Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
Full Time
0 - 1
AI predicted 0 - 3
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Al-Qadisiyah FC Win
Match Result
7.2/10Al-Qadisiyah Snatch Dramatic Late Winner Against Resilient Al Taawon
Al-Qadisiyah FC left it late but ultimately broke Al Taawon's resistance with a 90th-minute goal, sealing a 1-0 away victory at Al-Taawoun Stadium. The visitors dominated proceedings from start to finish, amassing a staggering 71% possession and firing 22 shots, but found Al Taawon’s deep-lying defense and goalkeeper Mailson tough to break down for almost the entire match. Al Taawon, set up in a defensive 5-4-1 formation, were content to absorb pressure and frustrate their opponents, but their resolve was finally shattered in the dying moments. Despite their defensive heroics and a disciplined display, the hosts offered little threat going forward, registering just two shots on target. In contrast, Al-Qadisiyah’s relentless probing eventually paid off, rewarding their patience and attacking intent.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
0 - 3
Actual
0 - 1
💰 Bet Results2/3 hit
Key Moments
90' — Goal
Al-Qadisiyah finally break through with a late goal to secure all three points.
Al Taawon
Al Taawon executed a disciplined defensive game plan, sitting deep in a 5-4-1 and focusing on containment. They limited Al-Qadisiyah to half-chances for much of the match, with Mailson making several crucial saves. However, their inability to maintain concentration until the final whistle proved costly, as they conceded a heartbreaking goal in the 90th minute. Going forward, Al Taawon struggled to transition into attack, managing just six shots and two on target. Their midfield found it difficult to retain possession, and the lone striker A. Hamed Allah was often isolated.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah FC dominated the match from the outset, dictating play with 71% possession and relentless attacking pressure. Their 3-5-2 formation allowed them to overload the midfield and create numerous chances, with nine shots on target and an impressive 15 corners. Despite their superiority, they were repeatedly frustrated by Al Taawon's defensive block and goalkeeper Mailson. Persistence proved key, as Al-Qadisiyah continued to probe until the final moments. Their late breakthrough was just reward for their attacking intent and tactical patience.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al Taawon’s 5-4-1 formation was designed for compactness and defensive solidity, with five defenders and a narrow midfield sitting deep to deny space between the lines. This approach limited Al-Qadisiyah’s ability to play through the center, forcing them to utilize their wingbacks and wide midfielders in the 3-5-2 to stretch the play and deliver crosses. Al-Qadisiyah’s high possession and 15 corners reflect their territorial dominance and ability to pin Al Taawon back, but their lack of clinical finishing nearly cost them. Set pieces were a major part of Al-Qadisiyah’s attacking arsenal, as evidenced by their 15 corners, but Al Taawon’s defensive organization kept them at bay until the very end. The absence of bookings highlighted a disciplined, if sometimes risk-averse, approach from both teams. Tactical substitutions, if any, did not significantly alter the shape or flow, with both sides largely sticking to their initial game plans.
Turning Point
The 90th-minute goal by Al-Qadisiyah, finally breaching Al Taawon's defensive wall after relentless pressure.
Man of the Match
T. Reijnders
Dictated play in midfield, sustained attacking momentum, and was instrumental in the build-up to the decisive goal.
Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: Match Preview
Al Taawon enter this fixture rooted to 17th in the table, still searching for their first win after eight rounds. Their form string reads 'LDLLD', and the attack has collapsed entirely, failing to score in four straight league matches and yet to notch a single goal at home this season. In contrast, Al-Qadisiyah FC have surged to second place, their 'DWWDW' form powered by a prolific attack and a perfect away record—four wins from four, with 12 goals scored and just one conceded on their travels.
Tactically, this is a stark mismatch. Al Taawon have averaged only 0.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game over their last five, despite a respectable 12.6 shots per match and 42.8% possession. Their defensive frailties have been ruthlessly exposed, particularly in the 0-6 home defeat to Al-Hilal. Al-Qadisiyah FC, meanwhile, have averaged 2.8 goals per game in their last five, with five different players finding the net in their recent 5-0 away demolition of Al Kholood. The visitors’ high shot volume (14.2 per game) and set-piece threat (4.6 corners per match) should stretch a home defence that has looked increasingly brittle.
The model expects Al-Qadisiyah FC’s momentum to carry them to another comfortable victory. With Al Taawon’s confidence at rock bottom and their attack misfiring, the most likely scenario is an early away breakthrough, followed by a controlled performance from the visitors. The probability of a home goal is low given both recent output and season-long trends, while Al-Qadisiyah FC’s attack is unlikely to be contained for long.
How Al Taawon and Al-Qadisiyah FC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al Taawonlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Qadisiyah FClast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al Taawon's form has nosedived, with three consecutive league defeats and just one goal scored in their last five matches across all competitions. Al-Qadisiyah FC, by contrast, are flying—unbeaten in five, with 14 goals scored and only five conceded, including a 5-0 away win last time out.
Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +High-volume attack — 16 shots/game
Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC that most previews miss.
- 1Al Taawon have not scored a single goal in 360 minutes of home football this season.
- 2Al-Qadisiyah FC have scored in the first half in four of their last five matches, notching nine first-half goals in that span.
- 3Despite their struggles, Al Taawon have averaged 5.4 corners per game over their last five, hinting at some set-piece potential even if open play chances are scarce.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 0.80
Expected goals · model says 2.60
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
BTTS: Yes
51%
Likely Scores
0-2 · 0-3 · 1-2
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
The Case For This Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Prediction
Al Taawon’s season has spiralled into crisis, with a winless run now stretching to eight league matches and an attack that has completely dried up. In stark contrast, Al-Qadisiyah FC arrive in Buraidah riding a wave of momentum, unbeaten in five and ruthless on their travels with four straight away wins and 12 goals scored, conceding just once on the road. The gulf in recent form and attacking output is as wide as the league table suggests, and all the underlying numbers point to a one-sided contest.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Al Taawon have failed to score in four of their last five matches, while Al-Qadisiyah FC have scored at least once in every match this season.
Defence
- →Al-Qadisiyah FC have scored 21 goals in eight league games and have won all four away fixtures, conceding only once.
Match Context
- →Al Taawon have scored just three goals in eight league matches and none at home all season.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Al-Qadisiyah FC Win
Al-Qadisiyah FC have won four of their last five in all competitions, scoring 14 goals in that span, while Al Taawon are winless in eight league matches and have failed to score in their last four Pro League outings.
Read more ↓
BTTS: No
Al Taawon have failed to score in four of their last five matches and have yet to find the net at home this season (0 goals in 4 home games), while Al-Qadisiyah FC have conceded just once in four away league matches.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Al-Qadisiyah FC average 2.8 goals scored per game over their last five and have hit five in their most recent away league match, while Al Taawon are conceding 2.2 per game over the same span.
Read more ↓
More Pro League Predictions
🚩 Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for Al Taawon and 7.2 for Al-Qadisiyah FC, for an expected total of 11.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (72%). Over 8.5: 81% · Over 10.5: 61%.
What History Says: Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
The last ten head-to-heads are finely balanced, with Al Taawon holding five wins to Al-Qadisiyah FC’s four, but the recent trend favours the visitors. Al-Qadisiyah FC have won three of their last five away trips to Al Taawon, and the last three meetings have produced a win each and a draw.
Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Al Taawon wins
1
Draws
5
Al-Qadisiyah FC wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so value edges cannot be calculated. However, the model’s heavy lean towards an away win and 'BTTS: No' reflects the extreme divergence in recent form and attacking output between the two sides.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Al Taawon’s underlying shot and possession numbers are not as poor as their results, suggesting some potential for regression.
- ⚠️Head-to-head history is relatively balanced, with Al Taawon winning five of the last ten, but current form is heavily in Al-Qadisiyah FC’s favour.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Al Taawon 0–3 Al-Qadisiyah FCThe model calls this as a 0-3 away win, driven chiefly by Al-Qadisiyah FC’s relentless recent form—four straight away wins, 12 goals scored, and a defence that has conceded just once on the road. The biggest risk to this forecast is Al Taawon’s underlying shot numbers, which suggest they are due a goal, but their finishing and confidence are at such a low ebb that another blank is the likeliest outcome.
Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: Common Questions
Who will win Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Al-Qadisiyah FC are strong favourites with a 75% probability of victory, based on their four consecutive away wins and Al Taawon's eight-match winless run. The model predicts a 0-3 away win.
Will Al Taawon score against Al-Qadisiyah FC?
The probability of both teams scoring is just 22%, with Al Taawon failing to score in four of their last five and notching zero goals at home all season, while Al-Qadisiyah FC have conceded only once in four away league games.
Can Al-Qadisiyah FC keep their winning streak going?
With four straight away wins and 2.8 goals per game over their last five, Al-Qadisiyah FC have a 75% chance of extending their run, especially against an Al Taawon side that has not won or scored at home this season.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 13 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.