Charleroi vs Genk Predictions
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Genk
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
@ 3.6(+26% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS: Yes
51%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Charleroi vs Genk Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Charleroi vs Genk?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Charleroi vs Genk(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes@ 3.6
Both teams average 1.2 goals scored in their last 5, BTTS has landed in 3 of Charleroi's and 4 of Genk's last 5, and H2H is draw-heavy with frequent BTTS. Odds offer significant value.
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Draw: Draw@ 3.45
Six of last ten H2H have been draws, both teams have drawn 2 of last 5, and recent form is closely matched. Bookmaker odds slightly undervalue the draw probability.
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The Case For This Charleroi vs Genk Prediction
Charleroi and Genk meet in a fixture that recent history suggests will be tight and competitive. Both teams are in solid but unspectacular form, with neither side dominating in attack or defence. Charleroi have been inconsistent at home, while Genk's away record is decent but not outstanding. The last five H2H meetings have produced four draws, and both sides have shown a tendency for games to be decided in the second half. Expect a cautious first half, with both teams likely to score and a draw the most probable outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Both teams average 1.2 goals scored in their last 5 matches.
Defence
- →Both teams have only 1 clean sheet in their last 5 matches.
Injuries & Team News
- →No key injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →6 of last 10 H2H ended in draws, including the last two.
- →Charleroi home: 5W 5D 7L, Genk away: 7W 5D 5L – neither dominant.
- →Genk have a slightly better overall season and away record.
🚩 Charleroi vs Genk Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.6 corners for Charleroi and 4.4 for Genk, for an expected total of 9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 54% · Over 10.5: 29%.
How Charleroi and Genk Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Charleroi vs Genk Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Charleroilast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Genklast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Charleroi vs Genk — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: Charleroi vs Genk
Charleroi vs Genk Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Charleroi wins
6
Draws
3
Genk wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Charleroi vs Genk
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Charleroi vs Genk
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession) missing for recent Genk games.
- ⚠️Lineups not confirmed for this fixture.
- ⚠️Low clean sheet rates but also low recent scoring may increase variance.
- ⚠️Market odds may shift before kickoff.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Charleroi vs Genk: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 27 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.