IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF Predictions
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
Full Time
0 - 0
AI predicted 2 - 0
Degerfors IF
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: IFK Goteborg Win
Match Result
7.2/10IFK Göteborg See Off Degerfors IF With Late Flourish at Gamla Ullevi
IFK Göteborg secured a deserved 2-0 victory over Degerfors IF at Gamla Ullevi, with goals in each half capping a controlled performance. The hosts broke the deadlock in the 25th minute and sealed the result with a stoppage-time strike, rewarding their dominance in both possession and attacking intent. Göteborg dictated much of the tempo, registering 19 shots (5 on target) and edging possession at 52%. Degerfors, despite their 4-3-3 setup and a handful of promising moments, struggled to convert their 11 shots into clear-cut chances, ultimately failing to breach Viktor Andersson’s goal. Both sides saw two players booked in a contest that, while competitive, was largely played in good spirit.
🔮 AI Prediction Report
PSYCHIC MODEPredicted
2 - 0
Actual
2 - 0
💰 Bet Results3/3 hit
Key Moments
25' — Goal
Saidou Alioum Moubarak scores to give IFK Göteborg a 1-0 lead, assisted by Adam Bergmark Wiberg.
38' — Yellow Card
Felix Eriksson is booked for a tactical foul, halting a Degerfors counter.
54' — Yellow Card
Bilal Hussein receives a yellow card for a late challenge in midfield.
90' — Goal
Göteborg double their lead with a late goal, sealing the three points.
IFK Goteborg
IFK Göteborg looked assured throughout, leveraging their 4-2-3-1 formation to control the midfield and create a steady stream of opportunities. They pressed well from the front, forcing Degerfors into errors and winning eight corners. The home side’s patience paid off with a goal midway through the first half, and their persistence was finally rewarded with a second in the dying moments to put the result beyond doubt. Defensively, Göteborg were solid, limiting Degerfors to just four shots on target and snuffing out any real threat. Their midfield trio provided both creativity and defensive cover, ensuring the visitors rarely found space between the lines.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Degerfors IF
Degerfors IF set out in a 4-3-3 formation, looking to match Göteborg’s midfield numbers and exploit the flanks. While they managed to carve out 11 shots and win seven corners, their attacking play lacked a cutting edge and they struggled to break down a well-organized home defense. The visitors’ best moments came on the counter, but they were unable to capitalize on their limited opportunities. Defensively, Degerfors showed resilience for long spells, but ultimately succumbed to sustained pressure. Their discipline wavered at times, as evidenced by two yellow cards, and they were undone by a late second goal that reflected their inability to push forward effectively in search of an equalizer.
Key Players
Strengths
Weaknesses
Tactical Analysis
Göteborg’s 4-2-3-1 provided both defensive solidity and attacking width, with the double pivot shielding the back four and allowing their advanced midfielders to push forward. Their pressing game forced Degerfors into errors, while their fullbacks offered support in wide areas, stretching the Degerfors defense. Degerfors’ 4-3-3 aimed to match up in midfield but often left them outnumbered in central areas. Their best moments came from quick transitions, but a lack of composure in the final third and difficulty in building sustained possession limited their attacking threat. Both teams made tactical fouls to disrupt rhythm, as reflected in the yellow cards.
Turning Point
The opening goal by Saidou Alioum Moubarak in the 25th minute set the tone, forcing Degerfors to chase the game and allowing Göteborg to dictate play.
Man of the Match
Saidou Alioum Moubarak
Scored the crucial opening goal and led the attacking line with constant movement and pressing.
IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF: Match Preview
IFK Goteborg limp into this clash with just one win from their last five in all competitions, but their recent home performance—a 2-1 victory over IF Brommapojkarna—showed signs of life, with 28 shots and a late surge to secure the points. Despite a heavy 0-4 defeat at Malmo and a Conference League exit to Levadia Tallinn, Goteborg's underlying attacking numbers at home have improved, and they sit just three points above Degerfors in the table, making this a crucial relegation six-pointer.
Degerfors arrive in even worse shape, mired in a four-game losing streak in the league and having failed to score in any of those matches. Their attack has completely dried up, averaging just 0.6 goals and 0.6 shots on target per game across the last five, while the defence has continued to leak, conceding two or more in three of those outings. The away record offers little comfort, with just one win in six and only six goals scored on the road all season.
The tactical battle tilts towards Goteborg, whose shot volume and set-piece threat (10 corners in each of their last two home league games) should test a Degerfors side low on confidence and penetration. While Goteborg's defence remains vulnerable, Degerfors' current attacking malaise makes a home clean sheet more plausible than at any other point this season. Expect Goteborg to dictate play, with the likeliest scenario being a narrow home win built on sheer attacking persistence.
How IFK Goteborg and Degerfors IF Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
IFK Goteborglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Degerfors IFlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
IFK Goteborg have endured a rough patch, losing four of their last five in all competitions, but their recent 2-1 home win over Brommapojkarna showed a resurgence in attacking intent with 28 shots and a strong finish. Degerfors, meanwhile, are in freefall, losing four straight league matches without scoring and registering just three shots on target across those games. The momentum edge, slight as it is, sits with Goteborg due to their improved attacking output at home.
IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.2 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Struggling to score — 0.6 goals/game
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF that most previews miss.
- 1Degerfors have failed to score in four straight league matches, managing just three shots on target in that span.
- 2IFK Goteborg have won all five home matches against Degerfors since 2021, with an aggregate score of 18-2.
- 3Goteborg's last two home league games each featured double-digit corner counts (10), highlighting their set-piece volume.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.75
Expected goals · model says 0.95
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
BTTS: Yes
51%
Likely Scores
1-0 · 1-1 · 2-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Who do you think wins: IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
The Case For This IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF Prediction
Two sides in dire need of a spark meet at Gamla Ullevi, but Degerfors' four-match scoreless run and Goteborg's shot-heavy but erratic recent displays suggest the home side's marginally brighter momentum could prove decisive.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Degerfors have failed to score in four consecutive league matches, averaging just 0.6 shots on target per game in that span.
- →IFK Goteborg generated 28 shots and 10 corners in their last home league match, signalling attacking intent despite inconsistent results.
Match Context
- →Head-to-head history is overwhelmingly in Goteborg's favour, with eight wins in the last ten meetings and an aggregate score of 27-8.
Where the Model Sees Value: IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: IFK Goteborg Win
IFK Goteborg have lost four of their last five but showed attacking intent with 28 shots and a late winner in their most recent league home match, while Degerfors arrive on a four-game losing streak and have failed to score in their last four Allsvenskan outings.
Read more ↓
BTTS: No
Degerfors have failed to score in four straight league matches, averaging just 0.6 goals and 0.6 shots on target per game in their last five; Goteborg's defensive record is poor but Degerfors' attack is in a deeper rut.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both sides have struggled for goals recently, with Goteborg scoring just four in their last five and Degerfors blanking in four straight; despite season-long over 2.5 rates above 50%, current form points to a lower-scoring contest.
Read more ↓
More Allsvenskan Predictions
🚩 IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF Corners Prediction
medium confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 7 corners for IFK Goteborg and 4.6 for Degerfors IF, for an expected total of 11.6. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (72%). Over 8.5: 82% · Over 10.5: 61%.
What History Says: IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF
The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in IFK Goteborg's favour, with eight wins in the last ten meetings and a perfect home record in that run. Recent encounters at Gamla Ullevi have been particularly one-sided, with Goteborg winning 3-0 and 3-1 in the last two. Degerfors have not managed a clean sheet in any of the last ten meetings.
IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
8
IFK Goteborg wins
0
Draws
2
Degerfors IF wins
Things to Watch: IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF
- ⚠️Neither side is in strong overall form, with Goteborg losing four of their last five and Degerfors on a four-game losing streak.
- ⚠️Goteborg's defence has conceded 11 in their last five and kept no clean sheets all season, so a Degerfors goal cannot be entirely ruled out.
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds available at time of analysis, so value edges cannot be quantified.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
IFK Goteborg 2–0 Degerfors IFThe model expects IFK Goteborg to capitalise on Degerfors' attacking crisis, forecasting a 2-0 home win. The single strongest data point is Degerfors' four-match scoreless run, underpinned by a woeful 0.6 shots on target per game. The main risk is Goteborg's own defensive fragility—conceding 2.2 per game in their last five—which could allow even a struggling Degerfors side a route back if the hosts fail to take their chances.
IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF: Common Questions
Who will win IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF?
The model gives IFK Goteborg a 54% chance of victory, with Degerfors at just 13% and a 33% probability of a draw. Goteborg's home shot volume and Degerfors' four-game losing and scoreless streak tip the balance towards the hosts.
Will Degerfors' goal drought continue against Goteborg?
There's a 64% probability that both teams will not score, as Degerfors have failed to find the net in four straight league matches and average just 0.6 shots on target per game recently. Goteborg's defence is leaky, but Degerfors' attack is in dire straits.
Is under 2.5 goals a good bet in this match?
The probability of under 2.5 goals is 46%, slightly below the over, but both sides' recent struggles in front of goal—especially Degerfors'—suggest a lower-scoring contest than their season averages might imply.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for IFK Goteborg vs Degerfors IF: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 26 July 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.