Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Polessya Predictions
Premier League · Ukraine
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
AI Predicted Score
0 - 2
Polessya
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Polessya Win
@ 1.36
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Expected goals · model says 0.30
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS: Yes
21%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-2 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Polessya Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
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Where the Model Sees Value: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Polessya(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Polessya Win@ 1.36
Polessya have a dominant away record (10W, 0D, 3L), strong recent form (WWWLW), and a significant goal difference advantage. Epitsentr are on a winless streak and have struggled at home. Model probability is high, but odds are short, so value is marginal.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5@ 1.07
Both teams trend under 2.5 goals (Epitsentr 51.85%, Polessya 40.74% over 2.5), and Polessya's defense is very strong (0.67 conceded per game). However, the odds are very short and not offering value.
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BTTS: No
Polessya keep clean sheets in 55.56% of matches and Epitsentr have failed to score in 2 of last 5. Model expects Polessya to control the match and likely keep a clean sheet, but no odds available.
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More Premier League Predictions
The Case For This Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Polessya Prediction
Polessya travel to Epitsentr Dunayivtsi as strong favorites, boasting one of the league's best away records and a defense that has conceded just 8 goals in 13 away games. Epitsentr have not won in their last five and have struggled for goals, while Polessya are in excellent form and chasing the league leaders. The match is expected to be low-scoring, with Polessya likely to control proceedings and keep Epitsentr at bay.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Polessya's recent form: WWWLW, with 3 straight wins.
- →Head-to-head: Polessya unbeaten in 4, 2 wins and 2 draws.
Defence
- →Polessya's away record: 10 wins from 13, only 8 goals conceded.
- →Both teams trend under 2.5 goals; Polessya defense is elite.
Match Context
- →Epitsentr winless in last 5 (4 draws, 1 loss), struggling for goals.
- →Epitsentr's home record is poor (3W, 3D, 7L, 17:20 GF:GA).
How Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Polessya Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Polessya Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsilast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Polessyalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi come into this match on a four-game drawing streak, unable to secure a win in their last five and struggling to convert chances. Polessya, by contrast, have won three straight and four of their last five, conceding just three goals in that span, and look to be peaking at the right time.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Polessya — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.0 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.6 conceded/game
- +55.56% clean sheet rate this season
What History Says: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Polessya
The head-to-head record favors Polessya, who have won both league meetings and drawn the other two, including a 0-0 earlier this season. The trend is for low-scoring matches, with Epitsentr rarely finding the net against Polessya.
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Polessya Head-to-Head History
Last 4 meetings between these sides
0
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi wins
2
Draws
2
Polessya wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Polessya
Bookmaker odds are very short on Polessya and the under 2.5 goals, leaving little value in the main markets. The model gives a slightly higher chance to the draw than the odds imply, but not enough to recommend. Overall, value is limited due to the market's accurate pricing of Polessya's superiority and the likely low goal count.
Odds from Betfair. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Polessya
- ⚠️No shots, possession, or set piece data for last 5 matches; limits precision on attack/defense matchups.
- ⚠️No odds for BTTS market; cannot assess value directly.
- ⚠️Epitsentr have drawn 4 straight, indicating some defensive resilience.
- ⚠️Late season motivation for both teams is not explicit in data.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Polessya: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 10 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.