Llandudno vs Cardiff MET Predictions

Llandudno PredictionsCardiff MET PredictionsPremier LeagueH2H Stats
Prediction by The Numbers Desk — No extreme form or market signal — routed to The Numbers Desk, which builds the prediction from the underlying statistical rates.
Premier LeaguePremier League · Wales
high confidence
Llandudno

Llandudno

AI Predicted Score

1 - 2

Cardiff MET

Cardiff MET

🗓️ Saturday, 3 Oct 2026 at 14:30 BST (venue time) · 13:30 UTC (your time)

Win Probability (1X2)

Llandudno 23%Draw 32%Cardiff MET 45%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Cardiff MET Win

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Recommended Bets: Llandudno vs Cardiff MET

Match Result: Cardiff MET Win
7/10
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
5/10

Llandudno vs Cardiff MET: Match Preview

Llandudno come into this match on the back of a patchy run, with just one win in their last five and a recent form string of LDLWL. Despite this, their home record remains a standout—unbeaten in five with four wins and only four goals conceded at home all season. Cardiff MET, sitting three places below in the table but with a game in hand, have shown more consistent attacking output, averaging 2.11 goals per game and coming off a run of LDDWW in their last five.

Statistically, the matchup is defined by Llandudno's home solidity against Cardiff MET's away defensive strength. Cardiff MET have conceded just three goals in five away matches, while Llandudno have scored 11 in five at home. Both sides carry goal threats: Llandudno's matches go over 2.5 goals 60% of the time, and Cardiff MET's 55.56%. Recent trends show Cardiff MET scoring more heavily in the second half (7 of their last 11 goals), while Llandudno have struggled to keep clean sheets, managing just one in their last five.

The model expects Cardiff MET's superior scoring rate and away defensive organisation to edge a close contest, with a predicted 2-1 away win. The likeliest scenario is a tight first half, with Cardiff MET's attack asserting itself after the break. Llandudno's home record keeps them in the game, but their recent defensive lapses and Cardiff MET's sharper attack tilt the probabilities toward the visitors.

🎮 Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.

Llandudno1.20

Expected goals · model says 1.20

Cardiff MET1.65

Expected goals · model says 1.65

Win Probability
Llandudno 28% Draw 24% Cardiff MET 48%

Over 2.5 Goals

54%

BTTS: Yes

56%

Likely Scores

1-1 · 0-1 · 1-2

Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.

Llandudno vs Cardiff MET Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
23%
32%
45%
Llandudno 23%Draw 32%Cardiff MET 45%
Both Teams to Score
54%
46%
Yes 54%No 46%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
56%
44%
Over 2.5 56%Under 2.5 44%

Stats Worth Knowing

The numbers behind Llandudno vs Cardiff MET that most previews miss.

  • 1Cardiff MET have conceded just 0.6 goals per away match, the best away defensive rate in the league's top half.
  • 2Llandudno's home matches average exactly 3.0 goals per game (11 scored, 4 conceded in 5), with 80% finishing over 2.5 goals.
  • 3Both teams have scored in 3 of Llandudno's last 5, but Cardiff MET have kept 2 clean sheets in the same span.

Who do you think wins: Llandudno vs Cardiff MET?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

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The Case For This Llandudno vs Cardiff MET Prediction

This fixture pits Llandudno's strong home record against Cardiff MET's robust away defence and more consistent goal output. Llandudno have stumbled recently, while Cardiff MET's away form and scoring rates give them a statistical edge.

Key Factors at a Glance

Attack

  • →Cardiff MET average 2.11 goals scored per game this season.

Defence

  • →Cardiff MET's away defensive record: 3 goals conceded in 5 away matches.
  • →Llandudno's home record: unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), 11 goals scored, 4 conceded.

How Llandudno and Cardiff MET Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Llandudno vs Cardiff MET Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

LlandudnoLlandudnolast 5 matches
B. MaherXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

M. Cadwalladersub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

N. Grogansub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

C. Morrissub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Cardiff METCardiff METlast 5 matches
J. VealeXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

S. SnaithXI
3 goals in 5
60%

Scoring consistently

J. PayneXI
2 goals in 5
40%

Regular contributor

S. JonesXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

S. Dymond-HallXI
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

M. McKenziesub/out
1 goal in 5
20%

Occasional threat

Llandudno have struggled for momentum, winning just once in their last five and conceding 1.8 goals per game in that stretch. Cardiff MET, by contrast, have lost just once in their last five and boast a positive goal difference, reflecting a more stable run of form.

Llandudno vs Cardiff MET — Last 10 Matches

LlandudnoLlandudnoLast 10 results
L1-2
D1-1
L1-4
W2-0
L0-2
W2-0
L1-2
W3-1
W4-0
W3-2
L@ The New Saints1-2
Dvs Caernarfon Town1-1
L@ Barry Town1-4
Wvs Ammanford AFC2-0
L@ Colwyn Bay0-2
Wvs Haverfordwest County AFC2-0
L@ Penybont1-2
Wvs Holywell3-1
W@ Trefelin4-0
Wvs Flint Town United3-2

Concerns

  • −Inconsistent — 3+ losses in last 5
Cardiff METCardiff METLast 9 results
L0-1
D1-1
D2-2
W5-0
W3-0
L0-5
L0-1
W2-0
W6-1
L@ GAP Connah S Quay FC0-1
D@ Flint Town United1-1
Dvs Cambrian & Clydach2-2
W@ Ammanford AFC5-0
Wvs Briton Ferry3-0
Lvs The New Saints0-5
L@ Barry Town0-1
W@ Airbus UK2-0
Wvs Holywell6-1

Strengths

  • +Prolific attack — 2.2 goals/game (last 5)

What History Says: Llandudno vs Cardiff MET

Cardiff MET have historically dominated this fixture, winning five of the last eight meetings and three straight away at Llandudno before 2019. Low-scoring matches have been common, but Cardiff MET have often kept Llandudno off the scoresheet.

Llandudno vs Cardiff MET Head-to-Head History

Last 8 meetings between these sides

1

Llandudno wins

2

Draws

5

Cardiff MET wins

13%25% draws63%
13 Apr 19Llandudno vs Cardiff MET1-2
16 Feb 19Cardiff MET vs Llandudno3-0
12 Jan 19Llandudno vs Cardiff MET0-3
16 Sept 18Cardiff MET vs Llandudno0-1
20 Dec 17Llandudno vs Cardiff MET0-0
8 Oct 17Cardiff MET vs Llandudno1-0

Things to Watch: Llandudno vs Cardiff MET

  • ⚠️No bookmaker odds available; value edges cannot be computed.
  • ⚠️Shot and set-piece data missing, so set piece and shot-based predictions are less reliable.
  • ⚠️Recent H2H data is dated (last meeting 2019); squad changes since then limit its predictive value.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.

Final Verdict

Llandudno 1–2 Cardiff MET

The model projects a 2-1 victory for Cardiff MET, driven primarily by their league-best away defensive record (0.6 goals conceded per away game) and their consistent attacking output. The biggest risk to this call is Llandudno's unbeaten home record, which could see them grind out a result if Cardiff MET's attack underperforms.

Llandudno vs Cardiff MET: Common Questions

Who will win Llandudno vs Cardiff MET?

Cardiff MET are favoured, with a 45% probability of an away win compared to 23% for Llandudno and 32% for the draw. This is based on Cardiff MET's superior away defensive record and season-long goal difference.

Will both teams score in Llandudno vs Cardiff MET?

Both teams to score is rated at 54%, reflecting Llandudno's 3 BTTS matches in their last 5 and Cardiff MET's strong scoring rate of 2.11 goals per game.

Is over 2.5 goals likely in Llandudno vs Cardiff MET?

Over 2.5 goals is slightly favoured at 56%, with both sides' matches exceeding this line in over half their games this season (Llandudno 60%, Cardiff MET 55.56%).

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Llandudno vs Cardiff MET: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 26 September 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

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Model Accuracy

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