El Gouna FC vs Kahraba Ismailia Predictions
Premier League · Egypt
El Gouna FC
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Kahraba Ismailia
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.1(+8% edge)
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Expected goals · model says 0.75
Expected goals · model says 0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
14%
BTTS: Yes
22%
Likely Scores
0-0 · 1-0 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
El Gouna FC vs Kahraba Ismailia Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: El Gouna FC vs Kahraba Ismailia?
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Where the Model Sees Value: El Gouna FC vs Kahraba Ismailia(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.1
Both teams have a high draw rate this season (El Gouna: 15/29, Kahraba Ismailia: 9/29), and the model estimates a 40% probability for a draw versus the implied 32%. Recent form and low scoring trends further support a stalemate.
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The Case For This El Gouna FC vs Kahraba Ismailia Prediction
This fixture features two teams with contrasting defensive and attacking profiles. El Gouna FC are exceptionally solid at the back but struggle to score, while Kahraba Ismailia are more open and higher scoring, yet defensively fragile. With both sides frequently drawing matches and El Gouna's home record being particularly draw-heavy, a low-scoring, tense contest is likely.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Both teams have only failed to score once in their last five matches.
Defence
- →El Gouna's defense is among the best in the league (0.69 conceded per game), while Kahraba Ismailia's is among the worst (1.66 conceded per game).
Match Context
- →El Gouna have drawn 9 of 13 home games and have the league's lowest over 2.5 goal rate (13.8%).
- →Kahraba Ismailia have the highest over 2.5 goal rate in the league (55.2%) but are much less effective away from home.
- →Head-to-head is limited but El Gouna won the reverse fixture 1-0 away.
🚩 El Gouna FC vs Kahraba Ismailia Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5 corners for El Gouna FC and 4.2 for Kahraba Ismailia, for an expected total of 9.2. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (56%). Over 8.5: 57% · Over 10.5: 32%.
How El Gouna FC and Kahraba Ismailia Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
El Gouna FC vs Kahraba Ismailia Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
El Gouna FClast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Kahraba Ismailialast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
El Gouna FC's recent form is steady but unspectacular, with a run of LDDWW in their last five and a tendency toward low-scoring, tight matches. Kahraba Ismailia are more volatile, alternating wins and losses (DWLWL) and showing both attacking potential and defensive vulnerability. Both sides have drawn multiple matches lately, with El Gouna in particular proving hard to beat but also struggling to convert draws into wins.
El Gouna FC vs Kahraba Ismailia — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
What History Says: El Gouna FC vs Kahraba Ismailia
The only previous meeting this season ended 1-0 to El Gouna away, suggesting they can contain Kahraba Ismailia's attack. However, the lack of a broader H2H sample means little can be drawn in terms of recurring patterns.
El Gouna FC vs Kahraba Ismailia Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
El Gouna FC wins
0
Draws
0
Kahraba Ismailia wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: El Gouna FC vs Kahraba Ismailia
The model identifies value in the draw market, with a 40% probability versus the bookmaker's implied 32%. The under 2.5 goals market is heavily juiced and offers no value despite being likely. The away win is overpriced relative to the model's estimates, making the draw the standout value selection.
Odds from Betfair. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: El Gouna FC vs Kahraba Ismailia
- ⚠️Only one previous head-to-head meeting between these sides, so H2H data is limited.
- ⚠️Lack of detailed shooting/possession data for El Gouna in recent games reduces confidence in attack/defense calibration.
- ⚠️Bookmaker odds suggest a much higher chance for under 2.5 goals than the model, so market may be overpricing the low total.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for El Gouna FC vs Kahraba Ismailia: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.