Everton W vs Liverpool W Predictions
FA WSL · England
Everton W
Full Time
2 - 3
AI predicted 1 - 1
Liverpool W
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Match Result
8.2/10Liverpool Edge Five-Goal Thriller in Dramatic Merseyside Derby at Goodison
Liverpool Women claimed Merseyside bragging rights in a pulsating 3-2 victory over Everton Women at Goodison Park. The visitors stormed into a commanding 3-0 lead before the hour mark, only for Everton to mount a spirited late comeback that fell just short. The match was a showcase of attacking intent, drama, and discipline issues, with Liverpool finishing the game with ten players after a late red card. Liverpool's early dominance was clear, with goals in the 11th, 20th, and 41st minutes putting them firmly in control before halftime. Everton, however, refused to capitulate, pulling one back in the 64th minute and setting up a tense finale with a second goal in stoppage time. Despite Everton's late surge and Liverpool's disciplinary woes—five yellow cards and a red—the visitors held on for a memorable derby win.
😅 AI Prediction Report
CLOSE BUT NO CIGARPredicted
1 - 1
Actual
2 - 3
💰 Bet Results1/3 hit
Key Moments
11' — Goal
Liverpool W open the scoring, seizing early control.
20' — Goal
Liverpool W double their lead, putting Everton on the ropes.
41' — Goal
Liverpool W make it 3-0 before halftime, capping a dominant half.
64' — Goal
Everton W pull one back, sparking hopes of a comeback.
Late Second Half' — Red Card
Liverpool W reduced to ten players, setting up a tense finale.
90' — Goal
Everton W score in stoppage time to make it 3-2, but Liverpool hold on.
Everton W
Everton Women struggled in the first half, conceding three times before the break and finding themselves with a mountain to climb. Their defensive frailties were exposed by Liverpool's incisive play, but the hosts showed admirable resilience in the second half. A goal in the 64th minute injected belief, and a stoppage-time strike set up a frantic finish, but ultimately the Toffees left themselves with too much to do. Despite the defeat, Everton's late fightback demonstrated character and attacking potential, but their slow start and inability to contain Liverpool's early onslaught proved costly.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Liverpool W
Liverpool Women produced a scintillating first-half display, racing into a 3-0 lead with clinical finishing and energetic play. Their attacking trio proved too much for Everton's defense early on, and they managed the game well for much of the second half despite disciplinary issues. Five yellow cards and a red threatened to derail their effort, but Liverpool's defensive resolve under pressure in the closing stages ensured they left Goodison Park with all three points. The win was built on ruthless efficiency in front of goal and a willingness to dig deep when the momentum shifted late on.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both sides lined up with attacking intent, as evidenced by the five-goal haul. Liverpool's early pressing and direct play paid dividends, overwhelming Everton's defensive structure and allowing them to build a commanding lead. The visitors' ability to exploit spaces between Everton's lines was crucial, particularly in transition. Everton responded after the break by pushing higher up the pitch and increasing their attacking width, which eventually bore fruit. Liverpool's tactical discipline was tested following their red card, forcing them to retreat and defend deeper to preserve their lead. The flurry of cards for Liverpool highlighted the physical and emotional intensity of the derby, but their early attacking verve ultimately made the difference.
Turning Point
Liverpool's third goal in the 41st minute gave them a cushion that proved just enough to withstand Everton's late rally.
Man of the Match
Liverpool W Goalscorer (41')
Scored the crucial third goal and was instrumental in Liverpool's first-half dominance.
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.00
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS: Yes
45%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 0-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Everton W vs Liverpool W Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Everton W vs Liverpool W?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Everton W vs Liverpool W(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw
Both teams have struggled for consistency, Everton W have a poor home record (2W, 0D, 6L), Liverpool W have not won away all season (0W, 2D, 7L), and recent H2H meetings have been close. The draw probability is relatively high.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams average under 1.2 goals scored per game, recent form and H2H suggest tight, low-scoring matches. Last 5 for both: Everton W (1.2 scored/1 conceded), Liverpool W (1.6 scored/0.8 conceded), but Liverpool W away average is just 0.56 goals for per game.
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BTTS: Yes
Everton W have scored in all of their last 5 matches, and Liverpool W have scored in 3 of last 5. H2H is mixed, but both teams' defences are leaky across the season.
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More FA WSL Predictions
The Case For This Everton W vs Liverpool W Prediction
This Merseyside derby sees two struggling sides meet at Goodison Park. Everton W have been inconsistent but have shown some recent improvement, while Liverpool W are winless away from home and have struggled for goals on their travels. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, but neither boasts a prolific attack. Recent head-to-heads have been close, with several matches ending in draws or one-goal margins. Expect a tense, low-scoring affair where a draw is a likely outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Recent H2H meetings are tight: 3 draws in last 10, and only one match with more than 3 goals.
Attack
- →Liverpool W have not won away all season (0W, 2D, 7L, 5 goals scored in 9 away games).
- →Both teams have negative goal differences and low goals scored per game.
Defence
- →Everton W have scored in all last 5 matches; Liverpool W have 2 clean sheets in last 5.
Injuries & Team News
- →No major injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Everton W have the second-worst home record in the league (2W, 0D, 6L).
🚩 Everton W vs Liverpool W Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.4 corners for Everton W and 5 for Liverpool W, for an expected total of 9.4. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (53%). Over 8.5: 60% · Over 10.5: 34%.
How Everton W and Liverpool W Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Everton W vs Liverpool W Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Everton Wlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Liverpool Wlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Everton W vs Liverpool W — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
What History Says: Everton W vs Liverpool W
Everton W vs Liverpool W Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
4
Everton W wins
2
Draws
4
Liverpool W wins
Things to Watch: Everton W vs Liverpool W
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so value edges and expected values cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some match stats (shots, possession, etc.) are missing for recent games, reducing model confidence.
- ⚠️Lineups not available; late injuries or tactical changes could impact predictions.
- ⚠️Small sample size for some derived stats (e.g., shots, corners).
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Everton W vs Liverpool W: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 23 March 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.