Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
Full Time
3 - 2
AI predicted 2 - 1
Al-Fateh
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
Match Result
8.2/10Al Taawon Edge Five-Goal Thriller Against Al-Fateh in Buraidah
Al Taawon held off a late surge from Al-Fateh to secure a thrilling 3-2 victory at Al Taawon Arena, delivering a pulsating contest that kept fans on the edge of their seats. The hosts looked comfortable after racing to a 3-0 lead by the 63rd minute, but Al-Fateh mounted a spirited comeback, scoring twice in the final 22 minutes to set up a nervy finish. With 56% possession and 14 shots (seven on target), Al Taawon showcased attacking intent and control for much of the match. Goals at the stroke of halftime and a rapid double after the break put them in command, but Al-Fateh, despite trailing, refused to capitulate. The visitors, operating with a 5-3-2, found their attacking rhythm late, registering goals in the 68th and 90th minutes, but ultimately ran out of time to salvage a point.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
3 - 2
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
45' — Goal
Roger Martínez opens the scoring for Al Taawon just before halftime, giving the hosts a psychological edge.
59' — Goal
Al Taawon double their lead with a well-worked move, capitalizing on their dominance.
63' — Goal
A third goal for Al Taawon seemingly puts the game out of reach.
68' — Goal
Al-Fateh pull one back, igniting hope of a comeback.
90' — Goal
Sofiane Bendebka scores for Al-Fateh, setting up a tense finale, but the visitors run out of time.
77' — Yellow Card
Al-Fateh pick up the only booking of the match as frustration grows.
Al Taawon
Al Taawon delivered an assertive attacking performance, controlling the tempo with 56% possession and consistently threatening the Al-Fateh goal. Their 5-4-1 setup provided defensive solidity while allowing midfielders to push forward, resulting in 14 shots and a clinical spell that saw them score three times between the 45th and 63rd minutes. Despite conceding twice late on, the hosts managed the closing stages well enough to secure all three points.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Fateh
Al-Fateh struggled to impose themselves for much of the contest, finding themselves three goals down by the 63rd minute. Their 5-3-2 formation initially prioritized defensive solidity, but they were unable to contain Al Taawon's incisive attacks. However, the visitors demonstrated impressive resilience, pulling two goals back and finishing strongly with eight shots (three on target). Their late rally nearly forced a dramatic comeback, but ultimately fell just short.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both sides lined up with five at the back—Al Taawon in a 5-4-1 and Al-Fateh in a 5-3-2—signaling initial intent to control the midfield and restrict space. Al Taawon's extra midfielder allowed them to dictate possession and transition quickly, particularly through the central areas, leading to sustained pressure and a flurry of goals around the hour mark. Their wing-backs provided width, stretching Al-Fateh's defensive line. Al-Fateh's tactical rigidity in the first hour limited their attacking options, but after falling behind by three, they pushed more bodies forward, utilizing their wing-backs and midfield runners to overload Al Taawon's defense. This shift paid dividends late on, as they exploited spaces left by a tiring home side, but their earlier conservatism ultimately left them with too much to do.
Turning Point
Al Taawon's third goal in the 63rd minute, which put them 3-0 up and ultimately gave them the cushion needed to withstand Al-Fateh's late charge.
Man of the Match
Roger Martínez
Set the tone with the opening goal and led the line with energy and quality throughout, constantly troubling the Al-Fateh defense.
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Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes
Both teams have consistently scored and conceded in recent matches (Al Taawon 5/5 BTTS, Al-Fateh 4/5 BTTS), and both have struggled for clean sheets. H2H also shows regular goals for both sides.
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Match Result: Al Taawon Win
Al Taawon have a stronger home record, higher league position, and H2H edge at home. Al-Fateh's away form is weak (2W 4D 5L), and their defense concedes heavily.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have over 45% of matches over 2.5 goals this season, recent H2H is high-scoring, and both defences are vulnerable.
More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh Prediction
Al Taawon host Al-Fateh in a mid-table clash where both sides have shown attacking intent but defensive frailties. Al Taawon are winless in five but have drawn their last two, and their home form remains solid. Al-Fateh have only one win in five and a poor away record. Both teams have been involved in high BTTS and over 2.5 goal matches recently. The H2H history is balanced but leans slightly to the home side, with frequent goals. Expect a competitive, open game with both teams likely to score and Al Taawon having a slight edge at home.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Al Taawon unbeaten at home in last 5 (2W 3D 0L in last 5 home, season: 6W 4D 2L).
Attack
- →Recent H2H: 5-2, 2-0, 1-3, 1-2, 3-4, showing high scoring trends.
Defence
- →Al-Fateh away record is weak (2W 4D 5L, 20 conceded in 11 away).
- →Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 matches.
Injuries & Team News
- →No key injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Al Taawon: 5/5 BTTS, Al-Fateh: 4/5 BTTS in last 5.
- →Al Taawon have a stronger league position (6th vs 9th) and goal difference (+13 vs -11).
🚩 Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.4 corners for Al Taawon and 4.8 for Al-Fateh, for an expected total of 10.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (57%). Over 8.5: 69% · Over 10.5: 44%.
How Al Taawon and Al-Fateh Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al Taawonlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Al-Fatehlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
What History Says: Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh
Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Al Taawon wins
2
Draws
3
Al-Fateh wins
Things to Watch: Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value and expected value cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some recent match stats missing (shots, possession, etc.) for both teams.
- ⚠️Lineups for this fixture are not available; late injuries or rotations could impact outcome.
- ⚠️Both teams' form is inconsistent, increasing result volatility.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 1 March 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.