Everton W vs Brighton W Predictions
FA WSL · England
Everton W
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Brighton W
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Brighton W Win
Recommended Bets: Everton W vs Brighton W
Everton W vs Brighton W: Match Preview
Everton W come into this fixture on the back of three consecutive league draws, sitting 7th with a negative goal difference and the lowest scoring record in the top half. Their last five in all competitions include a 6-0 cup win, but in the league they've managed just three goals across their last five, relying on defensive structure to grind out points. Brighton W, two places below in 9th, have endured a more volatile run: heavy defeats to Liverpool and Tottenham contrast with a 6-0 cup win and a 2-1 league victory over Crystal Palace. Both sides are separated by a single point in the standings, underlining the mid-table stakes.
Statistically, this is a clash of styles. Everton W's league matches average just 1.8 total goals, with a 40% clean sheet rate and only 30% over 2.5 games. Brighton W, by contrast, are at the opposite end: their matches average 3.2 goals, with a 70% over 2.5 rate and just one clean sheet all season. Brighton's attack is especially productive after the break (9 second-half goals in last 5), while Everton's defensive discipline is reflected in just 0.4 goals conceded per game over their last five. Set-piece threat is limited on both sides, with Everton averaging just 0.6 corners per game recently and Brighton 3.2.
The model expects Brighton's attacking intent and Everton's home defensive organisation to produce a game that opens up in the second half, with Brighton's superior shot volume (6 per game last 5) and historical H2H advantage tilting the probabilities their way. Everton's inability to convert draws into wins and Brighton's tendency for high-scoring, open contests suggest a 2-1 away win is the likeliest outcome, though the draw remains a live possibility if Everton can stifle Brighton's forwards.
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Expected goals · model says 1.35
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Everton W vs Brighton W Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Everton W vs Brighton W that most previews miss.
- 1Brighton W's away matches average 3.5 goals, but they have not won on the road this season (0W, 1D, 3L).
- 2Everton W have scored just 8 goals in 10 league games, the lowest among the top 9 sides.
- 3Seven of the last ten H2H meetings have been won by Brighton W, including three consecutive away wins at Goodison Park.
Who do you think wins: Everton W vs Brighton W?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Everton W vs Brighton W(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Brighton W Win
Brighton W's away scoring rate (1.25 goals per away game) and a 70% season over 2.5 rate suggest their attack is more potent than Everton W's, whose home scoring is just 1.25 per match and whose clean sheet rate is only 40%. Brighton's dominance in the last 10 H2H (7 wins) further supports this edge.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Brighton W matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 70% of league games this season, and their last 5 have averaged 3.8 total goals. Everton W's defensive numbers have improved recently, but the overall rates point to a higher likelihood of a goal-heavy match.
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BTTS: Yes
Brighton W have failed to score in just 1 of their last 5, while Everton W have scored in 3 of their last 5 and conceded in 3 as well. The BTTS rate for both clubs' last 5 combined is 50%.
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More FA WSL Predictions
The Case For This Everton W vs Brighton W Prediction
This fixture brings together two mid-table sides with contrasting profiles: Everton W's defensive solidity faces Brighton W's high-variance, attack-minded approach. Brighton's away record is poor in terms of results (0W, 1D, 3L), but their scoring rate on the road (1.25 per game) and a league-high over 2.5 rate (70%) suggest they are rarely dull. Everton, meanwhile, have been hard to break down at Goodison (just 4 conceded in 4 home games), but their attack is blunt (1.25 scored per home match) and they have drawn three straight league games.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Brighton W have won 7 of the last 10 H2H meetings, including the last three at Goodison.
Attack
- →Brighton W's matches average 3.2 goals per game, with 70% over 2.5 rate.
Defence
- →Everton W have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 but scored only 8 in 10 league games.
🚩 Everton W vs Brighton W Corners Prediction
high confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3 corners for Everton W and 5.2 for Brighton W, for an expected total of 8.2. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (70%). Over 8.5: 43% · Over 10.5: 20%.
How Everton W and Brighton W Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Everton W vs Brighton W Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Everton Wlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Scoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Brighton Wlast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Everton W are unbeaten in their last five in all competitions, with a form string of DWDDW, but have drawn three straight league matches and scored only once in their last three league outings. Brighton W's recent form is more erratic (LWLWW), mixing heavy defeats with high-scoring wins, and they have lost their last two league games but scored 11 in their last five across all competitions.
Everton W vs Brighton W — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Over 2.5 goals in 70% of games this season
What History Says: Everton W vs Brighton W
Brighton W have won seven of the last ten meetings between these sides, including each of the last three at Goodison Park. Most recent encounters have been close, but Brighton have consistently edged them, with both teams scoring in six of those ten games.
Everton W vs Brighton W Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Everton W wins
1
Draws
7
Brighton W wins
Things to Watch: Everton W vs Brighton W
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis; value edges cannot be quantified.
- ⚠️Recent cup results (6-0, 6-1) may inflate attack metrics for both sides versus league norm.
- ⚠️Brighton's away form is poor for results but not for goals; variance is high.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Everton W 1–2 Brighton WThe model projects a 2-1 win for Brighton W, driven by their 1.6 goals per game season average and a 70% over 2.5 rate, compared to Everton's 0.8 goals per game and 30% over 2.5. The main risk is Everton's recent defensive improvement (three clean sheets in five), which could suppress Brighton's attack and turn this into a low-scoring draw.
Everton W vs Brighton W: Common Questions
Who will win Everton W vs Brighton W?
Brighton W are favoured by the model with a 43% win probability, compared to 25% for Everton W and 32% for the draw. Brighton's superior scoring rate and dominant H2H record are key factors.
Will both teams score in Everton W vs Brighton W?
Both teams to score is rated at 56% probability. Brighton W have scored in four of their last five, and Everton W have found the net in three of their last five, while both sides have defensive vulnerabilities.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Everton W vs Brighton W?
The probability for over 2.5 goals is 62%, reflecting Brighton W's 70% over 2.5 rate this season and their matches averaging 3.2 goals, despite Everton W's more defensive profile.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Everton W vs Brighton W: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 November 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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