Antequera vs Granada CF Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Antequera
AI Predicted Score
0 - 1
Granada CF
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Antequera vs Granada CF: Match Preview
Antequera arrive off the back of a three-match winning run, having closed their league campaign and started pre-season on a high, while Granada CF have also strung together three consecutive victories in friendlies, including shutouts against Almeria and Real Betis. Both sides have shown defensive discipline, conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their last five, but Antequera’s results have come against lower-tier opposition compared to Granada’s recent schedule.
The matchup is shaped by both teams’ recent low-scoring trends. Granada’s friendlies have averaged only 1.8 goals per game, with their over 2.5 goals rate at just 20% for the season. Antequera’s attack has produced 1.4 goals per game in their last five, but they have struggled to create volume, and their second-half output (five of seven recent goals) suggests a cautious approach early on. Granada’s defensive record and marginally higher shot production (2 shots, 0.6 on target per game) give them a statistical edge, especially as Antequera have failed to score in one of their last five and have only two first-half goals in that span.
The model expects a tight contest with few clear chances, projecting a 0-1 away win as the most likely outcome. Under 2.5 goals and BTTS No are both strongly favoured, with Granada’s defensive consistency and recent clean sheets likely to prove decisive. The absence of head-to-head or league context adds uncertainty, but the underlying rates point to a controlled, low-event match.
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Expected goals · model says 0.75
Expected goals · model says 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS: Yes
37%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Antequera vs Granada CF Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Antequera vs Granada CF that most previews miss.
- 1Granada’s over 2.5 goals rate is just 20% across their last five matches, with three clean sheets in that span.
- 2Antequera have scored only two first-half goals in their last five games, compared to five after the interval.
- 3Both teams have seen BTTS land in just two of their last five matches.
Who do you think wins: Antequera vs Granada CF?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Antequera vs Granada CF(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides average just 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game over their last five, and Granada’s season over 2.5 rate is only 20%. The model puts under 2.5 at 68% probability, with little evidence of a high-scoring trend.
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BTTS: No
Granada have kept three clean sheets in their last five and Antequera have failed to score in one of their last five, with both teams scoring in only two of five for each side. The model gives BTTS No a 71% probability.
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The Case For This Antequera vs Granada CF Prediction
This friendly pairs an Antequera side on a three-match winning streak with a Granada CF team who have won three on the bounce themselves, but the underlying numbers point to a low-scoring contest. Both have recent defensive solidity and limited attacking output, with neither side averaging more than 1.4 goals scored or 0.6 conceded per game in their last five. Granada’s season-long over 2.5 goals rate sits at just 20%, and clean sheets have been common on both sides. Granada’s recent friendlies show a preference for control and defensive structure, conceding just one goal in their last four matches and keeping three clean sheets. Antequera, despite their positive results, have not faced an attack of Granada’s calibre in this span and have only scored more than once in a game twice in their last five. The match is likely to be decided by Granada’s slightly higher attacking ceiling and their ability to limit Antequera’s chances, especially in the first half, which has seen only two Antequera goals in their last five. The statistical shape of this fixture points to a slow-burn, with the model projecting a 0-1 away win as the most likely outcome. Under 2.5 goals and BTTS No are both strongly favoured, and the distribution of recent results suggests that a single goal could settle the contest. Granada’s defensive consistency and marginally superior shot production tip the balance in their favour.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Antequera’s last five matches have seen under 2.5 goals in three out of five games.
Defence
- →Both teams average 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game over their last five matches.
- →Granada have kept three clean sheets in their last five, conceding only once in their last four.
How Antequera and Granada CF Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Antequera vs Granada CF Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Antequeralast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Granada CFlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Antequera come into this friendly on a three-match winning streak, having conceded just twice in their last five and keeping two clean sheets. Granada CF have matched that momentum with three consecutive wins in friendlies, all at home, and have conceded only once in their last four matches, highlighting a defensive focus in pre-season.
Antequera vs Granada CF — Last 7 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +57.14% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Antequera vs Granada CF
There is no head-to-head data available for this fixture, so no historical trends or dominant patterns can be referenced. This increases the uncertainty around how the teams will match up in a neutral setting.
Antequera vs Granada CF Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
0
Antequera wins
0
Draws
1
Granada CF wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Antequera vs Granada CF
With no bookmaker odds available, the model cannot identify explicit value edges. However, the probabilities for under 2.5 goals (68%) and BTTS No (71%) are notably higher than typical market baselines for friendlies, suggesting these markets would be the first to check for value if odds are released.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Antequera vs Granada CF
- ⚠️No head-to-head data or league standings available to benchmark relative quality.
- ⚠️Both teams’ last five match data is drawn from different competition levels and includes friendlies.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be precisely calculated.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Antequera 0–1 Granada CFThe model forecasts a 1-0 win for Granada CF, with the strongest data point being Granada’s three clean sheets in their last five and their season-long tendency for low-scoring games (over 2.5 in only 20%). The main risk is Antequera’s recent run of form, but their step up in opposition quality and lack of attacking volume tempers that threat.
Antequera vs Granada CF: Common Questions
Who will win Antequera vs Granada CF?
The model gives Granada CF a 46% chance of victory, with Antequera at 22% and the draw at 32%. Granada’s recent defensive record and marginally better attacking output tip the balance in their favour.
Will both teams score in Antequera vs Granada CF?
Both teams to score is rated at just 29%, with BTTS No at 71%. Both sides have kept multiple clean sheets recently, and only two of their last five matches each have seen both teams score.
Is under 2.5 goals likely in Antequera vs Granada CF?
Under 2.5 goals is strongly favoured at 68% probability, supported by both teams averaging just 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game over their last five, and Granada’s season over 2.5 rate of only 20%.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Antequera vs Granada CF: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.