Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha Predictions
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
Full Time
2 - 3
AI predicted 1 - 1
Al-Fayha
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 3.95(+23% edge)
Match Result
8.2/10Late Benzia Stunner Seals 3-2 Away Triumph for Al-Fayha Over Al Taawon
Al-Fayha snatched a dramatic 3-2 victory over Al Taawon at the Al Taawon Arena, thanks to a late winner from Yassine Benzia in the 89th minute. The visitors took a two-goal lead early in the second half, but Al Taawon mounted a spirited comeback with two quick goals to level the score. Ultimately, Benzia’s decisive strike silenced the home crowd and secured all three points for Al-Fayha. The match was a tale of shifting momentum. Al Taawon dominated possession with 64% and registered 14 shots, but struggled to convert their chances, managing just three on target. Al-Fayha, clinical on the counter, made the most of their opportunities, matching Al Taawon’s shots on target despite having less of the ball. The match featured five goals, a flurry of cards, and late drama, making it a thrilling contest for the neutral.
💪 AI Prediction Report
DECENT HITPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
2 - 3
💰 Bet Results1/2 hit
Key Moments
44' — Goal
Jason finishes off a swift move to give Al-Fayha a 1-0 lead just before halftime.
52' — Goal
Al-Fayha double their advantage with a well-taken goal, piling pressure on the hosts.
74' — Goal
Marin Petkov pulls one back for Al Taawon, igniting hopes of a comeback.
79' — Goal
Roger Martínez levels the score at 2-2, completing a rapid turnaround.
89' — Goal
Yassine Benzia scores a late winner for Al-Fayha, sealing the victory.
Al Taawon
Al Taawon controlled large stretches of the game, dictating play with their 4-3-3 formation and enjoying the lion’s share of possession. Despite their territorial dominance and 14 shots, they struggled to break down Al-Fayha’s defense until late in the second half, when goals in the 74th and 79th minutes brought them level. However, lapses at the back and missed opportunities cost them dearly as they conceded a late winner. The midfield trio of Flávio, El Mahdioui, and Fulgini worked hard to control the tempo, but the forwards found it difficult to convert possession into clear-cut chances. Defensive frailties, particularly in transition, ultimately proved costly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Al-Fayha
Al-Fayha executed a disciplined and clinical game plan, absorbing pressure and striking with precision. Despite having just 36% possession, they matched Al Taawon’s shots on target and capitalized on defensive lapses. Goals before and after halftime gave them a commanding lead, and after being pegged back to 2-2, they showed admirable resilience to find a late winner. The 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to remain compact defensively while breaking forward through the likes of Benzia and Sakala. Their ability to punish Al Taawon on the break and maintain composure under pressure was key to their victory.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Al Taawon’s 4-3-3 formation aimed to control the midfield and stretch Al-Fayha’s defense with width from Petkov and Biel. Their possession-based approach yielded territorial dominance, but lacked penetration until late on. Al-Fayha’s 4-2-3-1 setup prioritized defensive solidity, with two holding midfielders screening the back four and quick transitions through Benzia and Sakala. The visitors were content to sit deep, soak up pressure, and break with pace, exploiting gaps left by Al Taawon’s advancing full-backs. Both teams made tactical adjustments in the second half, with Al Taawon pushing more bodies forward in search of goals, and Al-Fayha responding by tightening their lines and relying on counter-attacks. Set pieces and transitions proved pivotal, with Al-Fayha’s directness ultimately making the difference.
Turning Point
Yassine Benzia’s 89th-minute strike, which came just as Al Taawon looked poised to complete their comeback, decisively swung the match in Al-Fayha’s favor.
Man of the Match
Yassine Benzia
Delivered the match-winning goal in the dying moments and was Al-Fayha’s creative heartbeat throughout.
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS: Yes
48%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 3.95
Model estimates BTTS (yes) at 48% probability, while odds imply just 25%. Both teams have scored in 2 of last 5 for each, and Al-Fayha's away defence is vulnerable (25 conceded in 11 away), while Al Taawon have failed to score in only 2 of last 5. Value is strong.
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Match Result: Draw@ 3.2
Model sees a 34% chance of a draw, higher than the implied 31%. Recent H2H meetings show 5 draws in last 10, and both sides have drawn recently. Low-scoring game profile fits a draw scenario.
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More Pro League Predictions
The Case For This Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha Prediction
Al Taawon host Al-Fayha in a clash where the home side, despite a recent dip in form, remain strong at home and historically dominant in this fixture. Al-Fayha, however, have improved lately, winning 3 of their last 5, but their away record is poor (2W, 1D, 8L). Both teams have been inconsistent in attack recently, but defensive vulnerabilities—especially for Al-Fayha away—suggest both sides can score. The match is likely to be tight, potentially low-scoring, with a draw a strong possibility. Set pieces may play a role, but neither side excels in corners or discipline.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Recent form: Al Taawon struggling (LDLWL), Al-Fayha better (LWLWW)
- →H2H: Al Taawon unbeaten in last 10 vs Al-Fayha (5W, 5D)
Attack
- →Both teams average under 2 goals scored per game in last 5
Defence
- →Al-Fayha concede 2.27 goals per away game
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported
Match Context
- →Al Taawon strong home record (6W, 3D, 1L), Al-Fayha poor away (2W, 1D, 8L)
🚩 Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Al Taawon and 6 for Al-Fayha, for an expected total of 11. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (66%). Over 8.5: 77% · Over 10.5: 54%.
How Al Taawon and Al-Fayha Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Al Taawonlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Al-Fayhalast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
What History Says: Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha
Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Al Taawon wins
5
Draws
1
Al-Fayha wins
Things to Watch: Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha
- ⚠️Some recent matches have missing advanced stats (shots, xG, etc.)
- ⚠️Al Taawon form is volatile; recent dip could persist or rebound
- ⚠️Al-Fayha's last 5 stats show low shots/on target, but recent results are good
- ⚠️Corners and cards lines are estimated with moderate confidence due to partial data
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 February 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.