Degerfors IF vs Halmstad Predictions
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Halmstad
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Degerfors IF Win
Degerfors IF vs Halmstad: Match Preview
Degerfors IF enter this crucial relegation clash sitting 14th, five places and eight points above bottom side Halmstad. The hosts have shown some recent resilience, winning three of their last five in all competitions, including a 3-0 home victory over IFK Goteborg. Halmstad, meanwhile, remain winless on the road in the league and have managed just a single victory all season, with a -23 goal difference highlighting their struggles.
Statistically, Degerfors' home attack (1.0 goals per game) faces a Halmstad defence conceding 2.0 per away match, while Halmstad's own attack is the league's weakest at 0.67 away goals per game. Both sides allow far more than they score, and neither keeps clean sheets with any regularity—Degerfors at 11% and Halmstad at just 6%. Recent matches for both have trended slightly higher scoring than their season averages, with Degerfors averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.2 against over the last five.
The model expects Degerfors to edge the contest, primarily due to their superior home scoring rate and Halmstad's porous away defence. While neither side is clinical, the distribution of goals conceded suggests a higher chance of both teams finding the net, and the most probable outcome is a narrow home win with a 2-1 scoreline.
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Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS: Yes
52%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-0 · 2-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Degerfors IF vs Halmstad Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Degerfors IF vs Halmstad that most previews miss.
- 1Degerfors have scored in the first half in four of their last five league matches, totalling seven first-half goals in that span.
- 2Halmstad have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last five league games and have conceded at least once in all nine away matches this season.
- 3Across the last ten head-to-head meetings, the home side has won seven times, with only two away wins recorded.
Who do you think wins: Degerfors IF vs Halmstad?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Degerfors IF vs Halmstad(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Degerfors IF Win
Degerfors average 1.0 goals per home game and face a Halmstad side with 2.0 goals conceded per away match; home win probability is 48% based on season rates, but no bookmaker odds are available to confirm value.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Degerfors have seen over 2.5 goals in 50% of league matches and Halmstad concede heavily away (2.0 per game); model probability for over 2.5 is 52%.
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BTTS: Yes
Both teams have scored in 2 of their last 5 matches; Degerfors' defensive record (1.61 conceded per game) and Halmstad's away attack (0.67 scored per game) suggest BTTS is close to a coin flip at 51%.
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More Allsvenskan Predictions
The Case For This Degerfors IF vs Halmstad Prediction
This fixture pairs two of the league's lowest-scoring sides, but defensive frailty on both ends creates a higher goal environment than their reputations suggest. Degerfors' home attack is modest, but Halmstad's away defence is among the league's worst, and both teams have a recent trend toward open matches.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Degerfors have won 6 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings, including a 3-0 away win earlier this season.
Defence
- →Degerfors average 1.0 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per home game; Halmstad average 0.67 scored and 2.0 conceded away.
- →Neither side keeps clean sheets regularly: Degerfors (11.1% season), Halmstad (5.6%).
🚩 Degerfors IF vs Halmstad Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4 corners for Degerfors IF and 5.2 for Halmstad, for an expected total of 9.2. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (56%). Over 8.5: 57% · Over 10.5: 32%.
How Degerfors IF and Halmstad Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Degerfors IF vs Halmstad Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Degerfors IFlast 5 matchesIn exceptional form
Scoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Halmstadlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Degerfors have picked up three wins in their last five matches in all competitions, including a notable 3-0 home win and a 5-1 cup victory, signalling an uptick in attacking output. Halmstad, by contrast, have lost three of their last five league games and remain without an away win all season, scoring just once per game in that span.
Degerfors IF vs Halmstad — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Degerfors IF vs Halmstad
Degerfors have dominated recent head-to-heads, winning six of the last ten meetings and three straight at home. The most recent clash saw Degerfors win 3-0 away, and Halmstad have struggled to score at Stora Valla, managing just two goals in their last three visits.
Degerfors IF vs Halmstad Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
Degerfors IF wins
2
Draws
2
Halmstad wins
Things to Watch: Degerfors IF vs Halmstad
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available for value calculation; all edge and EV fields set to null.
- ⚠️Both teams are near the relegation zone, which may affect tactical approach and risk appetite.
- ⚠️Recent form samples are small; cup matches may distort underlying league rates.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Degerfors IF 2–1 HalmstadDegerfors are the likelier winners, with a predicted 2-1 scoreline driven by Halmstad's 2.0 goals conceded per away game and a league-worst clean sheet rate. The main risk to this projection is Degerfors' own inconsistency in front of goal, as they have failed to score in two of their last five league matches.
Degerfors IF vs Halmstad: Common Questions
Who will win Degerfors IF vs Halmstad?
Degerfors IF have a 48% probability to win, compared to 19% for Halmstad and 33% for the draw. This is based on season-long scoring and concession rates, with Degerfors' home advantage and Halmstad's poor away defence tipping the balance.
Will both teams score in Degerfors IF vs Halmstad?
The model gives a 51% probability for both teams to score. Neither side keeps clean sheets regularly, and both have seen BTTS in two of their last five matches.
How many goals are expected in Degerfors IF vs Halmstad?
There is a 52% probability for over 2.5 goals, with Degerfors' matches going over that line 50% of the time this season and Halmstad conceding heavily away from home.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Degerfors IF vs Halmstad: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.