Ipswich vs Le Havre Predictions
Friendlies Clubs · World
Ipswich
AI Predicted Score
2 - 1
Le Havre
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Draw
@ 3.6(+4% edge)
Ipswich vs Le Havre: Match Preview
Ipswich approach this friendly with mixed results in their last five, alternating between wins and defeats and averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Le Havre's recent friendlies mirror this balance, posting a 1-1 draw, a 2-1 win, and a 1-2 loss, with their goal difference sitting at zero across three pre-season outings. With both sides coming off inconsistent runs and no league pressure, the main stake is squad tuning rather than result.
The statistical matchup is defined by moderate attacking output and leaky defences on both sides. Ipswich's friendlies have produced over 2.5 goals in two out of three matches, driven by their inability to keep clean sheets and a tendency to concede in both halves. Le Havre's friendlies follow a similar script, with both teams scoring in three of their last five and a low clean sheet rate. Neither side dominates set pieces or possession, with corners and shots data limited, but both average over a goal per game and concede at similar rates.
Given these underlying rates, the model projects a moderate goal environment, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% probability of both teams scoring. Ipswich's slight edge at home is offset by their defensive frailties, making a 2-1 or 1-1 result most likely. The draw offers a marginal value edge, but the overall expectation is for a closely contested, open game with both sides on the scoresheet.
🎮 Prediction Playground
Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react — then simulate the match and see what happens.
Expected goals · model says 1.60
Expected goals · model says 1.25
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
BTTS: Yes
57%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 2-1 · 1-0
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Ipswich vs Le Havre Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Ipswich vs Le Havre that most previews miss.
- 1Both Ipswich and Le Havre have seen over 2.5 goals in two of their three friendlies this pre-season (66.7%).
- 2Ipswich have conceded in every friendly so far, with a last-5 average of 1.4 goals against per match.
- 3Le Havre's last five matches average just 1.2 shots on target per game, suggesting limited attacking threat despite their goal tally.
Who do you think wins: Ipswich vs Le Havre?
Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.
Where the Model Sees Value: Ipswich vs Le Havre(1)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Draw@ 3.67
The model assigns a 29% probability to the draw, slightly above the 28% implied by odds of 3.6. Both sides have drawn or lost two of their last three friendlies, and their scoring/conceding rates are closely matched (Ipswich 1.0 GF/1.67 GA, Le Havre 1.33 GF/1.33 GA per game in friendlies), supporting a high draw likelihood.
Read more ↓
More Friendlies Clubs Predictions
The Case For This Ipswich vs Le Havre Prediction
Statistically, this fixture sits in the middle of the pre-season distribution: both Ipswich and Le Havre have averaged just above a goal per game in friendlies, while conceding at similar rates. Ipswich have shown slightly more attacking intent, but neither side has established defensive control. The most likely outcome is a narrow home win or a draw, with a moderate chance of both teams scoring.
Key Factors at a Glance
Defence
- →Ipswich average 1.0 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per friendly, with a 66.7% over 2.5 goals rate.
- →Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last three friendlies.
Match Context
- →Le Havre's friendlies show a 1.33 goals for and 1.33 against average, also with 66.7% over 2.5 goals.
🚩 Ipswich vs Le Havre Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Ipswich and 4 for Le Havre, for an expected total of 8.8. That makes the model lean Under 9.5 corners (62%). Over 8.5: 51% · Over 10.5: 26%.
How Ipswich and Le Havre Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Ipswich vs Le Havre Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games.
Ipswichlast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Le Havrelast 5 matchesOccasional threat
Occasional threat
Ipswich's recent form is inconsistent, with a win, two losses, and a draw in their last five, but they have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Le Havre have posted a win, draw, and loss in their last three, with a goal difference of zero and a similarly balanced scoring record. Neither side has established momentum, and both have shown defensive vulnerabilities.
Ipswich vs Le Havre — Last 4 Matches
What History Says: Ipswich vs Le Havre
No head-to-head data is available for these teams, so there is no historical trend to inform expectations for this friendly.
Ipswich vs Le Havre Head-to-Head History
Last 1 meeting between these sides
1
Ipswich wins
0
Draws
0
Le Havre wins
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Ipswich vs Le Havre
The model finds a small value edge on the draw at odds of 3.6, with a model probability of 29% versus a 28% implied probability. Both teams' similar scoring and conceding rates, combined with the friendly setting, increase the likelihood of a balanced outcome. No significant value is found on BTTS or over/under markets at current odds.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Ipswich vs Le Havre
- ⚠️No head-to-head or standings data is available for this fixture.
- ⚠️Pre-season friendlies often feature heavy rotation and variable motivation, reducing predictive confidence.
- ⚠️Shot, possession, and set piece data are incomplete for recent matches, limiting tactical granularity.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Ipswich 2–1 Le HavreThe model predicts a 2-1 win for Ipswich, anchored by both teams' tendency to concede and a shared over 2.5 goals rate of 66.7% in friendlies. The strongest data point is the lack of clean sheets on either side, but the match could easily swing to a draw if attacking rotations blunt finishing quality.
Ipswich vs Le Havre: Common Questions
Who will win Ipswich vs Le Havre?
Ipswich are given a 44% chance of victory, with the draw at 29% and Le Havre at 27%. The most likely outcome is a narrow home win or a draw, reflecting both teams' similar scoring and conceding rates in pre-season.
Will both teams score in Ipswich vs Le Havre?
There's a 54% probability of both teams scoring, supported by both sides conceding in all their recent friendlies and only one clean sheet between them in their last five matches each.
Is over 2.5 goals likely in Ipswich vs Le Havre?
The model assigns a 56% chance to over 2.5 goals, as both teams have seen this line cleared in two of their three pre-season matches and average over one goal scored and conceded per game.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ipswich vs Le Havre: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Numbers Desk, the statistical baseline — season-long rates, splits and distributions. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 3 August 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.