GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno Predictions
Premier League · Wales
GAP Connah S Quay FC
AI Predicted Score
3 - 1
Llandudno
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: GAP Connah S Quay FC Win
Recommended Bets: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno: Match Preview
Connah's Quay arrive at the Essity Stadium with the wind at their backs, having rattled off five successive wins across all competitions. Their surge has coincided with a defensive tightening—just two goals conceded in five—and a spread of goal threats, with Franklin and Hodkin both bagging braces in recent matches. Sitting second in the table, they are firmly in the title chase and brimming with confidence.
Llandudno, by contrast, are in freefall. Four consecutive league defeats have seen them ship 12 goals and collect a red card, with their only recent point coming at home to Caernarfon Town. Their away record is bleak: five losses from six, and 14 goals conceded on their travels. While Maher and Williams have chipped in with goals, defensive frailty and discipline issues (six yellows and a red last time out) have undermined any attacking promise.
The model expects Connah's Quay to assert control early, leveraging their home solidity (just three goals conceded in seven at home) and attacking variety against a Llandudno side low on confidence and leaking goals. With both teams tending towards high-scoring matches (over 2.5 in 69% and 62% of their games respectively), a 3-1 home win is the likeliest outcome unless Llandudno can break their losing cycle.
How GAP Connah S Quay FC and Llandudno Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
GAP Connah S Quay FClast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Llandudnolast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Connah's Quay are the league's form side, stringing together five straight wins and conceding only twice in that run. Their momentum is matched by a balanced attack and a defence that has kept three clean sheets in five. Llandudno, meanwhile, are stuck in a rut, losing four consecutive matches and conceding 2.4 goals per game in that stretch, with no clean sheets and mounting discipline problems.
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +5/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Prolific attack — 2.4 goals/game (last 5)
- +Defensively solid — 0.4 conceded/game
- +3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.4 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno that most previews miss.
- 1Connah's Quay have kept three clean sheets in their last five, conceding just once at home in that span.
- 2Llandudno have failed to earn a single away draw this season, losing five of six and conceding 2.33 per game on the road.
- 3Four of Llandudno's last five matches have seen both teams score, despite their poor run.
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 2.40
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS: Yes
56%
Likely Scores
2-0 · 2-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno?
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The Case For This GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno Prediction
Connah's Quay are riding the crest of a five-match winning wave, dispatching opponents with authority and conceding just twice in that span. Their attack has been ruthless, and their defensive discipline at home is among the league's best. Llandudno, in stark contrast, are mired in a four-game losing streak, shipping goals at an alarming rate and struggling to steady the ship away from home. The form lines could hardly be more divergent, and the data suggests the hosts' momentum is not a mirage.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Connah's Quay have won five consecutive matches, scoring 12 and conceding only 2 in that stretch.
- →Llandudno have lost four straight, conceding 12 goals and failing to keep a single clean sheet in their last five.
Match Context
- →Connah's Quay's home record (5W, 1D, 1L, 16:3 goals) is among the strongest in the league.
Where the Model Sees Value: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: GAP Connah S Quay FC Win
Connah's Quay arrive on a five-match winning streak, averaging 2.4 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded per game in that run, while Llandudno have lost four straight and conceded 2.4 per game in their last five. The momentum and underlying numbers both point strongly to a home win.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides have seen over 2.5 goals in over 60% of their league matches this season, and Llandudno's defensive frailty (no clean sheets in five, 12 conceded) combines with Connah's Quay's sharp attack to make a high-scoring outcome likely.
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BTTS: Yes
Llandudno have managed to score in four of their last five despite poor form, and Connah's Quay have conceded in two of their last three at home, so both teams finding the net is a plausible outcome.
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More Premier League Predictions
What History Says: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno
Connah's Quay have the historical edge, winning five of the last ten meetings and dominating at home, including two clean sheets in their last three home H2Hs. Llandudno's most recent win in this fixture came away in the cup, but overall, the trend favours the hosts, especially at the Essity Stadium.
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
5
GAP Connah S Quay FC wins
2
Draws
3
Llandudno wins
Things to Watch: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno
- ⚠️No odds data available, so value assessment is limited.
- ⚠️No player-level injury or suspension issues reported, but lineups are unconfirmed.
- ⚠️Connah's Quay's recent defensive numbers could regress if Llandudno rediscover attacking form.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
GAP Connah S Quay FC 3–1 LlandudnoConnah's Quay's five-match winning streak, combined with Llandudno's four straight defeats and defensive collapse, makes a home win the overwhelming expectation—3-1 is the model's call. The single strongest data point is the hosts' 2.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game over the last five. The main risk is Llandudno snapping out of their funk and exploiting any complacency, but the form lines point strongly in one direction.
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno: Common Questions
Who will win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno?
The model gives Connah's Quay a 68% chance of victory, reflecting their five-match winning streak and strong home record, while Llandudno's chances are just 11% after four straight defeats.
Will Connah's Quay's winning run continue?
All indicators support the streak extending: they've averaged 2.4 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded in their last five, while Llandudno have lost four on the bounce and conceded 12 in that span.
Is both teams to score likely in this match?
There's a 54% probability of both teams scoring, as Llandudno have found the net in four of their last five despite their struggles, and Connah's Quay have conceded in two of their last three at home.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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Model Accuracy
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