FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis Predictions
Liga MX · Mexico
FC Juarez
Full Time
2 - 1
AI predicted 2 - 1
Atletico San Luis
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
BTTS: Yes
Match Result
7.5/10Juarez Edge Atletico San Luis in Tight Contest at Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
FC Juarez secured a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Atletico San Luis in a closely contested Liga MX encounter at Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez. The hosts struck early through E. Ayon in the 12th minute and doubled their advantage just before halftime, only for Atletico San Luis to immediately respond with a goal of their own in first-half stoppage time. Despite both sides registering 12 shots and 4 on target apiece, Juarez’s marginally superior possession (54%) and clinical finishing proved decisive. The match was characterized by an energetic first half, with all three goals coming before the break. The second period saw both teams push for the next breakthrough, but resolute defending and a lack of clear-cut chances kept the scoreline unchanged. Juarez’s disciplined approach and ability to manage the game in the latter stages ensured they claimed all three points.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
2 - 1
Actual
2 - 1
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
12' — Goal
E. Ayon puts Juarez ahead with a well-taken finish.
44' — Goal
Juarez double their lead, capitalizing on sustained pressure.
45' — Goal
S. Salles-Lamonge pulls one back for Atletico San Luis just before halftime.
50' — Yellow Card
Atletico San Luis’s physicality earns them the game’s only booking.
FC Juarez
Juarez started on the front foot, capitalizing on their early dominance to take the lead through E. Ayon. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to control the midfield and build attacks from the back, reflected in their 54% possession. The hosts showed composure to double their lead before halftime, and while they conceded almost immediately, they remained organized and disciplined in the second half, limiting Atletico San Luis to few genuine chances.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis matched Juarez in shots and shots on target, but were left to rue a slow start and defensive lapses in the first half. Their 4-4-2 setup provided width and attacking options, and they showed resilience to pull a goal back right before halftime. However, despite increased urgency after the break and a physical approach (10 fouls, 1 yellow card), they could not find a way past Juarez’s well-organized defense.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Juarez’s 4-2-3-1 formation gave them a numerical advantage in midfield, allowing Monchu and D. Garcia to dictate the tempo and link play between defense and attack. Their fullbacks, particularly F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin and A. Mayorga, provided width and supported attacks early on. Atletico San Luis’s 4-4-2 shape offered balance but left them outnumbered centrally, especially in the first half. After conceding twice, San Luis pushed their midfielders higher and pressed more aggressively, but Juarez responded by dropping deeper and focusing on compactness. Set pieces and wide play were key for both sides, but neither could capitalize in the second half. Substitutions (not detailed in the data) likely aimed to inject energy, but tactical discipline and defensive solidity from Juarez ultimately stifled San Luis’s late efforts.
Turning Point
Juarez’s second goal in the 44th minute gave them a crucial cushion, allowing them to weather San Luis’s immediate response and manage the second half on their terms.
Man of the Match
E. Ayon
His early goal set the tone and his attacking threat was a constant problem for the San Luis defense.
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Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
BTTS: Yes
58%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis?
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Where the Model Sees Value: FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
BTTS: Yes
Both teams have high BTTS rates in their last 5 (Juarez 5/5, San Luis 4/5), and both defences have low clean sheet percentages. Recent H2H also shows frequent BTTS.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams have over 2.5 goal rates above 59% this season, and neither defence is reliable. Recent H2H also trends high scoring.
Match Result: FC Juarez Win
Juarez have a strong H2H home record and a marginally better attack. However, both teams are inconsistent, so keep stakes low.
More Liga MX Predictions
The Case For This FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis Prediction
This is a mid-table Liga MX clash with both FC Juarez and Atletico San Luis showing inconsistent form. Juarez have a slight edge at home and have dominated recent H2H meetings, especially at home. Both teams are leaky defensively and frequently involved in BTTS and over 2.5 goal matches. Expect an open game with both sides likely to score, but Juarez's marginally better attack and H2H edge make them slight favourites.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Juarez have won 6 of the last 10 H2H, including 4 of the last 5 at home.
Defence
- →Juarez have scored and conceded in all of their last 5 matches (5/5 BTTS).
- →Atletico San Luis have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5, with 4/5 BTTS.
- →Neither side has a strong defence (Juarez season clean sheet rate 8%, San Luis 19%).
- →Both teams average over 1 goal scored per game but concede more than 1.4 per match.
Match Context
- →Both teams have a season over 2.5 goals rate above 59%.
🚩 FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for FC Juarez and 5.6 for Atletico San Luis, for an expected total of 10.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 71% · Over 10.5: 46%.
How FC Juarez and Atletico San Luis Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
FC Juarezlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Atletico San Luislast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +Over 2.5 goals in 68.42% of games this season
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis
FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
6
FC Juarez wins
1
Draws
3
Atletico San Luis wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis
Odds from 10Bet. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available, so no value edges can be calculated.
- ⚠️Some recent match stats (shots, lineups) are missing, reducing model confidence.
- ⚠️Both teams are inconsistent and capable of both high and low performances.
- ⚠️No major injuries reported, but final lineups unavailable.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for FC Juarez vs Atletico San Luis: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 21 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.