Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC Predictions
Premier League · Egypt
Ghazl El Mehalla
Full Time
0 - 3
AI predicted 1 - 2
Pyramids FC
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Pyramids FC Win
Match Result
7.2/10Pyramids FC Cruise Past Ghazl El Mehalla with Clinical 3-0 Away Win
Pyramids FC delivered a commanding performance at El-Gazel Stadium, securing a 3-0 victory over Ghazl El Mehalla in the Egyptian Premier League. The visitors asserted their dominance throughout the match, controlling 56% of possession and outshooting the hosts 10 to 6, with four efforts on target. Goals from Youssef Obama, Walid El Karti, and Mahmoud Zalaka highlighted a clinical attacking display, while Ghazl El Mehalla struggled to create clear chances. The match saw Pyramids FC break the deadlock late in the first half before adding two more in the second, effectively killing off any hopes of a Mehalla comeback. The home side, despite their efforts, were unable to breach Ahmed El-Shenawy's goal, managing just two shots on target. Discipline was also an issue for Mehalla, who picked up three yellow cards as frustration mounted.
🔥 AI Prediction Report
CERTIFIED WPredicted
1 - 2
Actual
0 - 3
💰 Bet Results2/2 hit
Key Moments
41' — Goal
Youssef Obama breaks the deadlock with a well-taken finish to give Pyramids FC the lead.
67' — Goal
Walid El Karti doubles the advantage, finishing off a flowing move from midfield.
74' — Goal
Mahmoud Zalaka puts the result beyond doubt with a third goal for Pyramids FC.
Various' — Yellow Cards
Ghazl El Mehalla pick up three yellow cards as frustration grows in the second half.
Ghazl El Mehalla
Ghazl El Mehalla started with a 4-2-3-1 setup, but struggled to impose themselves against a well-organized Pyramids FC. With only 44% possession and six total shots, their attacking threat was limited, and they failed to register a goal. The midfield was often bypassed, and the defense was breached three times as the match wore on. Discipline issues further hampered their efforts, as three players went into the referee's book.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Pyramids FC
Pyramids FC executed their 4-2-3-1 formation to near perfection, dictating play with 56% possession and creating the majority of chances. Their attacking trio, led by Youssef Obama, proved too much for the Mehalla backline, with Obama opening the scoring in the 41st minute. The midfield duo of Walid El Karti and Mahmoud Zalaka added goals in the second half, sealing a comfortable win. Defensively, they were rarely troubled, conceding just two shots on target.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Both teams lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, but Pyramids FC's fluidity in midfield and sharpness in attack made the difference. The visitors pressed high and used their possession advantage to stretch Mehalla's defensive lines, creating space for their attacking midfielders. Pyramids' full-backs provided width, while the central midfielders dictated tempo and broke up Mehalla's build-up. Ghazl El Mehalla, meanwhile, struggled to transition from defense to attack, often resorting to long balls that were easily dealt with by the Pyramids backline. Set pieces offered little respite for the hosts, as Pyramids defended corners and free kicks with authority.
Turning Point
Youssef Obama's opening goal in the 41st minute shifted momentum decisively in Pyramids FC's favor, forcing Mehalla to chase the game.
Man of the Match
Youssef Obama
His opening goal set the tone and his movement continually unsettled the Mehalla defense.
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC: Match Preview
Ghazl El Mehalla begin the new campaign with a mixed bag of recent results, alternating wins and losses in their last five league outings (WDWLL). Their attack has shown occasional bursts—such as the 4-2 home win over Haras El Hodood—but also periods of bluntness, failing to score in two of the last five. Pyramids FC, meanwhile, arrive with a stronger recent record (WWDW in competitive matches before a friendly defeat), and have not failed to score in any of their last five, averaging 1.8 goals per game.
Statistically, the matchup tilts in Pyramids FC's favour. Their attack is more consistent, and they have produced both more goals and a perfect 5/5 BTTS record in recent matches, suggesting a tendency for open games. Ghazl El Mehalla's defence concedes 1.2 per game on recent form, and their shot output (8.2 per game, 2.4 on target) is less threatening than Pyramids' (8 shots, but with a higher conversion rate). The H2H record is stark: Pyramids have won 7 of the last 8, including a 3-1 win away in February.
The model expects Pyramids FC's superior attacking rate and psychological edge from the H2H series to tell, but with both teams' defensive numbers far from watertight, the likeliest scenario is a 2-1 away win. A higher-scoring draw is plausible if Mehalla can capitalise on set pieces or Pyramids' tendency for BTTS games, but the away side's historical dominance and recent scoring consistency make them clear favourites.
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Expected goals · model says 0.95
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS: Yes
51%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 1-1 · 0-2
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC that most previews miss.
- 1Pyramids FC's last 5 matches have all seen both teams score, with an average total of 3.2 goals per game.
- 2Ghazl El Mehalla have failed to score in 2 of their last 5, but netted 4 in their most recent home outing.
- 3Across the last 8 H2H meetings, Pyramids FC have averaged 2.9 goals per game against Mehalla.
Who do you think wins: Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Pyramids FC Win
Pyramids FC have won 7 of the last 8 H2H meetings and show a higher attacking output in recent matches (1.8 goals scored per game, 5/5 BTTS), while Ghazl El Mehalla average only 1.4 goals for and have failed to score in 2 of their last 5.
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Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both teams show moderate attacking rates and defensive vulnerabilities: 3 of Pyramids' last 5 and 2 of Mehalla's last 5 have gone over 2.5, while both sides' BTTS rates are high (Pyramids 5/5, Mehalla 2/5).
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The Case For This Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC Prediction
This fixture projects as a moderately open contest, with Pyramids FC carrying a clear historical and statistical edge. The away side's recent scoring rate and BTTS frequency point to a higher-than-average goal environment, while Ghazl El Mehalla's home output remains modest. The most likely outcome is a narrow Pyramids win in a match with goals at both ends.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Pyramids have won 7 of the last 8 H2H meetings, including 3-1 away in the most recent encounter.
Attack
- →Pyramids FC have scored in all of their last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals per game.
- →Ghazl El Mehalla have failed to score in 2 of their last 5 and average only 2.4 shots on target per game.
🚩 Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 3.5 corners for Ghazl El Mehalla and 5.4 for Pyramids FC, for an expected total of 8.9. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (60%). Over 8.5: 53% · Over 10.5: 28%.
How Ghazl El Mehalla and Pyramids FC Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Ghazl El Mehallalast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Pyramids FClast 5 matchesScoring consistently
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Ghazl El Mehalla's recent form is patchy, with two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five, including a 4-2 home win and two matches where they failed to score. Pyramids FC have been more consistent, winning three and drawing one of their last five competitive matches before a friendly defeat, and have scored in every outing.
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC — Last 1 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
- +100% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 100% of games this season
What History Says: Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC
Pyramids FC have dominated this fixture historically, winning 7 of the last 8 meetings and scoring at least twice in each of their last four away games against Ghazl El Mehalla. The only draw came back in April 2021, with all other matches going the way of Pyramids, often by comfortable margins.
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC Head-to-Head History
Last 9 meetings between these sides
0
Ghazl El Mehalla wins
1
Draws
8
Pyramids FC wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC
With bookmaker odds unavailable, explicit value calculations cannot be made. However, the model's strong lean towards Pyramids FC (55% win probability) and the moderate over 2.5 goals probability (52%) suggest that away win and goal-heavy markets would be the first places to look for value once odds are posted.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC
- ⚠️No season-long data available for home/away splits or overall defensive/attacking rates—recent form is a small sample.
- ⚠️Absence of odds data prevents explicit value calculations.
- ⚠️Early season fixture: both teams may show tactical or personnel changes not captured by last season's data.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Ghazl El Mehalla 1–2 Pyramids FCA 2-1 win for Pyramids FC is the statistical baseline, driven by their 7 wins in the last 8 H2H and a recent run of scoring in every match. The main risk to this outcome is Ghazl El Mehalla's occasional home goal burst, as seen against Haras El Hodood, which could push the match into a higher-scoring draw.
Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC: Common Questions
Who will win Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC?
Pyramids FC are clear favourites with a 55% win probability, based on a stronger recent scoring rate (1.8 goals per game) and a dominant H2H record (7 wins in last 8 meetings). Ghazl El Mehalla have just an 18% chance of victory.
Will both teams score in Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC?
Both teams to score is rated at 54%, reflecting Pyramids' 5/5 BTTS record in recent matches and Ghazl El Mehalla's inconsistent but occasionally potent attack.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
Over 2.5 goals has a 52% probability, with both teams averaging over 1 goal scored per game and Pyramids' matches tending towards higher totals (3.2 per game in their last five).
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 15 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.