HNK Cibalia vs Mladost Ždralovi Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
HNK Cibalia
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Mladost Ždralovi
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
HNK Cibalia vs Mladost Ždralovi: Match Preview
Mladost Ždralovi enter this friendly on an eight-match unbeaten run (W5 D3), having scored 16 and conceded 7 across the campaign. Their recent form string of DWDWD includes four straight home matches without defeat, and they have not failed to score in any of their last five. Cibalia, meanwhile, have played fewer matches this season but have shown both attacking promise (4 goals in 2 competitive games) and defensive frailty, losing 3-0 to NK Osijek in their latest outing.
Statistically, the matchup is shaped by high scoring rates on both sides. Mladost average 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game over their last five, while Cibalia's last five show 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded. Both teams have managed only one clean sheet in that span, and Cibalia's 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season is notable. First-half goals are common, with Mladost netting four and Cibalia six before the break in their last five matches, pointing to a lively opening period. Set-piece and discipline data are unavailable, but the lack of recent cards suggests a low booking environment.
Given these rates, the model expects a match with multiple goals and both teams on the scoresheet. Mladost's home advantage and unbeaten streak tip the balance slightly in their favour, but Cibalia's attacking output means a narrow margin is most likely. A 2-1 home win is the statistical baseline, with the main risk being the volatility typical of friendlies and the absence of comparative league data.
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Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS: Yes
60%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
HNK Cibalia vs Mladost Ždralovi Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind HNK Cibalia vs Mladost Ždralovi that most previews miss.
- 1Cibalia have seen over 2.5 goals in 100% of their season matches and 3 of their last 5 overall.
- 2Mladost Ždralovi have scored in each of their last 8 matches, averaging 2.0 per game this season.
- 3Both sides have managed just one clean sheet in their last five matches, with BTTS landing in 4 of Mladost's and 3 of Cibalia's last 5.
Who do you think wins: HNK Cibalia vs Mladost Ždralovi?
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Where the Model Sees Value: HNK Cibalia vs Mladost Ždralovi(2)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Both sides average 2+ goals scored per game this season (home: 2.0, away: 2.0), with Mladost Ždralovi seeing 50% of matches over 2.5 and Cibalia at 100%. Recent form also trends high-scoring, with 4 of Mladost's last 5 and 3 of Cibalia's last 5 producing BTTS.
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BTTS: Yes
Mladost Ždralovi have scored in all of their last 5, conceding in 4, while Cibalia have failed to score just once in the same span. The BTTS rate is 65% across the last 5 for both.
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The Case For This HNK Cibalia vs Mladost Ždralovi Prediction
The underlying scoring rates for both Mladost Ždralovi and HNK Cibalia point to an open contest, with both teams averaging 2.0 goals scored per game across their current campaigns. Defensive solidity is less apparent: Mladost concede 0.88 per match (season) but 1.4 over the last five, while Cibalia's concession rate is 1.5 per game and 1.6 in recent outings. The statistical expectation is for multiple goals, with a slight edge to the home side based on their unbeaten run and higher home output.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Mladost Ždralovi are unbeaten in 8 this season (W5 D3), scoring 16 and conceding 7.
- →Both teams have managed just one clean sheet in their last five matches, suggesting defensive vulnerability.
Match Context
- →Cibalia have seen over 2.5 goals in 100% of their season matches and average 2.0 scored per game.
How HNK Cibalia and Mladost Ždralovi Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
HNK Cibalia vs Mladost Ždralovi Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
HNK Cibalialast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Mladost Ždralovilast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Mladost Ždralovi arrive unbeaten in eight this season (W5 D3), with a consistent attacking output of 2.0 goals per game and no failures to score in their last five. Cibalia's recent form is more mixed—three wins in their last five, but a heavy 3-0 defeat to NK Osijek last time out highlights defensive issues. Both sides have struggled for clean sheets, pointing to an open encounter.
HNK Cibalia vs Mladost Ždralovi — Last 9 Matches
Strengths
- +Solid recent form — 3+ wins in last 5
- +66.67% clean sheet rate this season
- +Over 2.5 goals in 66.67% of games this season
What History Says: HNK Cibalia vs Mladost Ždralovi
There is no available head-to-head data for these teams, so no direct trends or dominant patterns can be drawn from recent meetings.
HNK Cibalia vs Mladost Ždralovi Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
HNK Cibalia wins
0
Draws
0
Mladost Ždralovi wins
Things to Watch: HNK Cibalia vs Mladost Ždralovi
- ⚠️No head-to-head or standings data is available, reducing confidence in relative team strength.
- ⚠️All underlying rates are from small sample sizes, especially for Cibalia (2 season matches).
- ⚠️Friendlies format may lead to unpredictable lineups and motivation.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
HNK Cibalia 2–1 Mladost ŽdraloviA 2-1 win for Mladost Ždralovi is the model's baseline, underpinned by both teams' high scoring rates and a lack of defensive consistency—Mladost's 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game in recent matches set the tone. The main risk is the limited sample size and unknowns typical of friendlies, which could skew the goal distribution or see experimental lineups.
HNK Cibalia vs Mladost Ždralovi: Common Questions
Who will win Mladost Ždralovi vs HNK Cibalia?
Mladost Ždralovi are given a 43% chance of victory, with a 34% probability for the draw and 23% for Cibalia. The home side's unbeaten run and higher scoring rate give them a statistical edge, but the margin is not overwhelming.
Will both teams score in Mladost Ždralovi vs HNK Cibalia?
The probability for both teams to score is 65%, driven by each side's high recent BTTS rates (Mladost: 4/5, Cibalia: 3/5) and their tendency to concede, with just one clean sheet apiece in the last five.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals, supported by both teams averaging 2.0 goals scored per game this season and Cibalia's 100% over 2.5 rate in their competitive matches so far.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for HNK Cibalia vs Mladost Ždralovi: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.