Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Chrobry Głogów
Full Time
1 - 3
AI predicted 2 - 2
Warta Poznań
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Match Result
6.5/10Warta Poznań Outclass Chrobry Głogów in 3-1 Friendly Triumph
Warta Poznań asserted their superiority with a convincing 3-1 victory over Chrobry Głogów in this international club friendly. The visitors took control early, striking in the 21st minute and doubling their lead just before the break. Chrobry Głogów struggled to find their rhythm, only pulling one back in stoppage time, but Warta sealed the win with a third goal at the death. Despite a late consolation from the hosts, Warta Poznań’s clinical finishing and game management proved decisive. Chrobry Głogów’s efforts were hampered by a yellow card and a lack of attacking spark until the final moments, while Warta’s disciplined approach ensured a deserved result.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
2 - 2
Actual
1 - 3
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
21' — Goal
Warta Poznań open the scoring to take an early lead.
45' — Goal
Warta Poznań double their advantage just before halftime.
90' — Goal
Chrobry Głogów pull one back with a late goal.
90' — Goal
Warta Poznań respond instantly with a third to seal the win.
Unknown' — Yellow Card
Chrobry Głogów receive the game's only yellow card.
Chrobry Głogów
Chrobry Głogów were second best for much of the match, conceding twice in the first half and only finding the net in the 90th minute. Their attack struggled to create clear chances, and defensive lapses proved costly. A late goal offered some consolation, but the hosts never truly threatened to overturn the deficit.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Warta Poznań
Warta Poznań controlled proceedings from the outset, opening the scoring in the 21st minute and maintaining their composure to add a second just before halftime. Their disciplined defending and effective transitions allowed them to manage the game, and a late third goal capped a professional performance.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With no lineups provided, it is clear from the flow of goals that Warta Poznań approached the match with a disciplined structure, focusing on quick transitions and capitalizing on defensive lapses from Chrobry Głogów. The visitors’ ability to strike both early and late in each half suggests a well-drilled side, comfortable both in possession and on the counter. Chrobry Głogów, meanwhile, struggled to break down Warta’s shape and only found joy when the contest was effectively decided. Substitutions and formation changes are not detailed, but the pattern of the match points to Warta Poznań’s superior organization and clinical edge, while Chrobry Głogów were left chasing the game for long spells, unable to mount sustained pressure until the final moments.
Turning Point
Warta Poznań’s second goal just before halftime, which gave them a commanding lead and forced Chrobry Głogów to chase the game.
Man of the Match
Warta Poznań second goalscorer
Doubled the lead at a crucial moment and helped control the tempo throughout.
Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań: Match Preview
Chrobry Głogów arrive off a patchy run, but their last five matches have seen a defensive tightening (0.6 goals conceded per game) compared to a leaky season average of 2.0. However, their attack has cooled recently, with just 0.8 goals per game over the same span and two matches without scoring. Warta Poznań, by contrast, come in on a two-match winning streak, having scored three in each of their last two, and their season-long attack rate is a robust 2.22 goals per game. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches throughout the year, and the H2H record shows no clear dominance, with draws and alternating wins the norm.
Statistically, this is a fixture built for goals. Chrobry's home record features 15 scored and 10 conceded in just 7 matches, while Warta's away games average 5 goals per outing (10 for, 10 against in 4 matches). Both sides have over 88% of their season matches finishing over 2.5 goals, and their combined clean sheet rate is under 16%. Recent H2H friendlies have been especially open, with three of the last four producing at least four goals. The first half could be lively: Warta have scored five first-half goals in their last five, while Chrobry's rare clean sheets have often come against weaker attacks.
The model expects an open contest with both teams finding the net and a high probability of three or more goals. With neither defence reliable and both attacks proven, the likeliest outcome is a score draw, with 2-2 slightly favoured. The main risk is a drop in intensity or rotation typical of friendlies, but the statistical shape of both teams points strongly toward goals.
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS: Yes
68%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań that most previews miss.
- 1Chrobry Głogów's home matches average 3.57 goals per game this season (15 for, 10 against in 7).
- 2Warta Poznań have conceded in 77.8% of their matches, with only 2 clean sheets in their last 9.
- 3Four of the last five H2H meetings have seen both teams score and at least three total goals.
Who do you think wins: Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have season over 2.5 goal rates above 88%, with Chrobry Głogów at 91.67% and Warta Poznań at 88.89%, and their recent H2H meetings have produced 3+ goals in four of the last five clashes.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
The model assigns a 69% probability to BTTS, supported by high season scoring rates (1.83 and 2.22 goals per game) and a pattern of open friendlies between these two sides.
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More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań Prediction
Statistically, this fixture projects as a high-scoring, closely-matched friendly. Both Chrobry Głogów and Warta Poznań have averaged over 1.8 goals scored per game this season, but neither side keeps clean sheets reliably—Chrobry's season clean sheet rate is just 8.3%, while Warta's stands at 22.2%. The last five H2H meetings have averaged 3.0 goals per game, and both teams have shown a willingness to attack in recent friendlies.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Warta Poznań average 2.22 goals scored and 2.11 conceded per match this season.
Match Context
- →Chrobry Głogów's season over 2.5 goals rate is 91.67%.
- →Four of the last five H2H meetings have seen both teams score and at least three total goals.
How Chrobry Głogów and Warta Poznań Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Chrobry Głogówlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Warta Poznańlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Chrobry Głogów's recent form is mixed, with a 'LDDWW' run and only three goals scored in their last five. Their defence has improved, conceding just 0.6 per game in that span. Warta Poznań, meanwhile, have bounced back with two consecutive wins, scoring three in each, and have failed to score only once in their last five.
Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 92.31% of games this season
Concerns
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 90% of games this season
What History Says: Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań
The last ten meetings between these sides are split evenly, with three wins apiece and four draws. Recent friendlies have been open, with the last three producing 3-3, 3-1, and 3-3 scorelines. Both teams have scored in four of the last five encounters.
Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
3
Chrobry Głogów wins
3
Draws
4
Warta Poznań wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so value assessment is not possible. The model's strongest signals are on the goals markets, particularly over 2.5 and both teams to score, both rated above 69%. If odds become available, these markets should be checked for value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No current league standings data to contextualise motivation or squad rotation.
- ⚠️Missing shot, possession, and set-piece data limits tactical depth.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Chrobry Głogów 2–2 Warta PoznańThe model projects a 2-2 draw, driven by both teams' high over 2.5 goal rates (Chrobry 91.67%, Warta 88.89%) and the recent H2H trend of open, attacking friendlies. The likeliest way this goes wrong is if either side rotates heavily or adopts a more cautious approach than their season averages suggest, suppressing the goal count.
Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań: Common Questions
Who will win Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań?
The model rates this as a near-even contest: 34% home win, 33% draw, 33% away win. Both sides have similar attacking output and a recent H2H record that is balanced, so a draw is marginally favoured.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań?
There is a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals, based on both teams' season-long rates (Chrobry 91.67%, Warta 88.89%) and their recent high-scoring head-to-head matches.
Are both teams likely to score in Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań?
Yes, both teams to score is rated at 69% probability. Both sides average over 1.8 goals scored per game and have defensive records that suggest neither is likely to keep a clean sheet.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Chrobry Głogów vs Warta Poznań: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 30 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.