Ipswich vs QPR Predictions

ChampionshipChampionship ยท England
high confidence
Ipswich

Ipswich

Full Time

3 - 0

AI predicted 2 - 1

QPR

QPR

๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Saturday, 2 May 2026 at 12:30 BST (venue time) ยท 11:30 UTC (your time)๐Ÿ“ Portman Road, Ipswich

Win Probability (1X2)

Ipswich 58%Draw 27%QPR 15%

Best Value Pick

Match Result: Ipswich Win

Match Result

7.8/10

Ipswich Cruise Past QPR with Convincing 3-0 Win at Portman Road

Ipswich Town delivered a commanding performance at Portman Road, sweeping aside Queens Park Rangers 3-0 in a match that showcased their attacking intent and defensive solidity. The hosts flew out of the blocks, netting twice inside the opening ten minutes to seize control and never looked back, adding a late third to seal an emphatic victory. QPR struggled to match Ipswich's intensity and were second-best throughout, unable to capitalize on their opportunities and ultimately undone by the home side's clinical edge. Ipswich's early goals set the tone, with their 4-2-3-1 formation allowing them to dominate possession (52%) and create more clear-cut chances, registering 14 shots with 7 on target. QPR, lining up in a 4-4-2, were limited to 12 shots and just 4 on target, and their frustration was evident as they committed 16 fouls and picked up a yellow card. The visitors failed to mount a meaningful comeback, and Ipswich's late third goal capped a thoroughly professional display.

๐Ÿ’ช AI Prediction Report

DECENT HIT

Predicted

2 - 1

โšก

Actual

3 - 0

โœ…Result
โŒBTTS
โœ…O/U 2.5
โŒScore

๐Ÿ’ฐ Bet Results2/3 hit

1x2 โ€” Home
โœ…
Over/Under 2.5 โ€” Over
โœ…
BTTS โ€” Yes
โŒ

Key Moments

3' โ€” Goal

George Hirst opens the scoring for Ipswich, capitalizing on a fast start.

9' โ€” Goal

Ipswich double their lead, putting QPR under immense early pressure.

45' โ€” Yellow Card

Ipswich pick up their first yellow card as the first half ends with the hosts in control.

60' โ€” Yellow Card

QPR receive a yellow card as frustration grows.

70' โ€” Yellow Card

Ipswich shown a second yellow card, but maintain their composure.

85' โ€” Goal

Ipswich seal the win with a third goal, ending any hopes of a QPR comeback.

Ipswich

Ipswich

8.5/10

Ipswich Town impressed from the outset, combining sharp attacking play with disciplined defending. Their early blitz, with goals in the 3rd and 9th minutes, put them firmly in the driving seat. The midfield duo of Azor Matusiwa and Jack Taylor controlled the tempo, while the attacking trio behind George Hirst consistently threatened QPR's backline. Defensively, Ipswich were compact and organized, limiting QPR to few clear chances and ensuring Christian Walton was rarely troubled. The hosts' ability to press high, transition quickly, and maintain possession (52%) allowed them to dictate proceedings. Their 14 shots, 7 of which were on target, reflected their attacking ambition, and a late third goal in the 85th minute put the result beyond doubt.

Key Players

George Hirst: Scored the opening goal in the 3rd minute, setting the tone for Ipswich's dominance.
Jaden Philogene-Bidace: Instrumental in the attacking third, involved in buildup and likely contributed to goals.
Christian Walton: Kept a clean sheet with several important saves.

Strengths

Fast starts and early goalsClinical finishingMidfield controlDefensive organization

Weaknesses

Picked up two yellow cardsOccasional lapses in discipline
QPR

QPR

5/10

QPR endured a difficult afternoon at Portman Road, conceding twice in the opening ten minutes and never recovering. Their 4-4-2 setup struggled to contain Ipswich's fluid attacking play, and they were often forced onto the back foot. While QPR did manage 12 shots (4 on target), they lacked the cutting edge needed to trouble the home defence. The midfield, led by Jonathan Varane and Kieran Morgan, found it hard to gain a foothold, and the forwards were largely isolated. QPR's frustration was evident in their 16 fouls and a yellow card, as they tried to disrupt Ipswich's rhythm. Despite some spells of pressure, they failed to carve out clear opportunities and were ultimately punished by a late third goal.

Key Players

Joe Walsh: Made several saves to keep the scoreline respectable despite Ipswich's pressure.
Jonathan Varane: Worked hard in midfield but struggled to stem Ipswich's attacks.

Strengths

Resilience after early setbackGoalkeeper made key saves

Weaknesses

Slow start and early defensive lapsesStruggled to create clear chancesHigh foul count

Tactical Analysis

Ipswich's 4-2-3-1 formation allowed them to flood the midfield and exploit spaces between QPR's lines, with the double pivot providing both defensive cover and a platform for quick transitions. The wide players, notably Jaden Philogene-Bidace and Wes Burns, stretched QPR's backline and created overloads on the flanks. Their pressing game forced QPR into mistakes and limited their ability to build from the back. QPR's 4-4-2 struggled to cope with Ipswich's movement and failed to provide enough support to their forwards. The visitors' midfield was often outnumbered, and their attempts to disrupt Ipswich's rhythm resulted in a high foul count. Substitutions had little impact on the tactical balance, as Ipswich maintained control throughout.

Turning Point

The opening ten minutes, with Ipswich scoring twice, set the tone and left QPR chasing the game from the outset.

Man of the Match

George Hirst

His early goal and all-round forward play were crucial in establishing Ipswich's dominance.

๐ŸŽฎ Prediction Playground

Think the model has it wrong? Nudge each team's expected goals and watch every probability react โ€” then simulate the match and see what happens.

Ipswich1.90

Expected goals ยท model says 1.90

QPR0.95

Expected goals ยท model says 0.95

Win Probability
Ipswich 60% Draw 22% QPR 18%

Over 2.5 Goals

54%

BTTS: Yes

52%

Likely Scores

1-0 ยท 1-1 ยท 2-0

Play this match once with the probabilities above โ€” every run is different.

Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration โ€” not betting advice.

Ipswich vs QPR Prediction Confidence at a Glance

How strongly the model leans on each market.

Match Result (1X2)
58%
27%
15%
Ipswich 58%Draw 27%QPR 15%
Both Teams to Score
53%
47%
Yes 53%No 47%
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
56%
44%
Over 2.5 56%Under 2.5 44%
Corners (Over/Under 9.5)
59%
41%
Over 9.5 59%Under 9.5 41%

Who do you think wins: Ipswich vs QPR?

Cast your vote, then see how it stacks up against the model.

More Championship Predictions

View all Championship predictions โ†’

The Case For This Ipswich vs QPR Prediction

Ipswich, pushing for automatic promotion, host a mid-table QPR side that has struggled on the road. The home side's attacking strength and excellent home record give them the edge, though QPR are capable of contributing to the scoreline. Expect a competitive game with Ipswich likely to control possession and create more chances, but QPR to threaten on the break. Set pieces and discipline could play a role in a match where both teams have something to prove.

Key Factors at a Glance

Recent Form

  • โ†’Ipswich form: WDLWW (last 5), QPR form: LLDDW

Defence

  • โ†’Ipswich average 1.74 goals/game, QPR concede 1.52 goals/game

Injuries & Team News

  • โ†’No key injuries reported for either side

Match Context

  • โ†’Ipswich's home record: 13W, 8D, 1L (40:17 GF:GA)
  • โ†’QPR's away record: 6W, 7D, 9L (21:33 GF:GA)
  • โ†’Both teams have high season over 2.5 goal percentages
  • โ†’Ipswich higher league position and promotion motivation

๐Ÿšฉ Ipswich vs QPR Corners Prediction

medium confidence
10.4expected total corners
Over 59%
Under 41%
Over 9.5Under 9.5

Our corners model projects roughly 5 corners for Ipswich and 5.4 for QPR, for an expected total of 10.4. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (59%). Over 8.5: 71% ยท Over 10.5: 47%.

How Ipswich and QPR Are Arriving

Form, fitness and who's likely to start.

Ipswich vs QPR Goalscorer Form

Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals รท 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.

IpswichIpswichlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet โ€” available after predictions are regenerated.

QPRQPRlast 5 matches

No scorer data yet โ€” available after predictions are regenerated.

Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.

Ipswich vs QPR โ€” Last 10 Matches

IpswichIpswichLast 10 results
W3-0
D2-2
D0-0
W2-1
D2-2
L0-2
W2-0
W2-1
D1-1
W2-0
Wvs QPR3-0
D@ Southampton2-2
D@ West Brom0-0
W@ Charlton2-1
Dvs Middlesbrough2-2
L@ Portsmouth0-2
W@ Norwich2-0
Wvs Birmingham2-1
Dvs Millwall1-1
W@ Sheffield Wednesday2-0
QPRQPRLast 10 results
L0-3
L2-3
L1-2
L0-2
D0-0
D1-1
W2-1
W6-1
W3-1
L0-1
L@ Ipswich0-3
Lvs Derby2-3
Lvs Swansea1-2
L@ Millwall0-2
Dvs Bristol City0-0
D@ Preston1-1
Wvs Watford2-1
Wvs Portsmouth6-1
W@ Leicester3-1
L@ Birmingham0-1

Concerns

  • โˆ’4/5 losses in last 5 โ€” poor form
  • โˆ’Struggling to score โ€” 0.6 goals/game
  • โˆ’Leaky defence โ€” 2.0 conceded/game

What History Says: Ipswich vs QPR

Ipswich vs QPR Head-to-Head History

Last 10 meetings between these sides

4

Ipswich wins

2

Draws

4

QPR wins

40%20% draws40%
2 May 26Ipswich vs QPR3-0
1 Nov 25QPR vs Ipswich1-4
29 Dec 23Ipswich vs QPR0-0
19 Aug 23QPR vs Ipswich0-1
26 Dec 18QPR vs Ipswich3-0
20 Oct 18Ipswich vs QPR0-2

Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Ipswich vs QPR

Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per ยฃ1 staked.

1X2

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Ipswich Win1.0758.0%-35.5%
Drawvalue6.0027.0%+10.3%
QPR Winvalue9.0015.0%+3.9%

Over/Under 2.5

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Over 2.51.5756.0%-7.7%
Under 2.52.2544.0%-0.4%

Both Teams Score

SelectionOddsModel %Edge
Yesvalue5.0053.0%+33.0%
No1.1747.0%-38.5%

Best Value Markets Found by the Model

1X2: Draw @ 6.00EV +0.620
1X2: QPR Win @ 9.00EV +0.350
Both Teams Score: Yes @ 5.00EV +1.650

EV per ยฃ1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.

Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate โ€” always verify current prices with your bookmaker.

Things to Watch: Ipswich vs QPR

  • โš ๏ธNo bookmaker odds provided, so value edges cannot be computed.
  • โš ๏ธSome missing match stat data for recent games (shots, possession, etc.).
  • โš ๏ธQPR's form is erratic; could be unpredictable if motivation is high.
  • โš ๏ธFinal round of season: potential for unexpected rotations or lack of motivation if positions are secure.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk โ€” always gamble responsibly.

How This Prediction Was Made

The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Ipswich vs QPR: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.

An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.

Last updated: 24 April 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes โ€” see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.

More Ipswich vs QPR Resources