Castellón vs Levante Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Castellón
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Levante
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–1
Castellón vs Levante: Match Preview
Castellón and Levante approach this friendly with comparable pre-season records—Castellón have two wins, a draw, and a loss from their last four, while Levante have won three of four, all at home. Both sides have shown attacking intent, with Castellón averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per match in their last five, and Levante averaging 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded. With no league points at stake, squad rotation and experimentation are likely, but both teams have a recent history of competitive friendlies.
Statistically, the contest is shaped by moderate attacking output and leaky defences. Castellón's only home friendly was a 2-0 win, but their other results include a 3-3 draw and a 0-3 defeat, highlighting inconsistency at the back. Levante have yet to play away this pre-season, but their BTTS rate is high (4 of last 5), and both teams have kept just one clean sheet in their last five. The goal split trends slightly toward the second half for both sides, and set-piece threat is limited, with both averaging under two corners per game.
Given the similar underlying rates and the lack of a clear home or away advantage, the model projects a balanced, moderately open game. The most probable outcome is a draw, with 1-1 the likeliest scoreline, reflecting both teams' tendency to score but not dominate. The probability distribution is tightly grouped, with no strong signal for a high or low goal total, and the absence of away data for Levante adds a layer of uncertainty.
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS: Yes
54%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Castellón vs Levante Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Castellón vs Levante that most previews miss.
- 1Castellón's last five matches have averaged 3.8 total goals, but only one clean sheet.
- 2Levante have not failed to score in any of their last five matches, with BTTS in four of them.
- 3Three of the last seven H2H meetings ended with two goals or fewer, including two 0-0 draws.
Who do you think wins: Castellón vs Levante?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Castellón vs Levante(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides average between 1.4 and 1.8 goals scored and conceded per game in pre-season, with 59% BTTS and 75% over 2.5 rates, but their H2H history features several draws and a low-scoring pattern, making 1-1 the modal outcome.
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BTTS: Yes
BTTS has landed in 3 of Castellón's and 4 of Levante's last 5 matches, with both teams failing to keep clean sheets consistently (only 1 each in last 5), suggesting a high probability of both sides scoring.
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The Case For This Castellón vs Levante Prediction
Statistically, this friendly sets up as a balanced contest between two sides with similar scoring and conceding rates in pre-season. Castellón's 1.75 goals scored and conceded per game are mirrored by Levante's 1.5 for and 1.0 against, with both teams posting only one clean sheet in their last five. The goal environment is slightly above average, but neither defence has looked watertight. The matchup is shaped by both teams' tendency to concede—Castellón's last five have averaged 3.8 total goals, while Levante's have averaged 2.6. Castellón's home record is perfect but based on a single 2-0 win, while Levante have yet to play away this pre-season, adding some uncertainty. Both sides see most of their goals after the break (Castellón: 5 of last 9 goals in the second half, Levante: 4 of 7), and set-piece threat appears minimal given low corners and shots figures. Given these numbers, the model projects a match with moderate scoring chances for both, but limited evidence for a high-scoring blowout. The most likely outcome is a draw, with 1-1 the modal scoreline, reflecting both teams' tendency to find the net but rarely dominate. The lack of strong home/away splits or standout attacking metrics keeps the probabilities tightly bunched.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Castellón average 1.75 goals scored and conceded per game in pre-season.
- →Levante have kept just one clean sheet in their last five, with BTTS in 4 of 5.
Match Context
- →Head-to-head meetings have produced two 0-0 draws and only one match with more than three goals.
🚩 Castellón vs Levante Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.5 corners for Castellón and 5.8 for Levante, for an expected total of 11.3. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (69%). Over 8.5: 79% · Over 10.5: 57%.
How Castellón and Levante Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Castellón vs Levante Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Castellónlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Levantelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Castellón's recent form is mixed, with two wins, a draw, and a heavy 0-3 defeat in their last four matches, conceding at least two goals in three of those. Levante arrive in slightly better shape, winning three of their last four, but all at home and with only one clean sheet. Both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive frailty.
Castellón vs Levante — Last 4 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 75% of games this season
What History Says: Castellón vs Levante
The head-to-head record is finely balanced, with Castellón winning two, Levante three, and two draws in the last seven meetings. Notably, three of those matches ended with two or fewer goals, including two goalless draws, pointing to a history of tight contests.
Castellón vs Levante Head-to-Head History
Last 7 meetings between these sides
2
Castellón wins
2
Draws
3
Levante wins
Things to Watch: Castellón vs Levante
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available—cannot compute value or expected value for bets.
- ⚠️Friendlies introduce rotation and experimental lineups, increasing volatility.
- ⚠️Levante have not played an away fixture this pre-season, so away form is unknown.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Castellón 1–1 LevanteThe model projects a 1-1 draw, with the strongest supporting data point being the high BTTS rate (59% combined in last five) and the lack of clean sheets on either side. The biggest risk to this call is Levante's untested away form in pre-season, which could see them either struggle or thrive in unfamiliar conditions.
Castellón vs Levante: Common Questions
Who will win Castellón vs Levante?
The model gives Castellón a 34% chance of victory, Levante a 30% chance, and the draw a 36% probability. Both teams have similar scoring and conceding rates, so a draw is the most likely result.
Will both teams score in Castellón vs Levante?
There is a 59% probability that both teams will score, with BTTS landing in 3 of Castellón's and 4 of Levante's last 5 matches. Both sides have struggled for clean sheets in pre-season.
How likely is over 2.5 goals in Castellón vs Levante?
The probability of over 2.5 goals is 53%, with both teams having a 75% over 2.5 rate in pre-season, but several recent H2H meetings have been low-scoring.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Castellón vs Levante: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.