Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh Predictions

Prediction by The Numbers Desk โ€” No extreme form or market signal โ€” routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Premier LeaguePremier League ยท Ukraine
high confidence
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Full Time

0 - 2

AI predicted 1 - 0

Livyi Bereh

Livyi Bereh

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Saturday, 19 Sept 2026 at 18:00 EEST (venue time) ยท 15:00 UTC (your time)๐Ÿ“ Roman Shukhevych Ternopil City Stadium, Ternopil

Win Probability (1X2)

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 39%Draw 37%Livyi Bereh 24%

Best Value Pick

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Match Result

6.5/10

Livyi Bereh Outclass Epitsentr Dunayivtsi with Clinical 2-0 Away Win

Livyi Bereh delivered a composed and effective performance on the road, securing a 2-0 victory over Epitsentr Dunayivtsi at the Roman Shukhevych Ternopil City Stadium. The visitors struck in both halves, first breaking the deadlock in the 20th minute and then doubling their advantage midway through the second period, leaving the hosts with too much to do. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, set up in a 3-5-2 formation, struggled to break down Livyi Bereh's disciplined 4-2-3-1 setup. Despite a committed midfield effort, the home side failed to find a breakthrough, and their lack of attacking edge ultimately proved costly. Both teams picked up a yellow card, but the match was largely controlled by the visitors, who managed the tempo and key moments expertly.

๐Ÿ’ช AI Prediction Report

DECENT HIT

Predicted

1 - 0

โšก

Actual

0 - 2

โŒResult
โœ…BTTS
โœ…O/U 2.5
โŒScore

๐Ÿ’ฐ Bet Results1/2 hit

under/over 2.5 goals โ€” under
โœ…
1X2 โ€” draw
โŒ

Key Moments

20' โ€” Goal

Livyi Bereh open the scoring, taking control of the match early.

63' โ€” Goal

Livyi Bereh double their lead, effectively sealing the result.

First Half' โ€” Yellow Card

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi receive a yellow card, showing early frustration.

Second Half' โ€” Yellow Card

Livyi Bereh pick up a yellow card as they manage the game.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

5.5/10

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi started with intent but quickly found themselves on the back foot after conceding in the 20th minute. Their 3-5-2 formation aimed to provide midfield solidity, but the lack of cutting edge up front was evident as they failed to register a goal. Despite a spirited effort, particularly from the midfield trio of Artem Kozak, Mykola Myronyuk, and Daniil Vashchenko, the hosts were unable to create clear chances or trouble the Livyi Bereh defense. Defensively, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi were organized for long stretches but struggled to cope with the visitors' attacking transitions, conceding a second goal just after the hour mark. Their discipline was tested, picking up a yellow card, but they managed to avoid further disciplinary trouble.

Key Players

Artem Kozak: Anchored the midfield and tried to drive the team forward.
Nikita Fedotov: Made several important interventions in goal despite conceding twice.

Strengths

Midfield work rateDefensive organization for long periods

Weaknesses

Lack of attacking threatStruggled to create clear chancesVulnerable to quick transitions
Livyi Bereh

Livyi Bereh

7.5/10

Livyi Bereh executed their game plan superbly, capitalizing on key moments to claim all three points. Their 4-2-3-1 formation provided balance and allowed them to control the midfield while offering width and support to lone striker Pape Malick Fall. The visitors struck early through a well-worked move in the 20th minute and remained composed under pressure, before sealing the result with a second goal in the 63rd minute. Defensively, Livyi Bereh were solid, conceding few opportunities and maintaining discipline throughout. Their midfield duo of Artem Chelyadin and Yevhen Banada provided a strong platform, while the attacking quartet offered creativity and threat. A yellow card was the only blemish in an otherwise controlled display.

Key Players

Pape Malick Fall: Led the line effectively and was involved in the attacking buildup.
Artem Chelyadin: Controlled the midfield and broke up play efficiently.

Strengths

Clinical finishingMidfield controlDefensive solidity

Weaknesses

Occasional lapses in discipline (1 yellow card)Periods of passive play after second goal

Tactical Analysis

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi lined up in a 3-5-2, aiming to crowd the midfield and provide attacking support from wing-backs. However, their inability to transition quickly and lack of presence in the final third limited their offensive threat. Livyi Bereh's 4-2-3-1 allowed them to dominate central areas, with the double pivot shielding the back four and facilitating swift transitions. The visitors exploited spaces behind the home defense, particularly on the break, which led to both goals. Set pieces and width were used sparingly by both sides, with Livyi Bereh preferring to build through the middle and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi struggling to deliver quality from wide areas. Tactical discipline and game management were hallmarks of the away side's approach, especially after their second goal.

Turning Point

Livyi Bereh's second goal in the 63rd minute killed the hosts' momentum and ensured the visitors' control.

Man of the Match

Artem Chelyadin

Dominated midfield battles, broke up play, and set the tempo for Livyi Bereh's victory.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh: Match Preview

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi enter this fixture in fifth place, buoyed by a defensive record that has seen them concede just twice in five league matches and keep four clean sheets in their last five across all competitions. Livyi Bereh, sitting 12th, remain unbeaten but have yet to win, drawing all four league games while scoring and conceding just two goals apiece. Both sides have shown a tendency to grind out results rather than dominate, with Epitsentr's home form (1W, 2D, 1L) underpinned by defensive solidity but limited attacking output.

Statistically, this match is shaped by both teams' low scoring rates and high defensive reliability. Epitsentr average 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per league game, while Livyi Bereh's figures are even more conservative at 0.5 for and 0.5 against. The under 2.5 goals market is heavily supported by the data: only 40% of Epitsentr's and none of Livyi Bereh's league matches have cleared that line. Both teams have failed to score in two of their last five, and their combined BTTS rate is just 27% over that span. Set-piece and discipline data are unavailable, but yellow card counts in recent matches suggest a moderate cards environment.

Given these underlying rates, the model expects a cagey affair with chances at a premium. Epitsentr's slight edge comes from their home clean sheet record and marginally better attacking numbers, but Livyi Bereh's draw-heavy profile and ability to frustrate opponents on the road make a stalemate a strong possibility. A single goal could be decisive, with 1-0 or 0-0 the most probable outcomes.

๐ŸŽฎ Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ€” then simulate the match and see what happens.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0.90

Expected goals ยท model says 0.90

Livyi Bereh0.65

Expected goals ยท model says 0.65

Win Probability
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 39% Draw 36% Livyi Bereh 25%

Over 2.5 Goals

20%

BTTS: Yes

28%

Likely Scores

0-0 ยท 1-0 ยท 0-1

Play this match once with the probabilities above โ€” every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ€” not betting advice.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
39%
37%
24%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 39%Draw 37%Livyi Bereh 24%
Both Teams to Score
27%
73%
Yes 27%No 73%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
21%
79%
Over 2.5 21%Under 2.5 79%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh that most previews miss.

  • 1Livyi Bereh have drawn 100% of their league matches this season, with a total goal average of just 1.0 per game.
  • 2Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches across all competitions.
  • 3Only one of the last four head-to-head meetings produced more than two goals.

Who do you think wins: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh Prediction

The numbers point to a low-scoring, closely-fought contest between two of the league's most defensively reliable sides. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's home record is built on clean sheets (80% season rate), while Livyi Bereh have yet to lose but have drawn every league match, conceding just twice in four games. The statistical environment suggests a game where a single goal could decide it, if any.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • โ†’Both teams have failed to score in two of their last five matches, indicating inconsistent attacking output.

Defence

  • โ†’Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's season clean sheet rate stands at 80%, with four shutouts in their last five matches.
  • โ†’Livyi Bereh have drawn all four league games, with just two goals scored and two conceded.

How Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and Livyi Bereh Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr Dunayivtsilast 5 matches
A. KozakXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

V. SydunXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

C. RojasXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Livyi BerehLivyi Berehlast 5 matches
V. VoloshynXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

N. VorobchakXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

D. Shastalsub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

A. YakymivXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi approach this match with momentum from a five-match unbeaten run in all competitions, including two wins and two draws in their last four league games. Livyi Bereh, meanwhile, have become draw specialists, recording four consecutive league stalemates and conceding just twice in that span. Both teams' recent form is defined by defensive discipline rather than attacking flair.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh โ€” Last 7 Matches

Epitsentr DunayivtsiEpitsentr DunayivtsiLast 7 results
L0-2
L0-3
D0-0
W3-0
D0-0
L0-2
W3-0
Lvs Livyi Bereh0-2
L@ Dynamo Kyiv0-3
Dvs Bukovyna0-0
W@ Kudrivka3-0
Dvs Veres Rivne0-0
Lvs Shakhtar Donetsk0-2
Wvs Obolon'-Brovar3-0

Strengths

  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • +57.14% clean sheet rate this season
Livyi BerehLivyi BerehLast 6 results
W2-0
L0-1
D0-0
D1-1
D1-1
D0-0
W@ Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2-0
L@ Polessya0-1
D@ Chornomorets0-0
Dvs Karpaty1-1
D@ Kryvbas KR1-1
Dvs Kudrivka0-0

Strengths

  • +Defensively solid โ€” 0.4 conceded/game
  • +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
  • +50% clean sheet rate this season

What History Says: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh

The head-to-head record is narrowly in Livyi Bereh's favour, with two wins (both away from home) in four meetings, while Epitsentr have one win and one draw. Recent encounters have been close, with the last two finishing 2-1 and 1-1, and only one of the four meetings producing more than two goals.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings between these sides

1

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi wins

1

Draws

3

Livyi Bereh wins

20%20% draws60%
19 Sept 26Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh0-2
24 May 24Livyi Bereh vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2-1
21 Apr 24Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh1-1
5 Nov 21Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh3-1
31 Jul 21Livyi Bereh vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi4-0

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh

With no bookmaker odds available, value assessment is not possible for this fixture. However, the model's strong lean towards under 2.5 goals (79% probability) and a high draw probability (37%) would typically flag these as potential value angles if market prices were generous.

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per ยฃ1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Win2.4039.0%-2.7%
Drawvalue3.3037.0%+6.7%
Livyi Bereh Win2.5524.0%-15.2%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.9021.0%-31.6%
Under 2.5value1.9079.0%+26.4%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yes1.7327.0%-30.8%
Novalue2.0073.0%+23.0%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 3.30EV +0.221
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5 @ 1.90EV +0.501
Both Teams Score: No @ 2.00EV +0.460

EV per ยฃ1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate โ€” always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh

  • โš ๏ธNo bookmaker odds available, so value and EV estimates are not possible.
  • โš ๏ธLack of shot, possession, and set-piece data reduces confidence in precise tactical breakdown.
  • โš ๏ธSmall sample size for Livyi Bereh's away record (only two league away games).

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1โ€“0 Livyi Bereh

A 1-0 win for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi is the likeliest outcome, driven by their 80% clean sheet rate and Livyi Bereh's lack of attacking punch. The biggest risk to this prediction is Livyi Bereh's ability to grind out draws, as evidenced by their four consecutive stalemates and defensive discipline.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh: Common Questions

Who will win Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh?

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are marginal favourites with a 39% probability of winning, while the draw is nearly as likely at 37%. Livyi Bereh's win chance stands at 24%, reflecting their unbeaten but winless start and defensive focus.

Will there be over or under 2.5 goals in Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh?

The model gives a 79% probability to under 2.5 goals, based on both teams' low scoring rates and strong defensive records. Only 40% of Epitsentr's and none of Livyi Bereh's league games have gone over this line.

Is both teams to score (BTTS) likely in Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh?

Both teams to score is rated at just 27%, with both sides failing to score in two of their last five matches and a combined BTTS rate of 27% over that period.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Livyi Bereh: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline โ€” season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 12 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ€” see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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