Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
AI Predicted Score
1 - 0
Al-Fateh
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh: Match Preview
Al Taawon and Al-Fateh both find themselves in the bottom four after slow starts, with neither side yet to register a league win. Al Taawon have drawn both home games 0-0, while Al-Fateh have just a single point and only one goal to show from three matches. With both teams desperate to arrest early-season stagnation, this fixture carries added weight for momentum.
Statistically, this is a clash of blunt attacks and moderately solid defences. Al Taawon average just 0.75 goals per league game but have yet to concede at home, while Al-Fateh's attack is even more anaemic at 0.33 goals per game and only 6.8 shots per match in the last five. Al Taawon generate more attacking volume (11.2 shots, 5.2 corners per game in the last five) but have struggled to convert, and both sides have seen under 2.5 goals in the majority of their matches. Al-Fateh's defensive record away is poor (4 conceded in two), but their main issue is up front, with four blanks in their last five.
The model expects a low-tempo, risk-averse contest, with Al Taawon slightly favoured due to home defensive reliability and marginally better attacking output. The most probable outcomes are 1-0 or 0-0, reflecting both teams' issues in the final third and Al Taawon's tendency to keep things tight at home.
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Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 0.65
Over 2.5 Goals
26%
BTTS: Yes
32%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh that most previews miss.
- 1Al Taawon have kept clean sheets in three of their last five matches, including both home league games (0-0 draws).
- 2Al-Fateh have scored just once in their last five matches across all competitions, failing to score in four.
- 3Across the last 10 H2H meetings, the home side has scored at least twice in six matches, but current season rates suggest a significant drop-off in attacking output.
Who do you think wins: Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams combine for just 1.08 goals scored per game in the league so far (Al Taawon 0.75, Al-Fateh 0.33), and both have seen under 2.5 goals in the majority of their matches (Al Taawon 50%, Al-Fateh 66.7%).
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BTTS: No
Al-Fateh have failed to score in four of their last five, while Al Taawon have kept three clean sheets in the same span; BTTS has landed in just 1 of Al-Fateh's last five and 2 of Al Taawon's.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh Prediction
This is a meeting of two sides struggling for attacking output, with Al Taawon yet to score at home in the league and Al-Fateh managing just one goal in three matches. The underlying rates point to a low-scoring contest, with both teams' season averages well below the league mean. Defensive solidity has been more evident than attacking invention, especially from Al Taawon, who have kept three clean sheets in their last five across all competitions.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Al-Fateh have failed to score in four of their last five matches in all competitions.
Defence
- →Al Taawon average 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per league game; Al-Fateh average 0.33 scored and 1.67 conceded.
- →Al Taawon have not conceded a goal at home in two league matches (both 0-0 draws).
🚩 Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 6.6 corners for Al Taawon and 4.6 for Al-Fateh, for an expected total of 11.2. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (68%). Over 8.5: 79% · Over 10.5: 56%.
How Al Taawon and Al-Fateh Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al Taawonlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Al-Fatehlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Al Taawon arrive winless in the league but have shown defensive resilience, drawing both home games 0-0 and keeping three clean sheets in their last five. Al-Fateh's form is even more concerning, with four defeats and a single goal scored in their last five matches, highlighting a severe lack of attacking threat.
Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.2 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
What History Says: Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh
Historically, this fixture has produced goals, with four of the last five meetings seeing at least three. However, Al Taawon have won three of the last five at home, and recent attacking numbers from both sides suggest a shift towards lower-scoring outcomes.
Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Al Taawon wins
2
Draws
3
Al-Fateh wins
Things to Watch: Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Small sample size early in the season increases variance on attack/defence rates.
- ⚠️Recent cup games may not be fully representative of league lineups or intensity.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Al Taawon 1–0 Al-FatehA 1-0 home win is the model's baseline, driven by Al Taawon's clean sheet record at home and Al-Fateh's ongoing scoring drought. The likeliest way this prediction fails is if Al Taawon's attack continues to misfire, resulting in another goalless stalemate.
Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh: Common Questions
Who will win Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh?
Model probabilities give Al Taawon a 44% chance of victory, with a 38% chance of a draw and just 18% for an Al-Fateh win. Both teams are struggling, but Al Taawon's defensive record at home tips the balance.
Will both teams score in Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh?
Both teams to score is rated just 22%, with 78% for 'no'. Al-Fateh have failed to score in four of their last five, and Al Taawon have not conceded at home in the league.
How likely is under 2.5 goals in Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh?
Under 2.5 goals is given a 71% probability, as both teams average less than one goal scored per game and have combined for just one BTTS result in their last five each.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al Taawon vs Al-Fateh: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.