Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21 Predictions
Premier League 2 Division One · England
Crystal Palace U21
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Everton U21
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Correct Score: 1–1
Recommended Bets: Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21
Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21: Match Preview
Crystal Palace U21 come into this fixture on the back of a difficult run, losing four of their last five matches in all competitions and sitting 17th in the league. Their home form is especially poor, with two defeats from two and a goal difference of -4 at the Crystal Palace Academy. Everton U21, 13th in the table, have also struggled for consistency, but remain unbeaten away from home and have conceded just four goals in five league matches overall.
The statistical matchup is defined by Everton’s defensive discipline—0.8 goals conceded per game and a 40% clean sheet rate—against a Palace attack that has managed just one goal per home game. Everton’s away matches have been tight, with only two goals scored and none conceded across two fixtures. Both teams have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate, and their last two league H2Hs finished 0-0 and 1-1, reinforcing the expectation of a low-scoring contest. Set-piece and card data show no major outliers, with both sides averaging under 2 corners and 1 card per game in their last five.
Given these numbers, the model anticipates a tactical battle with few clear chances, especially in the first half. Everton’s defensive structure and Palace’s lack of home cutting edge point towards a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. The main caveat is Palace’s recent defensive volatility, which could tilt the balance if Everton take their chances.
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Expected goals · model says 1.10
Expected goals · model says 1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS: Yes
45%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21 Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21 that most previews miss.
- 1Everton U21 have not conceded in either of their away league matches this season (2 games, 0 against).
- 2Crystal Palace U21’s home league matches average just 1 goal scored and 3 conceded per game.
- 3Two of the last three H2H meetings have finished under 2.5 goals, including a 0-0 last time out.
Who do you think wins: Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Correct Score: 1–1
Both sides average fewer than 2 goals scored per game and have drawn two of their last four H2H meetings, with the last league clash ending 0-0. The model’s most likely outcome is a low-scoring stalemate given Everton U21’s defensive record (0.8 conceded per game) and Palace’s blunt home attack (2 goals in 2 home games).
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have a 40% over 2.5 rate this season and Everton U21 have yet to concede away from home (2 away games, 0 conceded). Palace U21 average just 1 goal per home game, making a low total likely.
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More Premier League 2 Division One Predictions
The Case For This Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21 Prediction
Statistically, this is a mid-table Premier League 2 clash between two sides with similar season-long scoring and concession rates, but contrasting home and away splits. Crystal Palace U21 have struggled at home, losing both matches with just 2 goals scored and 6 conceded, while Everton U21 are unbeaten away, yet have only managed 2 goals in 2 away fixtures. Recent form is patchy on both sides, with Palace losing four of their last five in all competitions and Everton winning just one of their last five. The matchup is shaped by Everton's defensive solidity (0.8 conceded per game, 40% clean sheet rate) against a Palace attack that has underperformed at home. Everton’s away matches have been low-event (2 goals scored, 0 conceded in 2 games), while Palace’s home matches have averaged just 1 goal for and 3 against. Both teams’ over 2.5 rates sit at 40%, and their last two H2H league meetings finished 0-0 and 1-1, pointing to a low goal environment. Set piece and card rates are unremarkable, with neither side showing a pronounced edge in corners or discipline. Given these underlying rates, the model expects a tight contest with limited clear chances. Everton’s ability to restrict opposition on their travels and Palace’s lack of home cutting edge suggest a draw is the most likely outcome, with a 1-1 scoreline narrowly favoured. The main risk is Palace’s defensive volatility—conceding 3.2 per game over their last five—potentially opening the door for an away win if Everton are more clinical than usual.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Crystal Palace U21 have lost both home league matches, scoring just 2 and conceding 6.
- →Everton U21 are unbeaten away (1 win, 1 draw), with 2 goals scored and none conceded.
Match Context
- →Both teams have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate this season, indicating a lower goal environment.
🚩 Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21 Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.3 corners for Crystal Palace U21 and 5.3 for Everton U21, for an expected total of 9.5. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (52%). Over 8.5: 61% · Over 10.5: 35%.
How Crystal Palace U21 and Everton U21 Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21 Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Crystal Palace U21last 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Everton U21last 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Crystal Palace U21 have lost four of their last five matches in all competitions and are yet to pick up a point at home in the league, conceding 6 in 2 home games. Everton U21 have managed just one win in their last five but remain unbeaten away, having not conceded on their travels so far.
Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21 — Last 5 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 3.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21
The last four meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with two draws and one win each. Notably, the most recent league clash ended 0-0, and two of the last three have finished under 2.5 goals, suggesting a trend towards cagey encounters.
Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21 Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
2
Crystal Palace U21 wins
1
Draws
1
Everton U21 wins
Things to Watch: Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21
- ⚠️Limited sample size for home/away splits (2 matches each) increases variance.
- ⚠️Recent defensive instability from Palace (3.2 conceded per last 5) could skew the goal total upward.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges cannot be calculated.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Crystal Palace U21 1–1 Everton U21The model forecasts a 1-1 draw, led by Everton U21’s strong defensive away record (0 conceded in 2 away games) and Palace’s inability to find goals at home. The likeliest way this prediction fails is if Palace’s recent defensive lapses (3.2 conceded per last five) resurface, allowing Everton to edge a low-scoring contest.
Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21: Common Questions
Who will win Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21?
The model gives Crystal Palace U21 a 32% chance of victory, Everton U21 a 31% chance, and the draw is slightly favoured at 37%. Both teams have struggled for consistency, making a stalemate the most probable outcome.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21?
There is a 54% probability that both teams will score, as four of Palace’s last five matches have seen BTTS, but Everton’s away defensive record (0 conceded in 2 games) tempers that likelihood.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet for Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21?
The model estimates a 58% chance of under 2.5 goals, with both teams posting a 40% over 2.5 rate this season and their last two league H2Hs finishing 0-0 and 1-1.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 1 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Crystal Palace U21 vs Everton U21 Resources
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Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results