GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Colwyn Bay Predictions

Premier LeaguePremier League ยท Wales
high confidence
GAP Connah S Quay FC

GAP Connah S Quay FC

AI Predicted Score

2 - 1

Colwyn Bay

Colwyn Bay

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Saturday, 18 Apr 2026 at 17:15 BST (venue time) ยท 16:15 UTC (your time)๐Ÿ“ Essity Stadium, Flint

Win Probability (1X2)

GAP Connah S Quay FC 49%Draw 31%Colwyn Bay 20%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: GAP Connah S Quay FC Win

๐ŸŽฎ Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ€” then simulate the match and see what happens.

GAP Connah S Quay FC1.75

Expected goals ยท model says 1.75

Colwyn Bay1.15

Expected goals ยท model says 1.15

Win Probability
GAP Connah S Quay FC 51% Draw 24% Colwyn Bay 25%

Over 2.5 Goals

55%

BTTS: Yes

56%

Likely Scores

1-1 ยท 2-1 ยท 1-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above โ€” every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ€” not betting advice.

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Colwyn Bay Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
49%
31%
20%
GAP Connah S Quay FC 49%Draw 31%Colwyn Bay 20%
Both Teams to Score
56%
44%
Yes 56%No 44%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
57%
43%
Over 2.5 57%Under 2.5 43%

Who do you think wins: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Colwyn Bay?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Colwyn Bay Prediction

GAP Connah S Quay FC host Colwyn Bay in a clash that sees the home side as deserved favourites. Connah's Quay have been consistent at home and are chasing a strong finish, while Colwyn Bay's form has been patchy, especially away. Expect a competitive match with goals at both ends, but the hosts' offensive edge and H2H dominance at home tip the balance in their favour.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • โ†’Recent H2H: Connah's Quay unbeaten in last 5 vs Colwyn Bay (3W, 2D)

Attack

  • โ†’Connah's Quay strong home record and attacking output (1.94 goals/game)

Defence

  • โ†’Colwyn Bay struggle for consistency away (1.29 goals scored, 1.16 conceded per game)

Injuries & Team News

  • โ†’No major injuries for either side

Match Context

  • โ†’Connah's Quay last 5: all BTTS, high goal average

How GAP Connah S Quay FC and Colwyn Bay Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Colwyn Bay Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FClast 5 matches

No scorer data yet โ€” available after predictions are regenerated.

Colwyn BayColwyn Baylast 5 matches

No scorer data yet โ€” available after predictions are regenerated.

Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Colwyn Bay โ€” Last 10 Matches

GAP Connah S Quay FCGAP Connah S Quay FCLast 10 results
L1-2
D1-1
W2-1
W4-2
L1-2
L0-1
D0-0
D1-1
D2-2
D2-2
L@ The New Saints1-2
Dvs Barry Town1-1
Wvs Penybont2-1
W@ Caernarfon Town4-2
Lvs The New Saints1-2
L@ Barry Town0-1
D@ Penybont0-0
Dvs Caernarfon Town1-1
D@ Colwyn Bay2-2
D@ Caernarfon Town2-2

Strengths

  • +Both teams scoring in most recent games
  • +Over 2.5 goals in 70.97% of games this season

Concerns

  • โˆ’No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Colwyn BayColwyn BayLast 10 results
L0-2
D0-0
W2-0
W3-1
L0-3
W3-1
L0-2
W1-0
D2-2
L0-1
Lvs Caernarfon Town0-2
D@ Penybont0-0
W@ The New Saints2-0
Wvs Barry Town3-1
L@ Caernarfon Town0-3
Wvs Penybont3-1
Lvs The New Saints0-2
W@ Barry Town1-0
Dvs GAP Connah S Quay FC2-2
L@ The New Saints0-1

What History Says: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Colwyn Bay

GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Colwyn Bay Head-to-Head History

Last 7 meetings between these sides

4

GAP Connah S Quay FC wins

2

Draws

1

Colwyn Bay wins

57%29% draws14%
24 Jan 26Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC2-2
5 Dec 25GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Colwyn Bay2-1
10 Aug 25Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC1-1
29 Nov 23Colwyn Bay vs GAP Connah S Quay FC2-3
26 Sept 23GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Colwyn Bay2-1
12 Nov 22GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Colwyn Bay4-0

Things to Watch: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Colwyn Bay

  • โš ๏ธNo bookmaker odds provided, so value assessment is limited
  • โš ๏ธLack of shots/corners/fouls data reduces precision in set piece and card markets
  • โš ๏ธRecent form for both sides is mixed (LDWWL), so volatility is possible

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Colwyn Bay: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 13 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ€” see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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