Cremonese vs Genoa Prediction
Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
Full Time
Genoa
📍 Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
🗓️ Sunday, 15 Feb 2026 at 14:00
Match Result
6.7/10Stalemate in Cremona: Cremonese Hold Genoa in Goalless Serie A Draw
Cremonese and Genoa played out a tense 0-0 draw at the Stadio Giovanni Zini, with both sides unable to convert their chances in a match that ebbed and flowed but ultimately lacked a decisive finish. Genoa dominated possession with 65% and registered 19 shots, but found Emil Audero in inspired form, while Cremonese, despite seeing less of the ball, managed 16 shots and looked dangerous on the break. The match was marked by contrasting styles: Genoa’s patient build-up and territorial dominance against Cremonese’s compact defending and swift counter-attacks. Both teams had periods of ascendancy, but neither could find the breakthrough, leaving them to settle for a point apiece in a result that reflects both sides’ profligacy in front of goal.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
0 - 1
Actual
0 - 0
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
23' — Save
Emil Audero makes a superb stop to deny Vitinha’s close-range effort, keeping Cremonese level.
42' — Yellow Card
Youssef Maleh goes into the book for a tactical foul, halting a Genoa counter.
57' — Save
Justin Bijlow reacts sharply to parry a powerful shot from Milan Đurić, preserving Genoa’s clean sheet.
70' — Yellow Card
Federico Baschirotto receives a yellow for a late challenge on Junior Messias.
81' — Missed Chance
Lorenzo Colombo heads narrowly wide from a Brooke Norton-Cuffy cross, spurning Genoa’s best opportunity.
Cremonese
Cremonese set up in a 3-5-2 formation, prioritizing defensive solidity and looking to spring forward on the counter. Despite ceding possession for long stretches, they were effective in transition, creating 16 shots and forcing Genoa keeper Justin Bijlow into several saves. The back three, marshaled by Federico Baschirotto, stood firm under pressure, while Emil Audero’s commanding presence in goal was crucial to keeping a clean sheet. However, Cremonese’s attacking duo of Milan Đurić and Jamie Vardy struggled to make telling contributions, often isolated up front. The midfield worked tirelessly to disrupt Genoa’s rhythm, but the lack of clinical edge in the final third ultimately cost them a potential victory.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Genoa
Genoa’s 3-4-2-1 system allowed them to control the tempo, as they dominated the ball and looked to break down Cremonese’s deep block. With 65% possession and 19 shots, they consistently probed for openings, especially through the creative efforts of Ruslan Malinovskyi and the movement of Lorenzo Colombo up front. The wingbacks, Brooke Norton-Cuffy and Mikael Ellertsson, provided width and delivered a steady stream of crosses. Despite their attacking intent and 11 corners, Genoa’s finishing let them down. Junior Messias and Vitinha were lively but wasteful, and the visitors failed to capitalize on their territorial advantage. Defensively, they were rarely troubled, but frustration grew as the match wore on and chances went begging.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Cremonese’s 3-5-2 provided defensive stability, with wingbacks dropping deep to form a compact back five when out of possession. Their midfield trio worked tirelessly to disrupt Genoa’s passing lanes, while the forwards pressed selectively, looking to exploit turnovers. The home side’s focus on quick transitions was evident, but a lack of support for the front two limited their attacking threat. Genoa’s 3-4-2-1 offered width and numerical superiority in midfield, allowing them to dominate possession and push wingbacks high. Ruslan Malinovskyi operated as the creative hub, but Cremonese’s disciplined shape forced Genoa to settle for shots from distance or wide areas. Despite a flurry of corners and crosses, Genoa’s inability to penetrate centrally or finish chances proved costly.
Turning Point
Emil Audero’s stunning save from Vitinha in the 23rd minute set the tone for Cremonese’s defensive resilience and denied Genoa the early breakthrough.
Man of the Match
Emil Audero
His crucial saves, especially in the first half, kept Cremonese in the match and earned them a valuable point.
Pre-Match Prediction
Prediction Summary
Predicted Score
0 - 1
Match Odds (1X2)
Home: 23.0%
Draw: 38.0%
Away: 39.0%
Both Teams to Score
No
83.0% confidence
💰 Recommended Bets(3)
correct_score — 0-1
Genoa have been scoring more and conceding less than Cremonese recently. Cremonese have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 and have a poor home attack. Genoa's away form is not strong but their attack is much better than Cremonese's, and the match is likely to be low-scoring.
under 2.5 goals — under@ 1.09
EV: -5.0%
Both teams have poor scoring records, especially Cremonese. The last H2H finished 0-2, and both teams' recent matches have trended under 2.5 goals. Model probability is high but odds are short.
btts — no@ 1.13
EV: -5.5%
Cremonese have failed to score in 4 of their last 5, and Genoa have 2 clean sheets in that span. Both teams' attack/defence splits suggest a low BTTS probability.
Match Analysis
This is a relegation six-pointer between two sides level on points and struggling for form. Cremonese are in a deep slump, winless in their last five and scoring just once in that span. Genoa, while also inconsistent, have shown more attacking threat recently and have a better away scoring record. Expect a tense, low-scoring encounter with Genoa's superior attack likely to make the difference.
Key Factors
- →Cremonese: 4 losses and 1 draw in last 5, only 1 goal scored, failed to score in 4/5.
- →Genoa: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in last 5, averaging 2 goals scored per game.
- →Both teams have identical points and similar W/D/L records, but Genoa have scored 8 more goals this season.
- →Cremonese home attack is among the league's weakest (11 goals in 11 home games).
- →Head-to-head: Cremonese won 2-0 away earlier this season; previous meeting was a 0-0 draw.
- →Cremonese missing several players due to injury, further weakening their lineup.
Risk Notes
- ⚠️Low confidence due to both teams' inconsistency and poor recent form.
- ⚠️Cremonese's home stats and recent attack are extremely weak, but Genoa's away record is also poor.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds suggest a very low goal game, limiting value on main markets.
- ⚠️Injuries for Cremonese may impact defensive stability further.
- ⚠️Limited H2H data (only 2 recent meetings).
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.