BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg Predictions
Allsvenskan · Sweden
BK Hacken
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
IF Elfsborg
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: BK Hacken Win
Recommended Bets: BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg: Match Preview
BK Hacken and IF Elfsborg approach this fixture with a top-four finish on the line, separated by just three points in the Allsvenskan standings. Hacken have been more consistent at home, losing only twice in 14 matches and scoring 26 goals in the process, while Elfsborg’s away record is more mixed (4W 6D 4L), with 19 goals scored and 21 conceded. Both sides have drawn over a third of their matches this season, but Hacken’s recent run (LWDWW) signals slightly stronger momentum than Elfsborg’s (LWDDD).
The statistical profile points to a match shaped by Hacken’s attacking output (1.79 goals per game, 18.2 shots per last five) against an Elfsborg defence that has kept just one clean sheet in their last five and concedes an average of 1.5 away from home. Elfsborg are still a threat going forward—averaging 1.4 goals and 4 shots on target per last five—but their defensive frailty is underlined by conceding four at Hammarby and failing to keep a clean sheet in four of their last five. Both teams generate high corner counts (Hacken 6, Elfsborg 8 per last five), which may increase set-piece danger.
The model expects Hacken’s home attack to be decisive, with a moderate-to-high goal environment (54% over 2.5 rate for both). A 2-1 home win is the likeliest outcome, but Elfsborg’s capacity to draw—ten already this season—means a stalemate cannot be discounted. Both teams to score is supported by recent form and H2H trends.
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Expected goals · model says 1.55
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg that most previews miss.
- 1Hacken have scored in 13 of 14 home matches, averaging 1.86 goals per game at Nordic Wellness Arena.
- 2Elfsborg have kept just one clean sheet in their last five away, conceding an average of 1.8 per game in that stretch.
- 3The last five league H2Hs have averaged 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in four of those meetings.
Who do you think wins: BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg?
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Where the Model Sees Value: BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: BK Hacken Win
BK Hacken have a stronger home record (7W 5D 2L, 26 scored in 14) and a higher season scoring rate (1.79 per game) than Elfsborg’s away output (1.36 per game, 19 in 14), while conceding fewer than Elfsborg ship on the road (1.29 per game).
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have hit over 2.5 goals in 54% of league matches, and the last 5 H2H league meetings have averaged 3.2 goals per game.
BTTS: Yes
Elfsborg have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, and Hacken have only failed to score once in their last 5; both attacks are above league average.
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More Allsvenskan Predictions
The Case For This BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg Prediction
BK Hacken and IF Elfsborg meet with a top-four finish at stake, separated by just three points in the Allsvenskan table. Hacken arrive with four wins from their last six, including a 4-0 demolition of Degerfors, while Elfsborg have drawn three of their last five and were beaten 4-1 at Hammarby in their most recent away outing. Both sides have been solid but not spectacular in the run-in, with Hacken’s home form (26 goals in 14) giving them a slight edge. Statistically, this fixture is shaped by Hacken’s attacking volume—averaging 18.2 shots and 6.6 on target per game over the last five, and 1.79 goals per game across the season—against an Elfsborg defence conceding 1.5 per away match. Elfsborg, meanwhile, have struggled for clean sheets (32% season rate) and have conceded 21 in 14 away games. Both teams are above average in corners (Hacken 6, Elfsborg 8 per last 5), suggesting set-piece opportunities. The goal environment is supported by both teams’ over 2.5 goal rate (54%) and a recent H2H trend of high-scoring matches. The model projects a competitive match, with Hacken’s home attack likely to dictate the tempo and Elfsborg’s away frailties—particularly in the second half—making them vulnerable. The likeliest scenario is a narrow home win with both sides getting on the scoresheet, but the draw remains a live outcome given Elfsborg’s resilience and recent run of stalemates.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →BK Hacken average 1.86 goals per home game, while IF Elfsborg concede 1.5 per away match.
- →Elfsborg have kept just one clean sheet in their last five, with BTTS landing in four of those.
Match Context
- →Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 54% of league matches.
🚩 BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for BK Hacken and 5.8 for IF Elfsborg, for an expected total of 10.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (62%). Over 8.5: 73% · Over 10.5: 50%.
How BK Hacken and IF Elfsborg Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
BK Hackenlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
IF Elfsborglast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
BK Hacken have taken 10 points from their last five matches, including a 4-0 home win over Degerfors and a narrow 1-0 win at Malmo, only slipping up in a 3-2 defeat at AIK. Elfsborg have drawn three of their last five and suffered a heavy 4-1 loss at Hammarby, collecting just one win in that span. Hacken’s recent form is more robust, especially at home.
BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
- +46.43% clean sheet rate this season
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg
The last ten meetings between these sides have produced just one draw, with Hacken winning five and Elfsborg four. Recent encounters have been high scoring, with four of the last five league H2Hs seeing both teams score and an average of 3.2 goals per game. Away wins are not uncommon in this fixture, adding a layer of unpredictability.
BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
BK Hacken wins
1
Draws
4
IF Elfsborg wins
Things to Watch: BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Both teams have high draw rates (Hacken 10, Elfsborg 10), increasing variance.
- ⚠️No injury or suspension information available for either side.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
BK Hacken 2–1 IF ElfsborgA 2-1 win for BK Hacken is the statistical call, anchored by their superior home scoring rate (1.86 per game) and Elfsborg’s away defensive record (1.5 conceded per game). The greatest risk to this forecast is Elfsborg’s high draw rate and their ability to score late, as evidenced by five second-half goals in their last five matches.
BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg: Common Questions
Who will win BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg?
BK Hacken are favoured with a 44% probability of victory, compared to 24% for Elfsborg and 32% for the draw. Hacken’s home scoring (1.86 per game) and Elfsborg’s away concessions (1.5 per game) give the hosts the statistical edge.
Will both teams score in BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg?
The model gives a 58% probability to both teams scoring, based on Elfsborg’s 4/5 recent BTTS rate and Hacken’s strong home attack. Defensive lapses on both sides have made BTTS a frequent outcome in their recent matches.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg?
There is a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals, with both teams hitting that mark in 54% of their league games and the last five H2Hs averaging 3.2 goals per match.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for BK Hacken vs IF Elfsborg: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.