Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis Predictions
Super League 1 · Greece
Larisa
AI Predicted Score
1 - 1
Asteras Tripolis
Win Probability (1X2)
Best Value Pick
Double Chance: Draw or Asteras Tripolis
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Expected goals · model says 0.85
Expected goals · model says 1.15
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
BTTS: Yes
39%
Likely Scores
0-1 · 0-0 · 1-1
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Powered by the same Poisson scoreline model behind the prediction. For fun and exploration — not betting advice.
Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction Confidence at a Glance
How strongly the model leans on each market.
Who do you think wins: Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis?
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Where the Model Sees Value: Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis(3)
Selections where the model's probability beats the bookmaker's implied probability. Expected value is computed from real consensus odds, not opinion.
Double Chance: Draw or Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis have better recent form (LWDDW), a superior H2H record, and Larisa are winless in their last 5. The away side is more likely to avoid defeat, supported by both team and API data.
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Match Result: Draw
Both teams have drawn a high number of matches this season (Larisa: 12/31, Asteras: 10/31). Recent H2H meetings also show a tendency for draws, and both teams struggle to win consistently.
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Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Both teams average under 1 goal scored per game and have low over 2.5 goal percentages (Larisa 38.7%, Asteras 48.4%). Recent matches suggest a low-scoring affair.
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More Super League 1 Predictions
The Case For This Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction
This is a clash between two struggling sides near the bottom of the Greek Super League 1 table. Larisa have failed to win in their last five, while Asteras Tripolis have picked up some points recently, including a win over Larisa just a month ago. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities but lack attacking firepower, making a low-scoring, closely contested match likely. Asteras Tripolis hold a psychological edge from their recent H2H success and marginally better form, but their terrible away record tempers confidence in an outright win.
Key Factors at a Glance
Recent Form
- →Asteras Tripolis are slightly better in form (LWDDW), but have just 1 away win in 16.
- →Recent H2H: Asteras Tripolis have won 3 of the last 5, but 2 of the last 3 ended in draws.
Attack
- →Both teams average under 1 goal scored per game this season.
Injuries & Team News
- →No significant injuries reported for either side.
Match Context
- →Larisa are winless in their last 5 (LDLLL) and have only 2 home wins all season.
- →High draw rate for both teams: Larisa (12/31), Asteras (10/31).
🚩 Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis Corners Prediction
low confidenceOur corners model projects roughly 4.8 corners for Larisa and 5.2 for Asteras Tripolis, for an expected total of 10. That makes the model lean Over 9.5 corners (54%). Over 8.5: 67% · Over 10.5: 42%.
How Larisa and Asteras Tripolis Are Arriving
Form, fitness and who's likely to start.
Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis Goalscorer Form
Goals scored in last 5 matches across all competitions. Rate = goals ÷ 5 games. XI badge shows player is in the expected starting lineup.
Larisalast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Asteras Tripolislast 5 matchesNo scorer data yet — available after predictions are regenerated.
Scorer data populates once predictions are regenerated with the updated pipeline.
Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis — Last 10 Matches
Strengths
- +Both teams scoring in most recent games
Concerns
- −4/5 losses in last 5 — poor form
- −Leaky defence — 2.0 conceded/game
- −No clean sheets in last 5 matches
What History Says: Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis
Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis Head-to-Head History
Last 10 meetings between these sides
2
Larisa wins
3
Draws
5
Asteras Tripolis wins
Things to Watch: Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis
- ⚠️No bookmaker odds provided, so value bet edges cannot be calculated.
- ⚠️Some recent matches lack full stat coverage (shots, xG, etc.), reducing model confidence.
- ⚠️Both teams have little to play for, so motivation could be variable.
- ⚠️Low attacking output increases variance in low-scoring matches.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Betting involves risk — always gamble responsibly.
How This Prediction Was Made
The numbers on this page come from a structured statistical pack for Larisa vs Asteras Tripolis: recent results and scoring data for both sides, home/away splits, the head-to-head record, current league standings, known injuries and live bookmaker odds, all sourced from the API-Football data feed.
An AI model analyses that pack and produces the probabilities, predicted score and written analysis shown above. Nothing is edited by hand, and no information outside the data pack is used.
Last updated: 2 May 2026 (refreshed automatically as new team data arrives). Every prediction is scored against the real result once the match finishes — see the verified track record or read the full methodology. Football is inherently uncertain: treat this page as analysis, not advice.