Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk โ€” No extreme form or market signal โ€” routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Premier LeaguePremier League ยท Wales
high confidence
Colwyn Bay

Colwyn Bay

AI Predicted Score

2 - 1

Cambrian & Clydach

Cambrian & Clydach

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Friday, 30 Oct 2026 at 19:45 GMT (venue time) ยท 19:45 UTC (your time)๐Ÿ“ Llanelian Road, Old Colwyn

Win Probability (1X2)

Colwyn Bay 54%Draw 27%Cambrian & Clydach 19%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Colwyn Bay Win

Recommended Bets: Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach

Match Result: Colwyn Bay Win
7/10
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
7/10

Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach: Match Preview

Colwyn Bay approach this fixture with momentum and a flawless home record, sitting fifth in the table with 25 points from 13 matches. Their form string of 'DWLWW' is backed by three wins in their last four league outings, and they have not dropped a point at Llanelian Road all season. Cambrian & Clydach, ninth with 18 points, have endured a volatile campaign, particularly away from home where defensive frailty has been their undoing.

Statistically, the matchup is defined by Colwyn Bay's defensive strength at homeโ€”just three goals conceded in six matchesโ€”against a Cambrian & Clydach side conceding 25 in seven away fixtures (3.57 per game). Both teams have shown attacking intent, with Colwyn Bay averaging 1.69 goals per game and Cambrian & Clydach 1.62, but the visitors' recent away results include heavy defeats (notably 0-9 and 1-9). The over 2.5 goal rate for Cambrian & Clydach is a league-high 77%, indicating a high-scoring environment, while Colwyn Bay's home matches are more controlled but still productive.

The model expects Colwyn Bay's home advantage and defensive structure to be decisive, projecting a 2-1 win. The most likely scenario is the hosts establishing control early, with Cambrian & Clydach's attack finding some success but ultimately undone by their defensive vulnerabilities. The lack of head-to-head data adds a layer of uncertainty, but the distribution of season-long rates points to a home win in a match with multiple goals.

๐ŸŽฎ Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ€” then simulate the match and see what happens.

Colwyn Bay2.05

Expected goals ยท model says 2.05

Cambrian & Clydach1.25

Expected goals ยท model says 1.25

Win Probability
Colwyn Bay 56% Draw 21% Cambrian & Clydach 23%

Over 2.5 Goals

64%

BTTS: Yes

62%

Likely Scores

2-1 ยท 1-1 ยท 2-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above โ€” every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ€” not betting advice.

Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
54%
27%
19%
Colwyn Bay 54%Draw 27%Cambrian & Clydach 19%
Both Teams to Score
57%
43%
Yes 57%No 43%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
66%
34%
Over 2.5 66%Under 2.5 34%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach that most previews miss.

  • 1Cambrian & Clydach's away matches average 5.14 total goals, the highest in the division.
  • 2Colwyn Bay have kept clean sheets in 46% of all league matches and 67% at home.
  • 3Cambrian & Clydach have conceded 4+ goals in three of their last five away league games.

Who do you think wins: Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach Prediction

Colwyn Bay's perfect home record and defensive solidity at Llanelian Road contrast sharply with Cambrian & Clydach's porous away defence, setting up a fixture where the hosts are statistically favoured. Both sides have shown a penchant for high-scoring encounters, but the home side's defensive metrics and league position point to a controlled victory.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • โ†’Both teams average over 1.6 goals scored per game, supporting a high goal expectancy.

Defence

  • โ†’Colwyn Bay have a 100% home record (6W, 0D, 0L), conceding only 0.5 goals per home game.
  • โ†’Cambrian & Clydach concede 3.57 goals per away game, the worst in the division.

How Colwyn Bay and Cambrian & Clydach Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games.

Colwyn BayColwyn Baylast 5 matches
S. Forde
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

D. Roberts
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

D. Poole
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

N. Peate
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

J. Davies
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. Hill
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydachlast 5 matches
A. Bonthron
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

L. Eason
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. Evans
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Colwyn Bay have won four of their last five league matches and boast an unblemished home record, conceding just three goals in six at Llanelian Road. Cambrian & Clydach, meanwhile, have suffered heavy away defeats recently, including 0-9 and 1-9, but did score four in their last away win and five in their most recent cup outing, highlighting their volatility.

Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach โ€” Last 10 Matches

Colwyn BayColwyn BayLast 10 results
W1-0
L0-1
W1-0
W5-2
W5-0
W2-1
L0-1
W2-0
L1-5
W1-0
W@ Flint Town United1-0
L@ Briton Ferry0-1
Wvs Haverfordwest County AFC1-0
Wvs Barry Town5-2
W@ Holywell5-0
Wvs GAP Connah S Quay FC2-1
L@ Penybont0-1
Wvs Llandudno2-0
L@ The New Saints1-5
Wvs Airbus UK1-0

Strengths

  • +Solid recent form โ€” 3+ wins in last 5
  • +46.15% clean sheet rate this season
Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & ClydachLast 10 results
L0-1
L0-9
W4-3
L1-9
W4-0
W2-1
D2-2
D2-2
L0-3
W3-0
Lvs Ammanford AFC0-1
L@ The New Saints0-9
Wvs Llandudno4-3
L@ Caernarfon Town1-9
W@ Trefelin4-0
Wvs Holywell2-1
D@ Cardiff MET2-2
Dvs Penybont2-2
L@ GAP Connah S Quay FC0-3
W@ Haverfordwest County AFC3-0

Strengths

  • +Prolific attack โ€” 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 76.92% of games this season

Concerns

  • โˆ’Inconsistent โ€” 3+ losses in last 5
  • โˆ’Leaky defence โ€” 4.4 conceded/game

Things to Watch: Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach

  • โš ๏ธNo head-to-head data is available, increasing model uncertainty.
  • โš ๏ธRecent shot and xG data are missing, limiting attacking quality assessment.
  • โš ๏ธBookmaker odds are unavailable, so value edges cannot be calculated.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Colwyn Bay 2โ€“1 Cambrian & Clydach

Colwyn Bay are projected to win 2-1, with their 100% home record and division-best home defence the single strongest data point. The main risk to this call is Cambrian & Clydach's unpredictable attack, which has produced big scores both for and against, and the absence of head-to-head data means the model leans heavily on rate-based projections.

Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach: Common Questions

Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach?

Colwyn Bay are favoured with a 54% win probability, underpinned by their perfect home record (6 wins from 6) and Cambrian & Clydach's league-worst away defence.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach?

There is a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals, as Cambrian & Clydach matches have gone over this line in 77% of games and their away matches average over 5 goals.

Will both teams score in Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach?

Both teams to score is rated at 57%, with both sides averaging over 1.6 goals per game and Cambrian & Clydach failing to score in only two of their last five.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & Clydach: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline โ€” season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 23 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ€” see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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