Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing Predictions
National League · England
Kidderminster Harriers
AI Predicted Score
1 - 2
Worthing
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Match Result: Worthing Win
Recommended Bets: Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing
Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing: Match Preview
Kidderminster Harriers come into this fixture in need of a reset, having failed to win any of their last five league matches (form string: DDLLD) and finding the net just twice in that period. Their early-season solidity has given way to a run of draws and narrow defeats, leaving them 11th in the table and in danger of losing touch with the play-off pack. Worthing, by contrast, are riding a wave of momentum, sitting fifth after taking 13 points from their last five league outings and scoring freely—most recently putting five past Solihull Moors.
The tactical battle tilts towards Worthing's vibrant attack against a Kidderminster side struggling for goals and confidence. Worthing average 2.2 goals per game in their last five, with a striking seven of those coming in first halves, while Kidderminster have kept just two clean sheets in that span and have conceded in each of their last three at home. Set-piece and discipline data are thin, but Kidderminster's recent run has seen a spike in yellow cards, hinting at growing frustration and defensive pressure.
Given the sharp contrast in form, the model expects Worthing to dictate the tempo and create the better chances, particularly early on. Kidderminster's home record suggests they won't be swept aside, but unless they can rediscover their defensive organisation, Worthing's momentum should see them edge a competitive contest. A 2-1 away win is the likeliest outcome, but a low-scoring draw remains in play if the hosts can stifle Worthing's early threat.
How Kidderminster Harriers and Worthing Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Kidderminster Harrierslast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Worthinglast 5 matchesRegular contributor
Regular contributor
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Occasional threat
Kidderminster are in a rut, winless in five and scoring just twice in that span, their form string of 'DDLLD' underlining a side struggling for attacking ideas. Worthing, meanwhile, have surged into the top five with four wins and a draw in their last five league matches, averaging over two goals per game and looking increasingly confident both home and away.
Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Over 2.5 goals in 76.92% of games this season
Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Stats Worth Knowing
The numbers behind Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing that most previews miss.
- 1Worthing have scored in the first half in four of their last five league matches, totalling seven first-half goals in that period.
- 2Kidderminster have failed to score in three of their last five games and average just 0.4 goals per match over that stretch.
- 3Worthing's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 10 of 13 league fixtures this season (76.9%).
🎮 Prediction Playground
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Expected goals · model says 1.25
Expected goals · model says 1.90
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
BTTS: Yes
61%
Likely Scores
1-1 · 1-2 · 0-1
Play this match once with the probabilities above — every run is different.
Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
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The Case For This Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing Prediction
Worthing arrive at Aggborough Stadium on a surge, their recent form string of 'LWWDW' underlining a side in the ascendancy, while Kidderminster are stuck in a rut with five winless matches and just two goals scored in that stretch. The contrast in momentum is stark: Worthing have climbed to fifth, powered by a free-scoring attack, while Kidderminster's early-season resilience has faded, leaving them mid-table and searching for a spark. Statistically, Worthing's attack is the game's central force—averaging 2.2 goals per game over their last five and 2.08 for the season, with 13 goals in six away trips. Kidderminster's home defence has been solid overall (just 4 conceded in 7 home matches), but they've conceded in each of their last three at Aggborough and have struggled to create, averaging just 0.4 goals per game in the last five. The first half could be decisive: Worthing have scored seven of their last nine league goals before the break, while Kidderminster have managed just one first-half goal in five games. The model expects Worthing's momentum and attacking edge to carry them through, with Kidderminster likely to keep things tight but struggle to match their visitors' firepower. A 2-1 away win is forecast, driven by Worthing's superior recent form and Kidderminster's blunt attack. However, if Kidderminster can rediscover their early-season defensive discipline, a low-scoring draw remains a plausible outcome.
Key Factors at a Glance
Attack
- →Worthing's last 5 league matches: 4 wins, 1 draw, 2.2 goals scored per game
- →Kidderminster winless in 5, scoring just 0.4 goals per game in that run
Match Context
- →Worthing have scored 7 first-half goals in their last 5 league games
Where the Model Sees Value: Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Match Result: Worthing Win
Worthing's momentum is decisive: four wins and a draw in their last five league matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored per game, while Kidderminster have failed to win in five and managed just two goals in that span.
Read more ↓
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Worthing's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 10 of 13 this season (76.9%), and they've scored at least twice in four of their last five, while Kidderminster's defence has shown cracks recently.
Read more ↓
BTTS: Yes
Worthing have seen both teams score in four of their last five, and Kidderminster, despite their struggles, have only failed to score in three of those five, suggesting a decent chance both sides find the net.
Read more ↓
More National League Predictions
Where the Model Disagrees with the Odds: Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing
With bookmaker odds unavailable, the model's strongest conviction lies in Worthing's away win probability and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals, both driven by clear recent-form signals. If market odds eventually underrate Worthing's momentum or the goal potential, those would be the first places to look for value.
Odds from Bet365. Positive edge = our model gives a higher probability than the odds imply. EV = expected value per £1 staked.
1X2
Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Best Value Markets Found by the Model
EV per £1 staked. Positive EV means this bet has mathematical edge over the long run. Past model accuracy is tracked on our predictions tracker.
Edge and EV are derived from model probabilities only and do not constitute financial advice. Odds fluctuate — always verify current prices with your bookmaker.
Things to Watch: Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing
- ⚠️No head-to-head data available, so unknown matchup dynamics
- ⚠️Recent shot/corner data missing, reducing precision on set-piece and underlying xG trends
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
Final Verdict
Kidderminster Harriers 1–2 WorthingThe model favours Worthing to continue their impressive run, predicting a 2-1 away win at Aggborough. The single strongest data point is Worthing's 2.2 goals per game over their last five, highlighting their attacking momentum. The main risk is Kidderminster rediscovering their defensive discipline at home, which could limit Worthing's opportunities and tilt the match towards a draw.
Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing: Common Questions
Who will win Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing?
Worthing are given a 50% chance of victory by the model, compared to 22% for Kidderminster and 28% for the draw. This edge is driven by Worthing's recent run of four wins and a draw in their last five league matches.
Will Worthing's strong form continue against Kidderminster?
Worthing have won four of their last five league games and are averaging 2.2 goals per match in that run, suggesting their momentum is likely to continue. The model gives them a 78% chance of avoiding defeat (double chance X2).
Is over 2.5 goals likely in this match?
There's a 62% model probability for over 2.5 goals, reflecting Worthing's high-scoring profile—10 of their 13 league matches have featured three or more goals.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Kidderminster Harriers vs Worthing: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
This fixture was routed to The Form Guide, the momentum specialist — weights the last five matches above everything. An AI model running that profile analyses the pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 17 October 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.
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