Chippenham Town vs Weymouth Predictions
FA Trophy · England
Chippenham Town
Full Time
2 - 3
AI predicted 1 - 1
Weymouth
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
6/10Weymouth Edge Chippenham in Dramatic FA Trophy Penalty Shootout
Weymouth advanced in the FA Trophy after a nerve-shredding penalty shootout win over Chippenham Town, following a 2-2 draw in regulation time. With both sides unable to be separated over 90 minutes, it was Weymouth who held their nerve from the spot, prevailing 3-2 in the shootout and booking their place in the next round. The match itself was a closely fought contest, with neither team able to establish a decisive advantage. Both Chippenham Town and Weymouth traded blows throughout, but ultimately it was the visitors who kept their composure when it mattered most. The absence of yellow or red cards reflected a fiercely competitive yet fair encounter.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
2 - 3
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
Full Time' — End of Regulation
The match ends 2-2 after a fiercely contested 90 minutes.
Penalty Shootout' — Weymouth Win
Weymouth triumph 3-2 on penalties to progress in the FA Trophy.
Chippenham Town
Chippenham Town matched Weymouth stride for stride over 90 minutes, showing determination and resilience to keep the tie level. Despite their best efforts, they could not find a breakthrough in open play and were ultimately undone by the lottery of penalties. Their defensive discipline was evident, as they avoided any bookings, but the lack of a clinical edge in front of goal proved costly. The heartbreak of a penalty defeat will sting, but Chippenham can take pride in their battling display.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Weymouth
Weymouth showed grit and composure, especially when the match went to penalties. Their ability to hold their nerve in the shootout was the difference, as they converted three spot-kicks to Chippenham's two. While they were unable to pull away during regular time, Weymouth's resilience and mental strength in the decisive moments ensured their progression in the FA Trophy. The clean disciplinary record also highlighted their controlled approach.
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With no lineups or formation data available, both teams appeared well-drilled and disciplined, as evidenced by the lack of bookings and the deadlock after 90 minutes. The match was characterized by cautious play and defensive organization, with neither side able to find a decisive edge in open play. The even nature of the contest suggests both managers set their teams up to minimize risks, leading to a tight, tactical battle that ultimately required penalties to resolve.
Turning Point
The penalty shootout was the defining moment, with Weymouth converting three spot-kicks to seal their victory after a tense stalemate.
Man of the Match
Weymouth Penalty Takers
Held their nerve in the shootout to secure a dramatic victory.
Chippenham Town vs Weymouth: Match Preview
Chippenham Town approach this FA Trophy clash off a mixed run, with a 'DLWDW' form string and a current streak of one draw. Their last five matches have produced two wins, two draws, and a defeat, but they have struggled for goals at times, failing to score in two of those outings. Weymouth, meanwhile, come in with a 'WWDLL' form string and back-to-back wins, including a 5-1 home victory in the FA Trophy, but their away output has been less convincing, with just one goal in their last two competitive away games.
Statistically, this fixture is shaped by modest attacking rates and a tendency towards close contests. Chippenham's last five average just 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game, while Weymouth's 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded are inflated by a single high-scoring match. Both teams have failed to score in two of their last five, and clean sheets have been rare. The first half is typically cagey, with Chippenham averaging zero first-half goals in their last five, suggesting a slow start is likely. H2H data reinforces this, with three of the last five meetings ending 1-0 or 1-1.
The model expects a low-scoring draw as the most probable outcome, with the median scoreline at 1-1. Both sides' attack and defence rates are closely matched, and neither has a clear edge in recent form or underlying metrics. The lack of clear attacking superiority, combined with a history of tight games, points towards another narrow, low-scoring contest.
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Expected goals · model says 1.20
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS: Yes
45%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Chippenham Town vs Weymouth Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Chippenham Town vs Weymouth that most previews miss.
- 1Chippenham Town have averaged just 0.4 goals in the first half across their last five matches.
- 2Weymouth's only away match this season ended 2-2, but their previous two away games saw them fail to score.
- 3Four of the last five H2H meetings at Chippenham have finished under 2.5 goals.
Who do you think wins: Chippenham Town vs Weymouth?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Chippenham Town vs Weymouth(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides have averaged between 1.2 and 1.8 goals for and 1.0 to 1.2 against in their last five, with three of Chippenham's last five featuring BTTS. The draw is also well represented in their recent H2H history.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Chippenham's last five average just 2.2 total goals per game and their home H2H meetings with Weymouth have finished under 2.5 in four of the last five.
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More FA Trophy Predictions
The Case For This Chippenham Town vs Weymouth Prediction
This fixture projects as a low-scoring, tightly contested FA Trophy tie between two sides with modest recent attacking output and a history of close encounters. Both teams have shown defensive resilience in their last five matches, with Chippenham averaging only 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Weymouth have been slightly more prolific but also vulnerable at the back. The H2H record further supports a balanced matchup, with draws and single-goal margins dominating recent meetings.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Chippenham Town have failed to score in two of their last five matches.
Attack
- →Weymouth's last two competitive fixtures yielded seven goals scored but their away average remains just 1.0 per game across the last five.
Match Context
- →Four of the last five Chippenham Town v Weymouth meetings at Chippenham have ended under 2.5 goals.
How Chippenham Town and Weymouth Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Chippenham Town vs Weymouth Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Chippenham Townlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Weymouthlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Chippenham Town's recent form is mixed, with a 'DLWDW' string and two wins in their last five, but also two matches without a goal. Weymouth arrive with momentum from two straight wins, including a high-scoring FA Trophy tie, yet their away scoring has been inconsistent. Both teams' averages suggest neither is dominating their opposition, and draws have been a common result.
Chippenham Town vs Weymouth — Last 3 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Chippenham Town vs Weymouth
Chippenham Town have the upper hand historically, winning five of the last nine meetings and drawing three. Tight margins are the norm, with the last three encounters at Chippenham all finishing 1-0 or 1-1. The fixture has rarely produced more than two goals, reinforcing the expectation of a close contest.
Chippenham Town vs Weymouth Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
Chippenham Town wins
3
Draws
2
Weymouth wins
Things to Watch: Chippenham Town vs Weymouth
- ⚠️Season-long data is limited, especially for Chippenham Town, so recent form is weighted more heavily than ideal.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value assessment is not possible.
- ⚠️Lack of detailed shot, possession, and set piece data reduces confidence in secondary market predictions.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Chippenham Town 1–1 WeymouthThe statistical profile points to a 1-1 draw, underpinned by both teams' recent averages of just over a goal scored and conceded per match and a strong H2H trend towards low-scoring draws. The main risk to this outcome is Weymouth's potential for volatility, as seen in their 5-1 FA Trophy win, but Chippenham's defensive solidity at home has historically kept this fixture tight.
Chippenham Town vs Weymouth: Common Questions
Who will win Chippenham Town vs Weymouth?
The model rates Chippenham Town and Weymouth as almost evenly matched, with probabilities of 36% for a home win, 36% for a draw, and 28% for an away win. Recent H2H history and both teams' goal averages suggest a draw is the likeliest outcome.
Will both teams score in Chippenham Town vs Weymouth?
Both teams to score is rated at 48%, with three of Chippenham's last five matches seeing BTTS and Weymouth keeping two clean sheets in the same span. The data slightly favours at least one side failing to score.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for Chippenham Town vs Weymouth?
Under 2.5 goals is rated at 57%, supported by Chippenham's last five averaging just 2.2 total goals and four of the last five H2H meetings at Chippenham ending under this line.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Chippenham Town vs Weymouth: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.