Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Taawon Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Full Time
1 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 1
Al Taawon
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Al-Qadisiyah FC Win
Match Result
7.1/10Al-Qadisiyah Held by Resilient Al Taawon in Dammam Stalemate
Al-Qadisiyah FC were forced to settle for a 1-1 draw against Al Taawon at the Prince Saud bin Jalawi Stadium, despite dominating possession and peppering the visitors’ goal with 15 shots. Al Taawon, set up in a defensive 5-4-1, struck first through Roger Martínez in the 17th minute, capitalizing on a rare attacking foray. The hosts responded just before half-time, with Julián Quiñones finding the net to level proceedings. Despite Al-Qadisiyah's relentless pressure—evidenced by their 64% possession and a remarkable 14 corners—they struggled to break down a disciplined Al Taawon backline after the interval. The visitors, meanwhile, managed only two shots all evening, but their defensive organization and goalkeeper Mailson’s interventions proved enough to secure a hard-earned point on the road.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
1 - 1
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
17' — Goal
Roger Martínez finishes off a rare Al Taawon attack to give the visitors a surprise lead.
45' — Goal
Julián Quiñones levels for Al-Qadisiyah just before the break, capitalizing on sustained pressure.
56' — Yellow Card
Nahitan Nández booked for a tactical foul as Al-Qadisiyah pressed for a winner.
74' — Yellow Card
Ashraf El Mahdioui receives a yellow for Al Taawon after a late challenge in midfield.
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC controlled the tempo from the outset, dictating play with a midfield-heavy 3-5-2 formation that allowed them to dominate possession (64%) and create a flurry of chances, particularly from set pieces. Their attacking intent was clear, registering 15 shots and forcing 4 on target, but a lack of clinical finishing and a resolute visiting defence limited them to just one goal. The hosts’ frustration grew in the second half as they failed to convert their territorial advantage into a winner, despite winning 14 corners. Defensive lapses in transition were exposed by Al Taawon’s opener, and while they responded well, the inability to break the deadlock after equalizing left them with only a point.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al Taawon
Al Taawon executed a disciplined defensive game plan, deploying a compact 5-4-1 formation that stifled Al-Qadisiyah’s attacking forays. Despite seeing just 36% of the ball and managing only two shots (one on target), they made their chances count, with Roger Martínez finishing off a rare attacking move in the 17th minute. The visitors’ defensive unit, marshaled by Qasim Lajami and Mailson in goal, absorbed wave after wave of pressure, particularly from set pieces. While their attacking threat was minimal, their tactical discipline and work rate were instrumental in securing a valuable away draw.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al-Qadisiyah’s 3-5-2 formation allowed them to dominate the ball and overload the midfield, with wingbacks pushing high and central midfielders orchestrating play. Their approach relied heavily on width and set pieces, reflected in their 14 corners, but they struggled to penetrate Al Taawon’s deep block in open play. The hosts’ high line occasionally left them exposed, as seen in the build-up to the opening goal. Al Taawon’s 5-4-1 was a textbook example of defensive compactness, with the back five rarely venturing forward and the midfield four dropping deep to congest central areas. Their rare attacking forays were direct and purposeful, and after taking the lead, they sat even deeper, relying on Mailson’s shot-stopping and disciplined defending to see out the draw.
Turning Point
Julián Quiñones’ equalizer just before half-time shifted momentum, but Al Taawon’s defensive adjustments at the break ultimately stifled Al-Qadisiyah’s second-half efforts.
Man of the Match
Mailson
The Al Taawon goalkeeper made several crucial saves under relentless pressure, ensuring his side escaped with a point.
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Expected goals · model says 1.70
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Taawon Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Taawon(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Al-Qadisiyah FC Win
Al-Qadisiyah FC are unbeaten at home (7W 4D 0L), have stronger recent form (WWDWD), and show a better defensive record at home (7 conceded in 11). Al Taawon have lost 2 straight and are winless in 4 of their last 5, with a negative away goal difference. No major injuries for either side.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have high season over 2.5 rates (Al-Qadisiyah FC 68%, Al Taawon 50%), and 3/5 recent H2Hs had 3+ goals. Both sides average over 2 goals for per game, and recent form suggests attacking intent.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams scored in 3 of last 5 for each side, and both have attacking quality. H2H is split, but recent defensive slips from Al Taawon (1.4 conceded last 5) and Al-Qadisiyah (1.0 conceded last 5) support BTTS.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Taawon Prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC enter this home clash in strong form, unbeaten in their last 11 home matches and riding a two-game winning streak. Their attack is consistent, averaging 2.27 goals per game this season, and their defence is among the league's best at home. Al Taawon, despite a solid away record (6W 0D 5L), are on a downturn with two straight losses and a leaky defence, conceding 1.4 per game in their last five. Expect Al-Qadisiyah to control possession and create more chances, with Al Taawon dangerous on the break but less consistent lately. Goals are likely, but the home side's stability and form make them favourites.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Al Taawon have lost 2 straight and are winless in 4 of last 5.
Attack
- →Al-Qadisiyah FC average 2.27 goals scored per game, Al Taawon 1.82.
Defence
- →Al-Qadisiyah FC are unbeaten at home (7W 4D 0L), conceding just 7 in 11.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either team.
Match Context
- →Both teams have high over 2.5 and BTTS rates in recent matches.
- →Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 4th, 11 points ahead of 5th-placed Al Taawon.
- →H2H is even (5 wins each in last 10), but home advantage to Al-Qadisiyah.
🚩 Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Taawon Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Al-Qadisiyah FC and 4.4 for Al Taawon, for an expected total of 9.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 60% · Over 10.5: 34%.
How Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al Taawon Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Taawon Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al-Qadisiyah FClast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Al Taawonlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Taawon — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 70% of games this season
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Taawon
Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Taawon Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Al-Qadisiyah FC wins
1
Draws
5
Al Taawon wins
Things to Watch: Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Taawon
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some missing match stats (shots, possession) limit precision of attack/defence assessment.
- ⚠️H2H history is split, indicating possible volatility.
- ⚠️Recent away form for Al Taawon is mixed (6W 5L, no draws), increasing result variance.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al Taawon: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 23 February 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.