Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno Predictions
Premier League · Wales
Colwyn Bay
Full Time
2 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Llandudno
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
See full breakdown below
Match Result
6.8/10Colwyn Bay See Off Llandudno with Clinical 2-0 Victory at Llanelian Road
Colwyn Bay claimed a deserved 2-0 win over Llandudno at Llanelian Road, making the most of their opportunities in a match that saw both sides battle hard but the hosts ultimately show greater cutting edge. The breakthrough came late in the first half, giving Colwyn Bay momentum heading into the interval, before a second goal on 70 minutes sealed the points and left Llandudno with too much to do. While both teams played with intensity—evidenced by a combined five yellow cards—Colwyn Bay's composure in key moments proved decisive. Llandudno struggled to convert their efforts into goals, and despite a spirited display, were unable to find a way through a disciplined home side.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
2 - 0
Key Moments
39' — Goal
Colwyn Bay take the lead with a well-timed strike just before halftime.
70' — Goal
Colwyn Bay double their advantage, effectively sealing the win.
Various' — Yellow Cards
A total of five yellow cards issued, underlining the match's competitive edge.
Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay delivered a professional and efficient performance, capitalizing on their chances and maintaining defensive solidity throughout. Their first goal just before halftime shifted the momentum in their favor, and they managed the game well after doubling their lead in the 70th minute. The hosts also showed discipline at the back, keeping Llandudno at bay and limiting their opportunities.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Llandudno
Llandudno showed effort and aggression, as reflected in their three yellow cards, but ultimately lacked the cutting edge to trouble Colwyn Bay. Despite spells of pressure, they failed to find the net and struggled to break down the home defense. Their inability to respond after conceding the second goal left them chasing the game without reward.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
With full lineup and formation data unavailable, the match still reflected a clear tactical discipline from Colwyn Bay, who maintained their shape and capitalized on key moments. Their ability to strike at pivotal times—once before the break and again midway through the second half—suggests a measured approach, likely prioritizing defensive solidity and swift transitions. Llandudno, meanwhile, appeared to rely on aggression and pressing, as indicated by their three yellow cards, but struggled to translate that intensity into meaningful attacking play. Set pieces and physical duels played a role in the match's tempo, with both teams showing willingness to commit fouls and challenge for control. Ultimately, Colwyn Bay's composure in both penalty areas made the difference.
Turning Point
The opening goal in the 39th minute, which gave Colwyn Bay the initiative and forced Llandudno to chase the game.
Man of the Match
First Goalscorer
Scored the crucial opener and set the tone for Colwyn Bay's victory.
Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno: Match Preview
Colwyn Bay enter this fixture with a perfect defensive record at home, having won both league matches at Llanelian Road without conceding. However, their overall scoring rate is modest at 1.25 goals per game, and they sit mid-table with seven points from four matches. Llandudno, in contrast, have started the campaign with three wins from four and boast the division's second-best attack, scoring 11 times already and sitting fifth, two points off the summit.
Statistically, the contest is shaped by Llandudno's prolific attack against Colwyn Bay's home defensive solidity. Llandudno average 2.5 goals per away fixture and have failed to score only once in their last 15 competitive outings. Colwyn Bay's home clean sheet rate is 100% in the league, but their attack has produced just 1.5 goals per home game. Both sides show a tendency for early goals—Colwyn Bay have scored five first-half goals in their last five, while Llandudno have split their 13 goals almost evenly across both halves.
The model projects a match with above-average goal expectancy, tilting slightly towards the visitors due to their superior attacking output and recent away form. Llandudno's ability to sustain pressure and convert chances is likely to test Colwyn Bay's defensive resolve, and the most probable scenario is a narrow away win with both teams likely to score. However, Colwyn Bay's home defensive numbers suggest the margin is unlikely to be wide.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno that most previews miss.
- 1Llandudno have hit over 2.5 goals in 100% of their league matches this season (4/4).
- 2Colwyn Bay have conceded zero goals in their two home league games but five in two away.
- 3The last three H2H meetings at Llanelian Road have averaged 2.0 goals per match, with Colwyn Bay unbeaten.
Who do you think wins: Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno?
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The Case For This Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno Prediction
Llandudno arrive with the league's second-highest scoring rate, averaging 2.75 goals per game across their opening four fixtures, and have already netted five times in two away outings. Colwyn Bay, while unbeaten at home and yet to concede at Llanelian Road, have found goals more difficult to come by, with just three scored in their two home matches. The underlying rates point to a contest where Llandudno's attack meets Colwyn Bay's defensive home record head-on, with the visitors' greater offensive output likely to tilt the balance.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Llandudno average 2.75 goals per game this season, highest among the two sides.
- →All four of Llandudno's league fixtures have finished over 2.5 goals.
Defence
- →Colwyn Bay have kept clean sheets in both home league matches so far.
How Colwyn Bay and Llandudno Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Colwyn Baylast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Llandudnolast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Colwyn Bay have taken seven points from their opening four matches, winning both at home without conceding but struggling for goals away. Llandudno have won three of four, scoring 11 and conceding five, with their only defeat coming last time out at Penybont. The visitors' form string of LWWWW highlights a potent attack, while Colwyn Bay's WLDWW reflects defensive consistency at home but some vulnerability on the road.
Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno — Last 6 Matches
Strengths
- +50% clean sheet rate this season
Concerns
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
What History Says: Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno
The recent head-to-head record is balanced, with three draws in the last five meetings and Colwyn Bay unbeaten in their last three home games against Llandudno. Notably, the last clash at Llanelian Road ended 3-0 to Colwyn Bay, but overall, both teams have found the net in most encounters.
Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
4
Colwyn Bay wins
3
Draws
2
Llandudno wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno
No bookmaker odds are available for this fixture, so model-derived probabilities cannot be compared for value. In a typical market, the strongest edge would likely appear in the over 2.5 goals or BTTS markets, given Llandudno's high-scoring profile and Colwyn Bay's contrasting home defensive record.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno
- ⚠️Shot and possession data is unavailable, limiting precision on attacking dominance.
- ⚠️Small sample size (4 league games) may inflate early-season rate anomalies.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value assessment not possible.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Colwyn Bay 1–2 LlandudnoThe model gives Llandudno a 43% chance of victory, driven by their 2.75 goals-per-game average and consistent away scoring. The likeliest scoreline is a 2-1 away win, but Colwyn Bay's 100% home clean sheet record introduces real uncertainty—if their defensive discipline holds, a low-scoring draw is plausible.
Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno: Common Questions
Who will win Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno?
Llandudno are rated 43% likely to win, with Colwyn Bay at 28% and the draw at 29%. Llandudno's higher scoring rate and strong away record give them the statistical edge, but Colwyn Bay's perfect home defensive record keeps the contest close.
Will both teams score in Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno?
Both teams to score is rated 54% likely. Llandudno have scored in every league match so far, while Colwyn Bay have only failed to score once in their last five, suggesting a good chance both find the net.
Is over 2.5 goals a good bet for Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 61%. All four of Llandudno's league games have gone over this line, while Colwyn Bay's home matches have been lower scoring, so the value depends on whether Llandudno can break their hosts' defensive streak.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Colwyn Bay vs Llandudno: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 24 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.