ATK Mohun Bagan vs SC Delhi Predictions
Indian Super League · India
ATK Mohun Bagan
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
SC Delhi
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: ATK Mohun Bagan or Draw
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Expected goals · model says 1.70
Expected goals · model says 0.85
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS: Yes
47%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
ATK Mohun Bagan vs SC Delhi Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: ATK Mohun Bagan vs SC Delhi?
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Where the Model Sees Value: ATK Mohun Bagan vs SC Delhi(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: ATK Mohun Bagan Win
ATK Mohun Bagan have a strong home record (5W-0D-1L), are second in the table, and have lost just once all season, while SC Delhi have struggled away (1W-1D-4L) and sit near the bottom. The home side's defensive solidity and attacking edge at home give them a clear advantage.
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Double Chance: ATK Mohun Bagan or Draw
ATK Mohun Bagan are unbeaten in 8 of 10 matches and have not lost at home since March. SC Delhi's away form is poor, so the likelihood of the home team avoiding defeat is very high.
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Over/Under 1.5: Over 1.5
Both teams average above 1 goal per game in their last 5, and 7 of ATK Mohun Bagan's 10 matches have gone over 1.5 goals. SC Delhi's defense concedes regularly, supporting a two-goal minimum.
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The Case For This ATK Mohun Bagan vs SC Delhi Prediction
ATK Mohun Bagan approach this fixture as clear favorites, boasting a formidable home record and a strong defensive base. SC Delhi have shown flashes of attacking promise but remain inconsistent, particularly on the road. Expect the home side to control proceedings, with Delhi's best hope coming on the counter or late in the match.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →ATK Mohun Bagan's higher league position and momentum.
Defence
- →ATK Mohun Bagan's home form: 5 wins from 6, only 5 conceded at home.
- →SC Delhi's away struggles: 4 losses in 6 away games, 10 goals conceded.
- →Both teams average 1.2 goals scored in last 5, but Mohun Bagan's defense is much tighter.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries for either side.
How ATK Mohun Bagan and SC Delhi Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
ATK Mohun Bagan vs SC Delhi Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
ATK Mohun Baganlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
SC Delhilast 5 matchesOccasional threat
ATK Mohun Bagan enter this match unbeaten in their last four (DWWD) and have only lost once all season, showing strong consistency and resilience, especially at home. SC Delhi, in contrast, have just one win in their last five (LDDLW) and have struggled to string together positive results, particularly away from home.
ATK Mohun Bagan vs SC Delhi — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
What History Says: ATK Mohun Bagan vs SC Delhi
There is no available head-to-head data between ATK Mohun Bagan and SC Delhi, so no direct matchup trends can be inferred. This increases uncertainty regarding how these teams match up stylistically.
ATK Mohun Bagan vs SC Delhi Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
ATK Mohun Bagan wins
0
Draws
0
SC Delhi wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: ATK Mohun Bagan vs SC Delhi
With no bookmaker odds provided, it is not possible to identify explicit value edges. However, the model strongly favors ATK Mohun Bagan based on form, home advantage, and league position, so any odds above 1.80 for a home win or 1.20 for double chance 1X would represent potential value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: ATK Mohun Bagan vs SC Delhi
- ⚠️No head-to-head data available; reduces confidence in historical matchup trends.
- ⚠️Some missing match stats for recent games limits depth of attack/defense comparison.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be calculated.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for ATK Mohun Bagan vs SC Delhi: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 12 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.