Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Full Time
2 - 2
AI predicted 2 - 1
Al Shabab
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Al-Qadisiyah FC Win
Match Result
8.1/10Al-Qadisiyah and Al Shabab Share Spoils in Four-Goal Thriller
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al Shabab played out a pulsating 2-2 draw at the Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, with both sides showcasing attacking intent but ultimately unable to find a late winner. The hosts dominated possession (64%) and peppered the Al Shabab goal with 25 shots, but were matched by the visitors' clinical edge and resilience, even after being reduced to ten men in the second half. The match ebbed and flowed, with Al-Qadisiyah striking first in the 16th minute, only for Al Shabab to respond with goals in the 35th and 54th minutes. The home side pressed relentlessly, finally drawing level in the 76th minute. Despite a late red card for Al Shabab and a barrage of corners (13 for the hosts), neither team could break the deadlock in a dramatic finale.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
2 - 2
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
16' — Goal
Julián Quiñones puts Al-Qadisiyah ahead after sustained early pressure.
35' — Goal
Abderrazak Hamdallah levels for Al Shabab, finishing off a swift counterattack.
54' — Goal
Yacine Adli gives Al Shabab the lead, capping a clinical move.
76' — Goal
Al-Qadisiyah equalize after a period of relentless pressure.
80' — Red Card
Al Shabab are reduced to ten men, forcing a defensive reshuffle.
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC imposed themselves on the match with an aggressive, possession-heavy approach, registering 64% of the ball and firing 25 shots, 7 of which were on target. Their wingbacks and midfielders drove play forward, resulting in 13 corners and sustained pressure throughout. However, despite their dominance, they struggled to convert their chances, needing a late equalizer to salvage a point. Defensively, they were occasionally caught out by Al Shabab's counterattacks, conceding twice despite their control. The team showed resilience and attacking flair but lacked the clinical edge to claim all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al Shabab
Al Shabab were forced to defend for long spells but showed impressive efficiency, scoring twice from just 12 shots (8 on target) and making the most of their limited possession (36%). Their attacking midfielders and lone striker executed quick transitions, punishing Al-Qadisiyah on the break. A red card in the second half forced them to dig deep defensively, and while they were eventually pegged back, Al Shabab's organization and clinical finishing earned them a hard-fought point away from home.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al-Qadisiyah set up in a 3-5-2, utilizing their wingbacks to stretch the play and dominate midfield possession. Their approach relied on overloading central areas and generating chances through wide play and set pieces, as evidenced by their 13 corners. Otavio and Nández dictated tempo, while Quiñones and Retegui provided movement up front. Al Shabab's 4-2-3-1 focused on defensive solidity and rapid transitions. With less of the ball, they relied on the creativity of Adli and the pace of Carrasco to spring Hamdallah forward. After the red card, they dropped deeper, shifting focus to compact defense and absorbing pressure, while looking for sporadic counterattacks.
Turning Point
The red card for Al Shabab in the 80th minute shifted momentum decisively to Al-Qadisiyah, but the hosts failed to capitalize fully, settling for a draw.
Man of the Match
Marcelo Grohe
Produced a string of vital saves, especially in the closing stages, to secure a point for Al Shabab despite being down to ten men.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.90
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Al-Qadisiyah FC Win
Al-Qadisiyah FC are unbeaten at home this season (9W 5D 0L), have a strong attack (2.37 goals/game), and are facing a mid-table Al Shabab side with only 2 away wins and a negative goal difference. Recent form and H2H slightly favor the hosts.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5, and Al-Qadisiyah's matches go over 2.5 goals 70% of the time this season. Recent H2H also trends high scoring.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams have failed to score only once in their last 5. Al Shabab's attack has improved recently and Al-Qadisiyah's defense is not impenetrable.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab Prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC come into this match as clear favorites, boasting an unbeaten home record and a potent attack that averages over 2 goals per game. Al Shabab have struggled away from home, winning just twice in 14 attempts, and their defense has been leaky throughout the season. Both teams tend to score and concede, with recent matches trending towards BTTS and over 2.5 goals. Expect Al-Qadisiyah to control possession and create more chances, but Al Shabab have enough quality to get on the scoresheet.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have seen BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches.
Attack
- →Al-Qadisiyah FC are unbeaten at home (9W 5D 0L), with strong attacking stats.
- →Recent H2H meetings have been high scoring, with both teams finding the net.
Match Context
- →Al Shabab have only 2 away wins and a negative away goal difference.
- →Al-Qadisiyah's matches go over 2.5 goals in 70% of games.
🚩 Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.6 corners for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 5.6 for Al Shabab, for an expected total of 12.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (77%). Over 8.5: 86% · Over 10.5: 67%.
How Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al Shabab Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Qadisiyah FClast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Al Shabablast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 68.97% of games this season
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Al-Qadisiyah FC wins
2
Draws
4
Al Shabab wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value analysis is limited.
- ⚠️Some missing match stats (shots, possession) for Al Shabab's recent games.
- ⚠️Al Shabab have shown some improvement in attack recently.
- ⚠️No lineup or injury information released yet for this fixture.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Shabab: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 9 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.