Genk vs Charleroi Predictions
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Charleroi
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Genk Win
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Expected goals · model says 1.70
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Genk vs Charleroi Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Genk vs Charleroi?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Genk vs Charleroi(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 2–1
Genk have a stronger home record and attacking output, while Charleroi struggle away and have conceded in all of their last 5. H2H often sees both teams score, but Genk edge it at home.
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Match Result: Genk Win
Genk's home form and attacking stats are superior, and Charleroi's away defensive record is poor. Model probability is highest for a home win.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Genk matches see high goal averages, with 62.5% over 2.5 this season. Charleroi's away games also trend over, and recent H2H supports goals.
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The Case For This Genk vs Charleroi Prediction
Genk host Charleroi with a clear edge in attacking output and home advantage. Genk have scored nearly 2 goals per game in their last five, while Charleroi have struggled to find the net and have a leaky away defense. H2H history at this venue favors Genk, but Charleroi are capable of scoring. Expect Genk to control the game and edge a competitive match with goals at both ends.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Genk's last 5: 1.8 goals scored/game, 2.2 conceded, 2 clean sheets
- →Charleroi's last 5: 0.8 goals scored/game, 1.6 conceded, 0 clean sheets
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported
Match Context
- →Genk home: 6W 5D 5L, 21:20 GF:GA
- →Charleroi away: 5W 2D 9L, 18:23 GF:GA
- →Genk 62.5% matches over 2.5 goals
- →Charleroi failed to score in 3 of last 5
🚩 Genk vs Charleroi Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Genk and 6 for Charleroi, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.
How Genk and Charleroi Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Genk vs Charleroi Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Genklast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Charleroilast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Genk vs Charleroi — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Genk vs Charleroi
Genk vs Charleroi Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Genk wins
5
Draws
1
Charleroi wins
Things to Watch: Genk vs Charleroi
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided; value edges cannot be calculated
- ⚠️Some recent match stats missing (shots, possession) for both teams
- ⚠️Both teams have inconsistent form streaks
- ⚠️Genk's defense is vulnerable (1.5 conceded/game season avg)
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Genk vs Charleroi: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 16 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.