Colwyn Bay vs Penybont Predictions
Premier League · Wales
Colwyn Bay
AI Predicted Score
1 - 0
Penybont
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS: Yes
39%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 0-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Colwyn Bay vs Penybont Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Colwyn Bay vs Penybont(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Colwyn Bay Win
Colwyn Bay are in better form (DLDWW) compared to Penybont (LLDLL), have a stronger recent H2H record at home, and Penybont's attack has struggled (0.4 goals/game last 5, 3/5 failed to score). Home side has a solid home record and motivation for a top-half finish.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams average under 2.5 goals in recent matches, H2H shows 2/3 recent games under 2.5, and both sides have low recent attacking output. Penybont especially are low-scoring recently.
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BTTS: No
Penybont have failed to score in 3 of last 5, Colwyn Bay have 2 clean sheets in last 5, and H2H trend leans toward at least one side blanking.
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The Case For This Colwyn Bay vs Penybont Prediction
Colwyn Bay come into this fixture on a solid run of form, with recent wins and a resilient defensive record, while Penybont are struggling for goals and results. The home side have had the better of recent H2H meetings, especially at Llanelian Road. Expect a tight game with Colwyn Bay's organization and home advantage likely tipping the balance, while Penybont's attacking woes may continue.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Colwyn Bay's recent form is stronger (DLDWW) than Penybont's (LLDLL)
Defence
- →Colwyn Bay have 2 clean sheets in last 5 and a positive home record
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side
Match Context
- →Penybont have scored just 0.4 goals/game in last 5 and failed to score in 3/5
- →Recent H2H at Colwyn Bay: 3-1, 5-4 wins for home side
- →Both teams' season over 2.5 goal % is below 45%
How Colwyn Bay and Penybont Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Colwyn Bay vs Penybont Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Colwyn Baylast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Penybontlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Colwyn Bay vs Penybont — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
What History Says: Colwyn Bay vs Penybont
Colwyn Bay vs Penybont Head-to-Head History
Last 8 meetings between these sides
4
Colwyn Bay wins
1
Draws
3
Penybont wins
Things to Watch: Colwyn Bay vs Penybont
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated
- ⚠️No advanced stats (shots, xG, possession) for recent games; reduces model confidence
- ⚠️Lineups for this match are not available at time of analysis
- ⚠️Both teams have shown some inconsistency this season
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 19 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.