Bologna vs Pisa Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Bologna
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Pisa
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Bologna Win
Bologna vs Pisa: Match Preview
Bologna approach this friendly on the back of two straight wins and an unbeaten run in their last three, having scored eight goals across those fixtures. Pisa, meanwhile, have struggled for consistency, losing two of their last three and conceding in every match. The recent H2H record also heavily favours Bologna, who have won all three meetings since 2019, including a 4-0 rout at home.
Statistically, Bologna's attack has been more productive, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game in their last five, while Pisa have managed 1.6 but have shown defensive frailty with a 0% clean sheet rate over the same span. Both sides' matches trend towards goals, with Bologna's games averaging 3.6 total goals and Pisa's 3.2. Notably, Bologna have kept one clean sheet in their last five, compared to none for Pisa, and the first half has produced more goals for Bologna (five first-half goals vs three in the second half).
The model expects Bologna to control the tempo, capitalising on Pisa's defensive lapses, especially early on. The likeliest scenario is a home win with both teams finding the net, but the goal distribution suggests a moderate rather than high-scoring affair. The most probable scoreline is 2-1, with Bologna's superior home scoring rate and H2H dominance the deciding factors.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.65
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Bologna vs Pisa Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Bologna vs Pisa that most previews miss.
- 1Bologna's last five matches have averaged 3.6 total goals, with three of five seeing both teams score.
- 2Pisa have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five matches and average 1.6 goals conceded per game.
- 3All three recent H2H meetings have ended in Bologna's favour, with an aggregate score of 8-0.
Who do you think wins: Bologna vs Pisa?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Bologna vs Pisa(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Bologna Win
Bologna have won three of the last three H2H meetings and are averaging 1.8 goals per game over their last five, while Pisa have not kept a clean sheet in their last five and have a 0% clean sheet rate this season.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams average above 1.5 goals scored and conceded per game in their last five, with Bologna's matches seeing 3.6 goals per game and Pisa's at 3.2, suggesting a moderate goal environment.
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The Case For This Bologna vs Pisa Prediction
The numbers point to a slight edge for Bologna, who combine recent attacking output with a perfect head-to-head record against Pisa. Both sides have shown defensive vulnerabilities, but Bologna's higher clean sheet rate and home advantage tip the balance.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Bologna have scored 1.8 goals per game and conceded 1.8 in their last five matches.
- →Pisa have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five and have a 0% season clean sheet rate.
Match Context
- →All three recent H2H meetings have gone Bologna's way, including a 4-0 home win.
🚩 Bologna vs Pisa Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Bologna and 3.4 for Pisa, for an expected total of 7.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (79%). Over 8.5: 32% · Over 10.5: 13%.
How Bologna and Pisa Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Bologna vs Pisa Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Bolognalast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Pisalast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Bologna have built momentum with back-to-back wins, scoring five goals and conceding just one in their last two outings. Pisa, by contrast, have lost two of their last three, including a 1-0 defeat to PRO Vercelli, and have yet to keep a clean sheet in their recent run.
Bologna vs Pisa — Last 4 Matches
What History Says: Bologna vs Pisa
Bologna have won all three recent meetings with Pisa, including a comprehensive 4-0 home win and two clean sheets away. Pisa have failed to score in the last two encounters, highlighting a clear trend in Bologna's favour.
Bologna vs Pisa Head-to-Head History
Last 3 meetings between these sides
3
Bologna wins
0
Draws
0
Pisa wins
Things to Watch: Bologna vs Pisa
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value calculations are limited.
- ⚠️Both teams' recent results come from friendlies, which may not reflect competitive intensity.
- ⚠️Limited away data for Pisa this season; all recent matches are at home.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Bologna 2–1 PisaBologna are projected to edge this contest 2-1, underpinned by their recent attacking output (1.8 goals per game) and a perfect H2H record against Pisa. The main risk is Pisa's occasional attacking outburst, as seen in their 6-1 friendly win, but their defensive record away from home remains a concern.
Bologna vs Pisa: Common Questions
Who will win Bologna vs Pisa?
The model gives Bologna a 48% chance of winning, Pisa a 20% chance, and a draw at 32%. Bologna's strong head-to-head record and recent scoring form make them favourites.
Will both teams score in Bologna vs Pisa?
There is a 54% probability of both teams scoring, with both sides averaging over 1.5 goals scored and conceded per game in their last five matches.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in Bologna vs Pisa?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 54%, supported by Bologna's matches averaging 3.6 goals and Pisa's 3.2 in their last five games.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Bologna vs Pisa: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.