Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart Predictions

BundesligaBundesliga · Germany
high confidence
Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

Full Time

2 - 2

AI predicted 1 - 2

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

🗓️ Saturday, 16 May 2026 at 15:30 CEST (venue time) · 13:30 UTC (your time)📍 Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt

Win Probability (1X2)

Eintracht Frankfurt 17%Draw 26%VfB Stuttgart 57%

Best Value Pick

BTTS: Yes

@ 2.75(+25% edge)

Match Result

8.2/10

Late Drama in Frankfurt as Eintracht and Stuttgart Share Four-Goal Thriller

Eintracht Frankfurt and VfB Stuttgart delivered a pulsating 2-2 draw at Deutsche Bank Park, with both sides exchanging blows in a match that ebbed and flowed until the final whistle. Stuttgart struck first, capitalizing on a bright start to take a 1-0 lead in the 10th minute, before doubling their advantage just before halftime. But Frankfurt, spurred on by a dominant second-half display, clawed their way back with goals in the 72nd and dramatic 90th minutes, salvaging a point in front of their home fans. The contest was a showcase of attacking intent and resilience, with both teams registering seven shots on target and splitting the corner count evenly at six apiece. Frankfurt's 57% possession and relentless pressure after the break eventually paid dividends, while Stuttgart's early efficiency and defensive resolve were tested to the limit as the hosts mounted their comeback.

🔥 AI Prediction Report

CERTIFIED W

Predicted

1 - 2

⚡

Actual

2 - 2

❌Result
✅BTTS
✅O/U 2.5
❌Score

💰 Bet Results2/2 hit

btts — yes@ 2.75
✅
1x2 — draw@ 4.33
✅

Key Moments

10' — Goal

Ermedin Demirović puts Stuttgart ahead with a well-taken finish.

45' — Goal

Deniz Undav doubles Stuttgart's lead just before halftime.

72' — Goal

Frankfurt pull one back, igniting hopes of a comeback.

90' — Goal

Frankfurt equalize at the death to rescue a point.

Various' — Yellow Cards

A total of five yellow cards were shown in a competitive encounter.

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

7.5/10

Frankfurt started slowly, conceding twice in the opening half, but showed impressive character and tactical flexibility to turn the tide after the interval. With 16 shots and 57% possession, the hosts dictated much of the play, especially in the second half, and their persistence was rewarded with two late goals. The midfield trio, led by Mario Götze and Can Uzun, orchestrated wave after wave of attacks, while Arnaud Kalimuendo's presence up front kept Stuttgart's backline under constant pressure.

Key Players

Mario Götze: Pulled the strings in midfield and was instrumental in both Frankfurt goals.
Arnaud Kalimuendo: Led the line with energy, creating space and chances for teammates.
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya: Provided attacking impetus and contributed to the late equalizer.

Strengths

Dominant possession playLate-game resilienceMidfield creativity

Weaknesses

Vulnerable to early counterattacksSlow defensive transitions in the first half
VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

7/10

Stuttgart were clinical in the first half, striking early and doubling their lead on the stroke of halftime. Their 3-4-1-2 setup allowed them to absorb pressure and hit Frankfurt on the break, but they struggled to maintain control as the hosts grew in confidence. Despite matching Frankfurt with seven shots on target and six corners, Stuttgart's defense eventually cracked under sustained pressure, conceding twice in the final 20 minutes.

Key Players

Ermedin Demirović: Opened the scoring and led the line with intelligent movement.
Deniz Undav: Added the crucial second goal before halftime.
Alexander Nübel: Made several key saves to keep Stuttgart ahead for much of the match.

Strengths

Clinical finishing in the first halfEffective counterattackingSolid goalkeeping

Weaknesses

Struggled to retain possessionDefensive lapses under pressureInability to close out the match

Tactical Analysis

Frankfurt lined up in a 4-1-4-1, seeking to control the midfield and build patiently from the back. Their shape allowed them to dominate possession (57%) and overload the central areas, especially as they chased the game in the second half. The introduction of more attacking impetus after halftime saw them commit numbers forward, stretching Stuttgart's defensive trio. Stuttgart's 3-4-1-2 formation was effective in transition, with wing-backs providing width and the front two exploiting spaces behind Frankfurt's midfield. However, as the match wore on, they were pushed deeper and struggled to maintain their compactness, ultimately conceding under relentless pressure. Both teams were proactive on set pieces, with six corners each, but it was open play where the key moments arrived.

Turning Point

Frankfurt's first goal in the 72nd minute shifted the momentum decisively, setting the stage for their dramatic late equalizer.

Man of the Match

Mario Götze

His vision and leadership in midfield orchestrated Frankfurt's comeback and earned them a vital point.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Eintracht Frankfurt1.10

Expected goals · model says 1.10

VfB Stuttgart2.00

Expected goals · model says 2.00

Win Probability
Eintracht Frankfurt 20% Draw 21% VfB Stuttgart 58%

Over 2.5 Goals

60%

BTTS: Yes

58%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
17%
26%
57%
Eintracht Frankfurt 17%Draw 26%VfB Stuttgart 57%
Both Teams to Score
61%
39%
Yes 61%No 39%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
62%
38%
Over 2.5 62%Under 2.5 38%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
64%
36%
Over 9.5 64%Under 9.5 36%

Who do you think wins: Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

Stuttgart travel to Frankfurt in strong form, boasting a potent attack and clear motivation to secure their top-four spot. Frankfurt, meanwhile, are struggling for consistency, especially defensively, but remain a threat going forward and have made a habit of scoring even in defeat. Expect an open contest with goals at both ends, but Stuttgart's superior quality and recent momentum should see them edge it.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • →Frankfurt's home form is middling (7W 3D 6L), with a negative goal difference.
  • →BTTS has landed in all of Frankfurt's last 5 matches.

Defence

  • →Stuttgart average 2.6 goals scored in their last 5, Frankfurt concede 2.0 per game in that span.
  • →Frankfurt have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5, but have scored in every one.

Match Context

  • →Stuttgart's away record is solid (6W 4D 6L, 39:31) and they are in a top-four battle.
  • →Stuttgart missing Karazor (suspension), Frankfurt have a questionable midfielder (Hojlund).

🚩 Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart Corners Prediction

medium confidence
10.8expected total corners
Over 64%
Under 36%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 5.6 corners for Eintracht Frankfurt and 5.2 for VfB Stuttgart, for an expected total of 10.8. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (64%). Over 8.5: 75% · Over 10.5: 52%.

More corners tips:Over 9.5 →Under 9.5 →

How Eintracht Frankfurt and VfB Stuttgart Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurtlast 5 matches
Jonathan Burkardtsub/out
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

C. Y. UzunXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

H. Larssonsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgartlast 5 matches
Chema AndrésXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

E. DemirovicXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

C. FuhrichXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

Nikolas NarteyXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. MittelstadtXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

D. UndavXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Frankfurt come into this fixture on a poor run, losing three of their last five and conceding multiple goals in each defeat. Stuttgart, in contrast, are unbeaten in four, including a statement win over Leverkusen, and have scored at least once in every recent match. Momentum and confidence clearly favor the visitors.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart — Last 10 Matches

Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht FrankfurtLast 10 results
D2-2
L2-3
L1-2
D1-1
L1-3
W2-1
D2-2
L1-2
W1-0
D0-0
Dvs VfB Stuttgart2-2
L@ Borussia Dortmund2-3
Lvs Hamburger SV1-2
D@ FC Augsburg1-1
Lvs RB Leipzig1-3
W@ VfL Wolfsburg2-1
Dvs 1. FC Köln2-2
L@ FSV Mainz 051-2
Wvs 1. FC Heidenheim1-0
D@ FC St. Pauli0-0

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 67.65% of games this season

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
  • −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
VfB StuttgartVfB StuttgartLast 10 results
D2-2
W3-1
D3-3
D1-1
L2-4
W4-0
L0-2
W5-2
W1-0
D2-2
D@ Eintracht Frankfurt2-2
Wvs Bayer Leverkusen3-1
D@ 1899 Hoffenheim3-3
Dvs Werder Bremen1-1
L@ Bayern München2-4
Wvs Hamburger SV4-0
Lvs Borussia Dortmund0-2
W@ FC Augsburg5-2
Wvs RB Leipzig1-0
D@ FSV Mainz 052-2

Strengths

  • +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)
  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 73.53% of games this season

Concerns

  • −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
  • −No clean sheets in last 5 matches

What History Says: Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart

Recent head-to-heads have been lively, with both teams regularly finding the net and several close, high-scoring games. Frankfurt have a slight edge historically at home, but Stuttgart won the reverse fixture and have shown they can score away.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

5

Eintracht Frankfurt wins

2

Draws

3

VfB Stuttgart wins

50%20% draws30%
16 May 26Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart2-2
13 Jan 26VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt3-2
29 Mar 25Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart1-0
10 Nov 24VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt2-3
13 Apr 24VfB Stuttgart vs Eintracht Frankfurt3-0
25 Nov 23Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart1-2

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart

The biggest value lies in the BTTS market, where the model probability far exceeds the bookmaker's implied odds. The draw also offers a small edge, reflecting the possibility of a high-scoring stalemate given both teams' attacking tendencies and recent H2H history.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt Win2.6217.0%-21.2%
Draw4.0026.0%+1.0%
VfB Stuttgart Win1.4457.0%-12.4%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.5value2.5062.0%+22.0%
Under 2.51.5038.0%-28.7%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue2.7561.0%+24.6%
No1.4039.0%-32.4%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 4.00EV +0.040
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5 @ 2.50EV +0.550
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 2.75EV +0.677

EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart

  • ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, possession) are missing for a couple of fixtures.
  • ⚠️Lineups are not confirmed; late injury news could impact predictions.
  • ⚠️Frankfurt's motivation is unclear with mid-table position, possible rotation risk.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Eintracht Frankfurt vs VfB Stuttgart: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 15 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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