Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont Predictions
Premier League · Wales
Haverfordwest County AFC
AI Predicted Score
2 - 0
Penybont
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Haverfordwest County AFC Win
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Expected goals · model says 1.50
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS: Yes
48%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 2-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Haverfordwest County AFC Win
Haverfordwest County AFC are in strong recent form (WWWLW, W3 streak, 4 clean sheets in last 5), while Penybont are struggling (LLDLL), have scored just 0.4 goals/game and lost 3 of last 5. Home side's defense is solid and Penybont have failed to score in 3 of last 5.
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BTTS: No
Haverfordwest have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5, Penybont have failed to score in 3 of last 5 and average just 0.4 goals/game recently. Only 2 of Penybont's last 5 saw BTTS.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams have under 2.5 goals in the majority of recent matches (Haverfordwest 3/5, Penybont 4/5), and both average less than 2.5 goals per game on the season.
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The Case For This Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont Prediction
Haverfordwest County AFC enter this fixture in excellent form, having won 4 of their last 5 and boasting a strong defensive record with 4 clean sheets in that span. Their attack has also shown potency, especially at home. In contrast, Penybont are struggling badly, winless in 5 with 3 losses and just 2 goals scored. The head-to-head record heavily favors Penybont historically, but current form and home advantage point toward Haverfordwest. Expect a low-scoring match with the home side's defense likely to prove decisive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Recent H2H: Penybont dominant, but form reversal evident.
Defence
- →Haverfordwest: 4 wins and 4 clean sheets in last 5 matches.
- →Penybont: 0.4 goals/game, 3 losses in last 5, only 1 clean sheet.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Haverfordwest home: 8W/2D/6L, 31:20 goal difference.
- →Penybont away: 6W/3D/8L, 23:35 goal difference.
How Haverfordwest County AFC and Penybont Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Haverfordwest County AFClast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Penybontlast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +4/5 wins in last 5 — excellent form
- +Defensively solid — 0.2 conceded/game
- +4 clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.4 goals/game
What History Says: Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
1
Haverfordwest County AFC wins
2
Draws
7
Penybont wins
Things to Watch: Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value edges and expected value cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️No detailed match stats (shots, possession, etc.) for recent games, reducing confidence in some derived metrics.
- ⚠️Historical H2H strongly favors Penybont, which adds uncertainty despite current form.
- ⚠️No lineups available yet for this fixture.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 29 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
More Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont Resources
Haverfordwest County AFC Predictions
All Haverfordwest County AFC fixtures & tips
Penybont Predictions
All Penybont fixtures & tips
Haverfordwest County AFC vs Penybont Stats
Full H2H record & season stats
Premier League Predictions
All fixtures for this competition
Model Accuracy
Track record & verified results