizer.
Dimitris Kourbelis: Battled in midfield, helping Al Khaleej win the possession battle.

Strengths

Dominated possession (55%)Midfield controlDisciplined defensive line

Weaknesses

Lack of creativity in attackIneffective finishing (2 shots on target)Unable to break down a compact defense

Tactical Analysis

Al-Fateh set up in a 4-2-3-1, prioritizing defensive solidity and looking to hit on the break. Their double pivot shielded the back four effectively, limiting Al Khaleej's ability to play through the middle. The hosts were content to cede possession, focusing on maintaining their shape and springing forward when opportunities arose. Al Khaleej, in their 4-4-2, sought to stretch the play and control the tempo, but their attacks often fizzled out in the final third. The lack of width and creativity hampered their ability to create clear chances, and their attempts to overload the flanks were well handled by the Al-Fateh full-backs. Late substitutions saw Al Khaleej push numbers forward, but Al-Fateh's defensive discipline held firm.

Turning Point

Mourad Batna's goal in the 61st minute, which shifted momentum and forced Al Khaleej to chase the game.

Man of the Match

Mourad Batna

Scored the match-winning goal and was a constant threat in attack.

๐ŸŽฎ Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ€” then simulate the match and see what happens.

Al-Fateh1.40

Expected goals ยท model says 1.40

Al Khaleej Saihat1.55

Expected goals ยท model says 1.55

Win Probability
Al-Fateh 34% Draw 24% Al Khaleej Saihat 41%

Over 2.5 Goals

57%

BTTS: Yes

59%

Likely Scores

1-1 ยท 1-2 ยท 0-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above โ€” every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ€” not betting advice.

Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
30%
32%
38%
Al-Fateh 30%Draw 32%Al Khaleej Saihat 38%
Both Teams to Score
59%
41%
Yes 59%No 41%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
58%
42%
Over 2.5 58%Under 2.5 42%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
34%
66%
Over 9.5 34%Under 9.5 66%

Who do you think wins: Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat Prediction

This is a clash between two lower mid-table sides, both struggling defensively but with attacks capable of scoring. Al Khaleej Saihat have the edge in firepower and recent H2H, while Al-Fateh are in poor form, especially at the back. Expect an open game with both teams likely to score and the away side slightly favoured to edge a high-scoring contest.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • โ†’Al-Fateh are on a 3-game losing streak and have only 1 win in their last 5.

Attack

  • โ†’Recent H2H meetings are high-scoring, with BTTS landing in 5 of the last 6.

Defence

  • โ†’Al Khaleej Saihat average 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game; Al-Fateh concede 1.78 per game.
  • โ†’Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 matches.

Match Context

  • โ†’Al Khaleej have a slightly better away record and are higher in the standings.

๐Ÿšฉ Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat Corners Prediction

low confidence
8.5expected total corners
Over 34%
Under 66%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4.2 corners for Al-Fateh and 4.3 for Al Khaleej Saihat, for an expected total of 8.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (66%). Over 8.5: 47% ยท Over 10.5: 23%.

How Al-Fateh and Al Khaleej Saihat Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Al-FatehAl-Fatehlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet โ€” available after predictions are regenerated.

Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihatlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet โ€” available after predictions are regenerated.

Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.

Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat โ€” Last 10 Matches

Al-FatehAl-FatehLast 10 results
D1-1
W1-0
L0-1
L0-1
L2-3
D1-1
W2-1
L3-4
L0-2
D1-1
D@ Al Shabab1-1
Wvs Al Khaleej Saihat1-0
L@ Al Okhdood0-1
Lvs Al-Hilal Saudi FC0-1
L@ Al Taawon2-3
Dvs Damac1-1
Wvs Al Okhdood2-1
L@ Al-Ettifaq3-4
Lvs Al-Nassr0-2
D@ Al-Qadisiyah FC1-1

Concerns

  • โˆ’Inconsistent โ€” 3+ losses in last 5
Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej SaihatLast 10 results
W3-1
L0-1
D2-2
L0-5
W2-1
L0-1
L2-3
L0-1
D1-1
D1-1
Wvs Al Najma3-1
L@ Al-Fateh0-1
D@ Al Kholood2-2
Lvs Al-Nassr0-5
Wvs Al-Hazm2-1
L@ Al-Ittihad FC0-1
Lvs Al Kholood2-3
Lvs NEOM0-1
D@ Al Riyadh1-1
D@ Al Taawon1-1

Strengths

  • +Over 2.5 goals in 65.52% of games this season

Concerns

  • โˆ’Leaky defence โ€” 2.0 conceded/game
  • โˆ’No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat

Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

6

Al-Fateh wins

1

Draws

3

Al Khaleej Saihat wins

60%10% draws30%
24 Apr 26Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat1-0
29 Dec 25Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fateh0-1
12 Apr 25Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fateh1-5
9 Nov 24Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat1-2
9 Mar 24Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat1-2
15 Sept 23Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fateh1-3

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat

Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per ยฃ1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Al-Fateh Win1.6230.0%-31.7%
Drawvalue3.6532.0%+4.6%
Al Khaleej Saihat Win2.1538.0%-8.5%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.5758.0%-5.7%
Under 2.52.3542.0%-0.6%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue3.4559.0%+30.0%
No1.2541.0%-39.0%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.65EV +0.168
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 3.45EV +1.035

EV per ยฃ1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate โ€” always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat

  • โš ๏ธNo bookmaker odds provided, so value analysis is limited.
  • โš ๏ธSome match and player stats missing for recent games.
  • โš ๏ธBoth teams are inconsistent and capable of unpredictable results.
  • โš ๏ธLineups not available at time of analysis.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 17 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ€” see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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