Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr Predictions

Prediction by The Form Guide — Al-Nassr arrive on a 5-match winning run — routed to The Form Guide, which weights momentum most heavily.
Pro LeaguePro League · Saudi-Arabia
high confidence
Al-Ittihad FC

Al-Ittihad FC

AI Predicted Score

1 - 2

Al-Nassr

Al-Nassr

🗓️ Saturday, 5 Sept 2026 at 21:00 GMT+3 (venue time) · 18:00 UTC (your time)📍 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah

Win Probability (1X2)

Al-Ittihad FC 25%Draw 26%Al-Nassr 49%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Al-Nassr Win

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr: Match Preview

Al-Nassr arrive at King Abdullah Sports City riding a five-match winning streak, having dispatched Al Taawon 2-1 most recently and racked up 12 goals in their four league outings this season. Sitting top of the table, they have been relentless in the final third, with Cristiano Ronaldo and João Félix both finding the net regularly. Al-Ittihad, meanwhile, are unbeaten but less dominant, having edged past Al-Hazm 3-2 and drawn at home to Al Kholood. Their seven points from three matches reflect resilience, but also a defence that has been breached in almost every game.

The tactical battle will likely hinge on whether Al-Ittihad’s back line can withstand the sustained pressure from Al-Nassr’s attack, which is averaging 13 shots and 5.6 on target per match in the last five. Al-Ittihad’s own attack has been lively (2.4 goals per last five), but their defensive numbers are less convincing, with only two clean sheets in that span and a tendency to concede early. Both sides have started matches quickly—each scoring eight first-half goals in their last five—so the opening half-hour could be decisive. Set pieces may also play a role, with Al-Nassr averaging over six corners per game recently.

Given the momentum and firepower of Al-Nassr, the model expects them to edge a high-tempo contest, but Al-Ittihad’s home form and attacking threat mean they should not be discounted. Expect goals at both ends, with Al-Nassr’s superior finishing and recent H2H record in Jeddah tilting the balance their way.

How Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Nassr Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FClast 5 matches
S. BergwijnXI
5 goals in 5
100%

In exceptional form

G. Ilenikhenasub/out
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

D. PereiraXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Y. En NesyriXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

H. AouarXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Al SahafiXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Al-NassrAl-Nassrlast 5 matches
Joao FelixXI
4 goals in 5
80%

In exceptional form

C. RonaldoXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Samu CostaXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

S. ManeXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

A. Al AmriXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

AngeloXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Al-Nassr are the league’s form side, having won five on the bounce and outscored opponents 16-4 across all competitions. Al-Ittihad are unbeaten in five themselves, but their three-game winning streak masks some defensive frailties, with just two clean sheets and a 3-2 home win over Al-Hazm that exposed vulnerabilities. Momentum and confidence are firmly with the visitors.

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr — Last 4 Matches

Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FCLast 3 results
W3-2
W1-0
D1-1
Wvs Al-Hazm3-2
W@ Al-Qadisiyah FC1-0
Dvs Al Kholood1-1

Strengths

  • +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
  • +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
Al-NassrAl-NassrLast 4 results
W2-1
W3-2
W4-0
W3-0
Wvs Al Taawon2-1
W@ Al-Ettifaq3-2
W@ Al Riyadh4-0
Wvs Al-Fateh3-0

Strengths

  • +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
  • +Prolific attack — 3.2 goals/game (last 5)
  • +50% clean sheet rate this season
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
25%
26%
49%
Al-Ittihad FC 25%Draw 26%Al-Nassr 49%
Both Teams to Score
58%
42%
Yes 58%No 42%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
62%
38%
Over 2.5 62%Under 2.5 38%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
64%
36%
Over 9.5 64%Under 9.5 36%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr that most previews miss.

  • 1Al-Nassr have scored at least twice in every away match this season, with seven goals in two league trips.
  • 2Both teams have scored in three of their last five matches, and neither has failed to score in that stretch.
  • 3The last ten H2H meetings have produced no draws, with the away side winning six times.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Al-Ittihad FC1.30

Expected goals · model says 1.30

Al-Nassr1.85

Expected goals · model says 1.85

Win Probability
Al-Ittihad FC 27% Draw 23% Al-Nassr 50%

Over 2.5 Goals

61%

BTTS: Yes

61%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Who do you think wins: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

The Case For This Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr Prediction

Al-Nassr’s momentum is impossible to ignore as they travel to Jeddah on a perfect run, having won all five of their last matches and averaging over three goals per game. Al-Ittihad are unbeaten themselves but have shown more vulnerability at the back, conceding in four of their last five. The clash is set up as a battle between the league’s most in-form attack and a home side still searching for defensive consistency.

Key Factors at a Glance

Defence

  • →Al-Nassr's five-match winning streak with 16 goals scored and only 4 conceded.
  • →Al-Ittihad have conceded at least once in four of their last five matches.

Match Context

  • →Both sides have not failed to score in any of their last five outings.

More Pro League Predictions

🚩 Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr Corners Prediction

medium confidence
10.8expected total corners
Over 64%
Under 36%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Al-Ittihad FC and 6 for Al-Nassr, for an expected total of 10.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 75% · Over 10.5: 52%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

What History Says: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr

This rivalry has been fiercely contested, with the last ten meetings split evenly—five wins each and no draws. Notably, the away side has triumphed in six of those encounters, and Al-Nassr have won three of their last four visits to Jeddah, often in high-scoring affairs.

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

5

Al-Ittihad FC wins

0

Draws

5

Al-Nassr wins

50%0% draws50%
6 Feb 26Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittihad FC2-0
28 Oct 25Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittihad FC1-2
26 Sept 25Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr0-2
19 Aug 25Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittihad FC2-1
7 May 25Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittihad FC2-3
6 Dec 24Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr2-1

Things to Watch: Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
  • ⚠️Early season sample sizes increase volatility in form and goal averages.
  • ⚠️Lineups are not confirmed; late injuries or rotations could impact key matchups.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Al-Ittihad FC 1–2 Al-Nassr

The model favours Al-Nassr to continue their winning run, projecting a 2-1 away victory based primarily on their five-match streak and 3.2 goals per game average. The most plausible way this goes wrong is if Al-Ittihad’s attack capitalises on Al-Nassr’s occasional defensive lapses, turning the match into a high-scoring draw.

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr: Common Questions

Who will win Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr?

Al-Nassr are given a 49% probability of victory, reflecting their five-match winning streak and 3.2 goals per game average, while Al-Ittihad have a 25% chance and the draw sits at 26%.

Will both teams score in Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr?

Both teams to score is rated at 58%, supported by the fact that neither side has failed to score in their last five matches and both have seen BTTS in three of those games.

Can Al-Nassr’s winning streak continue?

The model rates Al-Nassr as favourites to extend their run, with a 49% win probability and strong attacking numbers (13 shots, 3.2 goals per last five), but Al-Ittihad’s home record and attacking threat mean it’s not a foregone conclusion.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr Resources