Fulham vs Newcastle Predictions
Premier League · England
Fulham
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 1 - 2
Newcastle
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Draw or Newcastle
@ 1.6(+11% edge)
Match Result
7.5/10Fulham Finish in Style: Muniz and Smith Rowe Sink Newcastle at Craven Cottage
Fulham capped off their Premier League campaign with a convincing 2-0 victory over Newcastle United at Craven Cottage. Rodrigo Muniz opened the scoring in the 20th minute, giving the hosts a deserved lead after a spell of early pressure. Emile Smith Rowe doubled Fulham's advantage in the 80th minute, sealing the result and ensuring the home fans left with smiles on their faces. Despite Newcastle's greater share of possession (54%), the Magpies struggled to create clear-cut chances, managing just two shots on target from seven attempts. In contrast, Fulham were far more incisive, firing 21 shots with six on target and looking dangerous throughout. Both sides saw two players booked, but the match was largely played in good spirits, with Fulham's attacking intent proving the difference.
💀 AI Prediction Report
DOWN BADPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
2 - 0
💰 Bet Results0/2 hit
Key Moments
20' — Goal
Rodrigo Muniz finishes off a flowing move to put Fulham ahead.
45' — Yellow Card
Sander Berge goes into the book for a tactical foul.
54' — Yellow Card
Dan Burn is cautioned for a late challenge on Oscar Bobb.
80' — Goal
Emile Smith Rowe doubles Fulham's lead with a composed finish.
85' — Yellow Card
Alex Iwobi receives a yellow card for dissent.
89' — Yellow Card
Bruno Guimarães shown yellow for a foul on Kevin.
Fulham
Fulham delivered a dynamic display, blending defensive solidity with attacking flair. Their 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to transition quickly and exploit spaces behind Newcastle's back three. The hosts were relentless in attack, registering 21 shots and keeping Nick Pope busy throughout. Defensively, they remained organized, limiting Newcastle's opportunities and protecting Bernd Leno effectively. Key players like Rodrigo Muniz and Emile Smith Rowe stepped up at crucial moments, while the midfield duo of Sander Berge and Alex Iwobi provided control and creativity. Fulham's ability to press high and recover possession quickly stifled Newcastle's attempts to build from the back.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Newcastle
Newcastle enjoyed more of the ball but lacked penetration in the final third. Their 3-5-2 formation was designed for control but failed to generate attacking impetus, as they managed only two shots on target. The midfield, marshaled by Bruno Guimarães, saw plenty of possession but struggled to break down Fulham's disciplined lines. Defensively, the Magpies were exposed by Fulham's pace and movement, particularly down the flanks. While Nick Pope made several important saves, Newcastle's lack of cutting edge and urgency in attack ultimately left them chasing the game.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Fulham set up in a 4-2-3-1, using their double pivot to shield the back four and launch quick attacks through the midfield. The wide players, particularly Oscar Bobb and Smith Rowe, provided width and stretched Newcastle's three-man defense, creating space for Muniz to exploit. Their pressing game forced Newcastle into mistakes and prevented them from building sustained attacks. Newcastle's 3-5-2 aimed to control the middle of the park, but the lack of width and directness up front limited their threat. The wingbacks struggled to contain Fulham's wingers, and the front two were isolated for long periods. Substitutions did little to alter the tactical balance, as Fulham remained compact and dangerous on the counter.
Turning Point
Smith Rowe's goal in the 80th minute, which killed off Newcastle's hopes of a late comeback and confirmed Fulham's dominance.
Man of the Match
Rodrigo Muniz
Set the tone with the opening goal and led the line with energy and intelligence throughout.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Fulham vs Newcastle?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Fulham vs Newcastle(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Draw or Newcastle@ 1.6
Newcastle have a strong H2H record against Fulham and are slightly better in attack; Fulham's recent form is poor, and Newcastle are unbeaten in 2 of their last 3 away games.
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Match Result: Draw@ 3.4
Both teams are closely matched in the league and recent form, with Fulham struggling to score and Newcastle inconsistent away; a draw has notable value.
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BTTS: Yes@ 1.95
Newcastle's matches have seen both teams score in 4 of their last 5, and Fulham's home attack is better than their away form, suggesting both could find the net.
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More Premier League Predictions
The Case For This Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction
Fulham host Newcastle in a mid-table Premier League clash where both sides have little at stake but pride. Fulham's recent struggles in attack and Newcastle's superior head-to-head record point to an edge for the visitors, though both teams have shown defensive frailties. Expect a competitive match with Newcastle slightly favored to take points, but a draw remains a strong possibility.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Fulham have failed to score in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- →Newcastle have won 8 of the last 10 H2H meetings.
- →Fulham's home record (10W, 2D, 6L) is solid but recent form is poor (LLWDL).
- →Newcastle have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches and have a higher season over 2.5 goals rate (63.89%).
Defence
- →Both teams have similar defensive records and clean sheet percentages (22.22%).
🚩 Fulham vs Newcastle Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 5.6 corners for Fulham and 4 for Newcastle, for an expected total of 9.6. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (51%). Over 8.5: 62% · Over 10.5: 37%.
How Fulham and Newcastle Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Fulham vs Newcastle Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Fulhamlast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Newcastlelast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Fulham enter this match on a poor run, losing three of their last five and failing to score in four of those games. Newcastle's form is also mixed, with just one win in their last five, but they have been more consistent in finding the net and recently drew away at Nottingham Forest.
Fulham vs Newcastle — Last 10 Matches
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −Struggling to score — 0.2 goals/game
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Fulham vs Newcastle
The head-to-head record is heavily in Newcastle's favor, with eight wins in the last ten meetings and a pattern of away wins, including a 2-1 victory earlier this season. Fulham's only recent success came at home last season, but overall Newcastle have had the upper hand.
Fulham vs Newcastle Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Fulham wins
0
Draws
8
Newcastle wins
Things to Watch: Fulham vs Newcastle
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided; value edges are based on typical market odds and may differ in reality.
- ⚠️Recent Newcastle away match stats are incomplete (missing shots, possession, etc.), reducing precision.
- ⚠️End-of-season motivation may be variable for both teams, increasing unpredictability.
- ⚠️Lineups are not available; late injuries or rotations could impact outcomes.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Fulham vs Newcastle: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.